Kyle Busch is the favorite in the Texas Motor Speedway odds.

Kyle Busch Tops the Oddsboard for the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500

Last week at Martinsville Speedway, Brad Keselowski became the second repeat Sportsbook of the 2019 season and now the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series heads to Texas Motor Speedway for the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500. For the third race in a row, the No. 18 Toyota driver, Kyle Busch, finds himself as the favorite at +250.

Sportsbook has Busch as the favorite at +250 followed by Brad Keselowski at +350, Joey Logano and Kevin Harvick at +550 and Martin Truex Jr. at +800 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

Standout Stats

  • Chevrolet has won four of the last nine races at Texas Motor Speedway, but only one of the last six. Toyota has won three of the last six and Ford has carried the checkered flag in two of the last three.
  • The pole sitter hasn’t gone on to win the actual race since the spring of 2013, a span of 11 races. Six of the last eight Sportsbooks at Texas Motor Speedway qualified fifth or worse.
  • Kyle Busch has won three of the last 11 races in Fort Worth but has finished outside the top 10 in three of the last four runnings there.
  • Joey Logano won the spring race in 2014, but has failed to return to victory lane at this track since then, though he has landed on the podium in four of the last six races at Texas.
  • Kevin Harvick has seen plenty of success at the 1.5-mile quad-oval track recently. The California native has won two of the last three races in Fort Worth and has found himself on the podium in six of the last nine runnings at Texas Motor Speedway. Since switching to Ford in 2017, he has led 38 or more laps in each of the four races.
  • Although Brad Keselowski has won two races this season, he hasn’t had much success at Texas Motor Speedway, having finished outside of the top 10 in four of the last six races there. He hasn’t been on the podium there since 2015.

My Best Bet for the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500

Kevin Harvick +550

Harvick has been terrific at Texas Motor Speedway throughout his career and since moving to Ford has been able to lead multiple laps per race. The 43-year-old hasn’t been to victory lane yet this season and I expect him to break out of his slump in the Lone Star State.

Here's a look at the complete list of odds for the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500:

Odds to win The O’Reilly Auto Parts 500
  • Kyle Busch +250
  • Brad Keselowski +350
  • Joey Logano +550
  • Kevin Harvick +550
  • Martin Truex Jr. +800
  • Ryan Blaney +1000
  • Kyle Larson +1600
  • Chase Elliott +1800
  • Denny Hamlin +2000
  • Aric Almirola +2200
  • Any Other Driver +2500
  • Clint Bowyer +2500
  • Kurt Busch +2500
  • Erik Jones +2800
  • Jimmie Johnson +4000
  • Austin Dillon +6600
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +6600
  • Alex Bowman +8000
  • Daniel Suarez +8000
  • William Byron +12500
  • Paul Menard +15000
  • Ryan Newman +15000
  • Daniel Hemric +20000
  • Chris Buescher +25000
  • Matt DiBenedetto +30000
  • Ryan Preece +40000
  • Ty Dillon +75000
  • Darrell Wallace Jr. +100000
  • David Ragan +100000
  • Michael McDowell +100000
  • Landon Cassill +150000
  • Corey LaJoie +200000
  • Matt Tifft +200000
  • Ross Chastain +200000
Odds as of March 28 at Sportsbook
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