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NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Odds: Larson Favored

Kyle Larson is favored in the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race odds.

The champion of the NASCAR Cup Series will be crowned Sunday at Phoenix Raceway. In the NASCAR Cup Series championship race odds, it is Kyle Larson who is the betting favorite.

Online sportsbook Bovada has listed the NASCAR Cup Series championship race odds with Larson set as the +190 chalk. He’s followed by Chase Elliott at +350, Denny Hamlin at +400, Martin Truex Jr. at +450 and William Byron at +1400 to round out the top five drivers on the oddsboard.

All set to bet on the final race of the year? Check out our How to Bet NASCAR guide to assist you in getting in on the action. Also, our sportsbook review page can help you choose where to bet on NASCAR.

NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Odds: Phoenix Raceway Playoff Race

Odds To Win the NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race
DriverOdds
Kyle Larson+190
Chase Elliott+350
Denny Hamlin+400
Martin Truex Jr.+450
William Byron+1400
Kyle Busch+1600
Joey Logano+2200
Alex Bowman+2500
Brad Keselowski+2500
Ryan Blaney+2500
Kevin Harvick+2800
Christopher Bell+3000
Kurt Busch+4500
Tyler Reddick+6000
Aric Almirola+7000
Austin Dillon+13000
Matt DiBenedetto+13000
Ross Chastain+13000
Bubba Wallace+15000
Erik Jones+15000
Chase Briscoe+20000
Chris Buescher+20000
Cole Custer+20000
Daniel Suarez+20000
Michael McDowell+20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+20000
Ryan Newman+30000
Corey LaJoie+35000
Ryan Preece+35000
Anthony Alfredo+50000
Justin Haley+50000
BJ McLeod+100000
Cody Ware+100000
David Starr+100000
Garrett Smithley+100000
Joey Gase+100000
Josh Bilicki+100000
Quin Houff+100000
Timmy Hill+100000

Odds as of November 4 at Bovada

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Why Is Larson Favored In The NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race Odds?

It is only fitting that the most dominant driver in the 2021 NASCAR Cup Series season is listed as the betting favorite heading into the finale and with the championship up for grabs. Larson has been outstanding, winning five more races than any other driver, leading nearly a thousand more laps than the next-closest competitor and posting seven more stage wins than anyone else.

When it comes to Phoenix Raceway, though, he’s the only driver among the Championship 4 without a victory there. Denny Hamlin is the only one of the group with multiple wins there. Larson has had five top-five finishes over his 14 career starts at this track, including a second-place finish in 2017. That said, it makes sense for him to be favored in the NASCAR Cup Series championship odds for the season but perhaps not for this particular race.

NASCAR Predictions This Week For The NASCAR Cup Series Championship Race

For the first time in many weeks, this will be more of a traditional race weekend with practice and qualifying before the race. Typically, we’ve known who was starting on the pole but didn’t know who the quick cars were until the green flag dropped. I think one of the Championship 4 drivers will lift the checkered flag but I’m not backing the favorite and I have an outsider with big value.

Chase Elliott +350: Nearly one year ago to the day, Chase Elliott started on the pole, led 153 of 312 laps and won his first NASCAR Cup championship. He has three podium finishes in the last eight races at this track and has led 10 or more laps in those runnings as well. He should have relatively the same gear as the favorite, Kyle Larson, in what could prove to be a competitive battle, but with a win at this track under his belt, we may see a back-to-back champion.

Denny Hamlin +400: As mentioned, the only driver in the Championship 4 who has multiple wins at Phoenix Raceway is Denny Hamlin. Early in the season, Hamlin was outstanding, but he couldn’t find victory lane until the playoffs, where he picked up two wins over the nine races. He’s been in the top five in five of the last seven races at Phoenix, including a win in the fall race of 2019.

Joey Logano +2200: The only non-Championship 4 driver that I’m backing this weekend, simply from a value perspective, Joey Logano has had three straight podium finishes at Phoenix Raceway. He won there in the spring race of 2020 and was the runner-up in this year’s spring race, leading the most laps.

Logano has led 50 or more laps at Phoenix in six of the last 10 runnings there, with two wins over that span. While he’s not in contention to win the championship, he would like to finish the year out in style with a victory.