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Bass Pro Shops Night Race Odds: Kyle Busch Set As The Favorite

Kyle Busch is the favorite in the Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds.

We have reached the final race of the Round of 16 and what better place to duke it out to advance to the Round of 12 than the half-mile short track Bristol Motor Speedway. Toyota has won the first two races of this round of the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs, and Kyle Busch in another Toyota is favored in the Bass Pro Shops Night Race odds.

Online sportsbook Bovada has the full list of the Bass Pro Shops odds and has Busch leading the way at +400. He is followed closely by Kyle Larson at +450, Denny Hamlin at +600, Chase Elliott at +800 and Joey Logano at +1000 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

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Bass Pro Shops Night Race Odds: Bristol Motor Speedway

Odds to Win The Bass Pro Shops Night Race
DriverOdds
Kyle Busch+400
Kyle Larson+450
Denny Hamlin+600
Chase Elliott+800
Joey Logano+1000
Brad Keselowski+1100
Kevin Harvick+1100
Ryan Blaney+1200
Martin Truex Jr.+1400
Kurt Busch+1800
Christopher Bell+2200
Alex Bowman+2500
William Byron+2500
Aric Almirola+3000
Ross Chastain+3000
Tyler Reddick+3000
Austin Dillon+4500
Matt DiBenedetto+5000
Bubba Wallace+8000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+8000
Cole Custer+10000
Daniel Suarez+10000
Chris Buescher+13000
Ryan Newman+13000
Chase Briscoe+15000
Erik Jones+15000
Ryan Preece+20000
Corey LaJoie+25000
Michael McDowell+25000
Anthony Alfredo+50000
Justin Haley+60000
BJ McLeod+100000
David Starr+100000
Garrett Smithley+100000
JJ Yeley+100000
James Davison+100000
Josh Bilicki+100000
Quin Houff+100000

Odds as of September 16 at Bovada

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Why Is Busch The Favorite In The Bass Pro Shops Night Race Betting Odds?

To start, Kyle Busch has the most wins of any active driver with 59, one more than Kevin Harvick. Eight of those victories have come at Bristol Motor Speedway, his most at any track the NASCAR Cup Series competes at.

Busch won three of four trips to Bristol from 2017 to 2019 but hasn’t won since. That said, he has still had three straight top-five finishes, including being the runner-up in the last race there on the pavement under the lights a year ago.

In fact, he has 14 top-five finishes in 31 career starts at the short track, which calculates at an impressive 45.2 percent. With the first two races in the Round of 16 not going well for Busch, he only has an eight-point edge to advance to the Round of 12. A strong finish at Bristol is needed and he has all the tools to get to victory lane.

NASCAR Predictions This Week For The Bass Pro Shops Night Race

Tempers will surely be flaring as the race to get into the Round of 12 is very tight and ramps up the stress level as these drivers trade paint on the half-mile short track. We’ve seen plenty of dust-ups at this track over the years and the fans should be in for an exciting race Saturday night as some drivers will need to leave it all on the track to keep their championship hopes alive. Here are my three Bass Pro Shops Night Race best bets.

Kyle Larson +450: The regular-season champion and favorite in NASCAR Cup Series championship odds, Larson has been a strong bet all season, leading the way in wins, top-five finishes and top-10 finishes. While he hasn’t picked up a win at Bristol, he has two runner-up finishes and has had two races in which he led at least 200 laps. He’s been quick at Bristol but never a winner. Now may be the opportunity.

Chase Elliott +800: The reigning Cup Series champion hasn’t won at Bristol but has led 20 or more laps in each of the last five races at this track. Additionally, he has qualified well here in the past, picking up the pole once and two second-place starts as well, showing he knows how to get around the track quickly. He will be starting fourth on Saturday and I think at 8:1 he’s providing good value to get his first win at Bristol.

Martin Truex Jr. +1400: A third driver who has never picked up a win at Bristol, he drove to victory lane last Saturday under the lights in another short-track race at Richmond. As such, Truex will be the first to see the green flag starting from the pole. He has had strong qualifying efforts but not good results in his career at this track, with just three top-10 finishes over 30 starts. All that said, I can understand why Truex has longer odds but for a guy with a nose for the checkered flag, I have to take a shot at 14:1.