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South Point 400 Odds: Larson Is The Betting Chalk

Kyle Larson is the favorite in the South Point 400 odds.

The Round of 16 in the NASCAR Cup Series playoffs ended with a bang last Saturday night with playoff contenders Chase Elliott and Kevin Harvick having a heated exchange on and off the track.

In the end, it was Kyle Larson who grabbed the checkered flag in the Bass Pro Shops Night Race and the regular-season champion is also the betting favorite this week in the South Point 400 odds at Las Vegas Motor Speedway. 

Online sportsbook Bovada has the entire list of South Point 400 odds with Larson leading the way at +290. He’s followed by Kyle Busch at +600, Chase Elliott at +800, Denny Hamlin at +800 and Martin Truex Jr. at +800 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

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South Point 400 Odds: Las Vegas Motor Speedway

Odds to Win the South Point 400
DriverOdds
Kyle Larson+290
Kyle Busch+600
Chase Elliott+800
Denny Hamlin+800
Martin Truex Jr.+800
Joey Logano+1000
Kevin Harvick+1100
Brad Keselowski+1150
William Byron+1200
Ryan Blaney+1300
Alex Bowman+2000
Christopher Bell+2500
Kurt Busch+3300
Austin Dillon+5000
Tyler Reddick+5000
Matt DiBenedetto+6600
Aric Almirola+8000
Ross Chastain+10000
Chase Briscoe+15000
Chris Buescher+15000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+15000
Daniel Suarez+20000
Bubba Wallace+25000
Cole Custer+25000
Erik Jones+25000
Ryan Newman+25000
Michael McDowell+40000
Ryan Preece+40000
Corey LaJoie+60000
Anthony Alfredo+100000
BJ McLeod+100000
Cody Ware+100000
Garrett Smithley+100000
JJ Yeley+100000
Joey Gase+100000
Justin Haley+100000
Josh Bilicki+200000
Quin Houff+200000

Odds as of September 22 at Bovada

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Why Is Larson Favored In The South Point 400 Odds?

This marks the second visit of the NASCAR Cup Series to Las Vegas this season and earlier this year it was Larson, the favorite in the NASCAR Cup Series championship odds, who drove to the checkered flag. 

Not only did the No. 5 machine show up in victory lane, but Larson also led the most laps and won by a margin of more than three seconds. Furthermore, he has been the most dominant driver this year with the most victories and most laps led among the statistical categories he tops. 

Lastly, Kyle will have a bit of an advantage heading into the South Point 400 in that he will be starting on the pole after winning last week at Bristol. So not only do we have the driver who won here in March, in dominant fashion, but he’s also starting in first – makes sense why he’s the favorite.

NASCAR Predictions This Week For The South Point 400

We have reached the Round of 12 and following back-to-back short track races, the field should open up a little more on the 1.5-mile track of Las Vegas. While Larson drove to victory lane in the first race at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, he was the only Chevrolet in the top seven, while four Toyotas also appeared in the top seven. Here are my three best bets this week to win the South Point 400.

Kyle Larson +290: Going with the chalk for this one. Larson has been a rocket ship all season, especially at 1.5-mile tracks. He was dominant at Las Vegas in March and will be starting on the pole when the green flag drops Sunday. With a win last week, he will be eager to back that up again and I like his chances to repeat.

Denny Hamlin +800: I’m liking the value on Hamlin for this one at 8:1. He led the most laps in Vegas a year ago when the NASCAR Cup Series competed there, ending up with a third-place finish. He finished fourth in March while leading the second-most laps. Hamlin has never won at Vegas but has been competitive and is coming off a strong Round of 16 in which he earned a win, a second-place finish and a ninth-place finish. 

Brad Keselowski +1150: It has been an up-and-down season for Brad Keselowski but a visit to Vegas could be all he needs to advance to the Round of 8. Arguably one of his best tracks to race at, Keselowski has made 16 starts there with seven podium finishes, including three wins, and was the runner-up in March. He will be starting eighth on Sunday and if he has the speed he showed earlier this year, odds of more than 10:1 are definitely worth a shot.