2024 Total Home Run Odds
| Player | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | O 44.5 (-110) | U 44.5 (-110) |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | O 42.5 (-110) | U 42.5 (-110) |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | O 42.5 (-110) | U 42.5 (-110) |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | O 39.5 (-110) | U 39.5 (-110) |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | O 38.5 (-110) | U 38.5 (-110) |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | O 37.5 (-110) | U 37.5 (-110) |
| Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL) | O 37.5 (-110) | U 37.5 (-110) |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | O 36.5 (-110) | U 36.5 (-110) |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | O 33.5 (-110) | U 33.5 (-110) |
MLB Total Home Run Odds: Will Judge crush OVER 44.5 homers in 2024?
Matt Olson led MLB with 54 homers last year (in 162 games), while Judge went yard 37 times in 106 games. If we extrapolate those numbers over a full season, the Yankees slugger was on pace for 57 home runs over 162 games. He's still the king.
Health always makes Judge bettors lose sleep, but I'm penciling him in as a lock for OVER 44.5 home runs in 2024.
MLB Total Home Run odds: Best bets
Shohei Ohtani UNDER 38.5 home runs (-110)
Call me a hater, but too much has changed for Ohtani to waltz into Dodger Stadium and slug away. While the two-time AL MVP homered 44 times last season, he'll enter 2024 with an elbow injury that won't allow him to pitch.
Elbows are important for hitting, too, chief, and I'm expecting a power dip for Ohtani.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. OVER 33.5 home runs (-110)
Guerrero's power numbers have trailed off over the last two seasons, but he's entering spring camp this year fully healthy and carrying far lighter expectations than in years past. Blue Jays fans are very frustrated with their former MVP finalist, and he's ready to prove to everyone he can climb back into that 40-homer range.
Consider me a believer.
Past MLB HR Leaders History
| Year | Player (HRs) |
|---|---|
| 2023 | Matt Olson (54) |
| 2022 | Aaron Judge (62) |
| 2021 | Vlad Guerrero Jr/Sal Perez (48) |
| 2020 | Luke Voit (22)* |
| 2019 | Pete Alonso (53) |
| 2018 | Khris Davis (48) |
| 2017 | Giancarlo Stanton (59) |
| 2016 | Mark Trumbo (47) |
| 2015 | Chris Davis (47 |
| 2014 | Nelson Cruz (40) |
*Shortened Season
How To Bet MLB Regular Season Totals Odds
When you visit your sportsbook of choice, you’ll find odds for MLB futures like World Series odds and division pennants. Before Opening Day, however, you can bet individual MLB player totals (hits, RBI, homers, and more). Each market will be tailored for each specific player, and then it'll be up to you to bet whether a player's total will go OVER or UNDER.
You would see odds and totals listed like this Spencer Strider strikeout total, for example:
| Player | OVER | UNDER |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Strider (ATL) | O 245.5 (-110) | U 245.5 (-110) |
Unlike a moneyline bet, where there would be a clear favorite and underdog, this market revolves around whether a player's season-long total will go OVER or UNDER the aforementioned total. Strider owns the highest strikeout total in MLB, but other players will have their odds and totals adjusted accordingly.
In this example, if you were to bet $100 on Strider's strikeouts to go OVER 245.5 season, and he struck out 250 batters, you'd win $190.91 – your original $100 is returned, along with your winnings of $90.91
