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Kyle Busch Favored To Grab Checkered Flag in Supermarket Heroes 500

Kyle Busch, who is favored to win the Supermarket Heroes 500, racing at Darlington Raceway

The NASCAR Cup Series drivers and crew are facing an even shorter week after racing on Thursday due to a postponement and are now set to compete for 500 miles at Bristol Motor Speedway in the Supermarket Heroes 500 on Sunday. Kyle Busch has won three of the last five runnings at “Thunder Valley” and is the +350 betting favorite to return to victory lane.

Online sportsbook Bovada has listed Busch as the +350 favorite followed by Martin Truex Jr. at +650, Joey Logano at +750, Kevin Harvick at +750, Chase Elliott at +800, Denny Hamlin at +800, Brad Keselowski at +1200, Kurt Busch at +1200, Ryan Blaney at +1400 and Alex Bowman at +2000 to round out the top 10 drivers on the oddsboard.

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Here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the Supermarket Heroes 500:

Odds to Win The Supermarket Heroes 500
DriverOdds
Kyle Busch+350
Martin Truex Jr.+650
Joey Logano+750
Kevin Harvick+750
Chase Elliott+800
Denny Hamlin+800
Brad Keselowski+1200
Kurt Busch+1200
Ryan Blaney+1400
Alex Bowman+2000
Jimmie Johnson+2200
Clint Bowyer+2500
Erik Jones+2500
Matt Kenseth+3300
Aric Almirola+4000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+4000
William Byron+4000
Matt DiBenedetto+5000
Austin Dillon+6600
Christopher Bell+6600
Tyler Reddick+6600
Ryan Newman+8000
Cole Custer+10000
Chris Buescher+15000
Daniel Suarez+25000
Darrell Wallace Jr.+30000
John Hunter Nemechek+30000
Ty Dillon+40000
Bayley Currey+50000
Ryan Preece+75000
Corey LaJoie+100000
Michael McDowell+100000
BJ McLeod+150000
Brennan Poole+150000
Garrett Smithley+150000
Gray Gaulding+150000
JJ Yeley+150000
Joey Gase+150000
Quin Houff+150000
Timmy Hill+150000

Odds as of May 29 at Bovada

Why Is Kyle Busch The Betting Favorite?

There hasn’t been a more dominant driver at Bristol Motor Speedway recently than Kyle Busch. The two-time champion has eight career victories at this track and has won three of the last five runnings. Additionally, in 25 career starts at Bristol in which he hasn’t been in an accident, Busch has finished in the top 10 in 17 of them.

This season, though, Busch is off to a bit of a slower start than we’re accustomed to. He is currently 12th in the NASCAR Cup Series points standings, has failed to pick up a checkered flag and has led only 14 laps, all in the Daytona 500. That said, he has had four top-five finishes, including two second-place finishes, so it would only be fitting for him to drive to victory lane at Bristol and he is worthy of being the favorite.

Betting Pick: Elliott +800, Kurt Busch +1200 and Blaney +1400

If Kyle Busch has been so dominant recently, why isn’t he the obvious betting pick? Well, I don’t like his value at +350 and Toyotas this year don’t appear to be the car to beat as they have been for the past few years. Ford has won half of the eight races this season, so I think backing almost any driver in that manufacturer’s lineup is a good wager, while Chev and Toyota each have two wins. The lone Ford I like for Bristol is Ryan Blaney, while Chase Elliott and Kyle’s brother, Kurt Busch, are both in Chevs.

Blaney has really impressed me this year, currently sitting sixth in the standings. He has three top-five finishes and is coming off back-to-back third-place finishes at Charlotte Motor Speedway. At Bristol, he has led 100 or more laps in three of the last four runnings, though he has just one top-five finish. I think his confidence is high, the Fords have been strong and this could be his shot at winning at this track.

Kurt Busch has six career victories at Bristol, with his most recent coming in the fall race of 2018. He had two top-10 finishes at Thunder Valley in 2019 in his first season in a Chev since 2016. He’s been quite competitive this year with five top-10 finishes, including two podium finishes. At +1200, he’s providing great value.

Lastly, Chase Elliott rebounded with a triumph on Thursday night after making a poor pit stop in the Coca-Cola 600 that cost him a win at the same track. Elliott has led multiple laps in six of the eight races this year, has finished in the top five in half of the races and is third in the Cup Series standings. At Bristol, he has qualified sixth or better in six of his eight career starts, has led multiple laps in five of those runnings and has three top-five finishes.