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NASCAR Odds and Picks: Elliott Has Shortest Odds To Win The GEICO 500

UPDATE: Due to inclement weather, the GEICO 500 has been postponed to Monday, June 22.

After competing at a couple of short tracks over the past few weeks, the NASCAR Cup Series is set to do some restrictor-plate racing at Talladega Superspeedway for the GEICO 500.

Denny Hamlin picked up his Series-leading third victory of the season last week at Homestead-Miami Speedway and can be found fourth on the oddsboard for this week. The favorite for Monday’s race is Chase Elliott at +600.

Online sportsbook Bovada has released odds on who will win the GEICO 500 with Elliott topping the board. He is followed by Brad Keselowski at +700, Joey Logano at +700, Ryan Blaney at +900, Denny Hamlin at +1200, Kyle Busch at +1200, Kevin Harvick at +1400, Alex Bowman at +2000, Aric Almirola at +2000 and Kurt Busch at +2000 to round out the top 10 drivers on the oddsboard.

Picks | Top 3 | Group Betting | Race Props | Head-to-Head Matchups

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Here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the GEICO 500:

Odds to Win The GEICO 500
DriverOdds
Chase Elliott+600
Brad Keselowski+700
Joey Logano+700
Ryan Blaney+900
Denny Hamlin+1200
Kyle Busch+1200
Kevin Harvick+1400
Alex Bowman+2000
Aric Almirola+2000
Kurt Busch+2000
Martin Truex Jr.+2000
Jimmie Johnson+2200
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+2200
Ryan Newman+2800
Clint Bowyer+3000
Austin Dillon+3300
Matt DiBenedetto+3300
Tyler Reddick+3300
Chris Buescher+4000
Darrell Wallace Jr.+4000
Erik Jones+4000
Matt Kenseth+4000
William Byron+4000
Christopher Bell+5000
Michael McDowell+5000
Brendan Gaughan+6600
Cole Custer+6600
John H. Nemechek+6600
Ryan Preece+8000
Ty Dillon+8000
Corey LaJoie+10000
Brennan Poole+12500
Daniel Suarez+15000
BJ McLeod+20000
Gray Gaulding+20000
JJ Yeley+20000
Quin Houff+20000
Timmy Hill+20000
Joey Gase+25000

Odds as of June 22 at Bovada

Elliott or Logano? Who Is Providing Better Value?

These are two drivers definitely worthy of being pegged as a pre-race favorite in nearly every race this year. Chase Elliott has finished inside the top five in half of the 12 races this season, has the most stage wins with five, has one win and is second in the NASCAR Cup Series standings. Meanwhile, Joey Logano is third in the standings, has three top-five finishes, including two victories, and he has led the second-most laps this season.

At Talladega, Logano has three career victories over his 22 starts there, most recently in April 2018, and he has led multiple laps in 10 of the last 13 runnings. That said, he has found himself off of the podium in five of the last six races at this superspeedway. As for Elliott, he won last year’s spring race, has led multiple laps in five of his eight career starts at Talladega and has also qualified 11th or better in each start – he always has speed. I think Elliott is one to watch this year and I think he is providing slightly better value than Logano.

Betting Picks: Elliott +600, Keselowski +700 and Almirola +2000

I already spoke of Elliott’s successes at Talladega so I won’t dwell on him.

Brad Keselowski may be a little bit of a surprise pick as he has finished outside of the top five in six of the last seven runnings at Talladega, though the one time he did finish inside the top five was a win. But he has five career victories at the superspeedway and has led multiple laps in all but four of his 22 career starts there, including the last eight in a row. We know he will be up toward the front at some point in the race – why not at the end?

Aric Almirola is providing fantastic value at +2000. As a Ford driver, it should be noted that the manufacturer has won nine of the last 11 runnings at Talladega – Almirola was one of those drivers in October 2018. Additionally, he has been pretty consistent recently at this track, finishing ninth or better in each of the last seven runnings, and has led laps in each of the last three.

Odds To Finish Top 3 In GEICO 500

Odds to Finish top 3 in The GEICO 500
DriverOdds
Chase Elliott+200
Joey Logano+225
Brad Keselowski+250
Denny Hamlin+275
Kyle Busch+325
Ryan Blaney+325
Kevin Harvick+400
Kurt Busch+500
Alex Bowman+550
Aric Almirola+600
Clint Bowyer+600
Jimmie Johnson+600
Martin Truex Jr.+600
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+600
Tyler Reddick+700
Austin Dillon+900
Erik Jones+900
Matt DiBenedetto+900
Ryan Newman+900
William Byron+900
Chris Buescher+1200
Darrell Wallace Jr.+1200
Matt Kenseth+1200
Christopher Bell+1400
Michael McDowell+1400
Brendan Gaughan+1800
Cole Custer+1800
John H. Nemechek+1800
Ryan Preece+2200
Ty Dillon+2200
Corey LaJoie+2500
Brennan Poole+3300
Daniel Suarez+4000
BJ McLeod+5000
Gray Gaulding+5000
JJ Yeley+5000
Quinn Houff+5000
Timmy Hill+5000
Joey Gase+6000

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Group Betting Odds For GEICO 500

Odds to Win Group 1 In The GEICO 500
DriverOdds
Denny Hamlin+225
Joey Logano+225
Brad Keselowski+240
Ryan Blaney+285

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds to Win Group 2 In The GEICO 500
DriverOdds
Chase Elliott+220
Kyle Busch+230
Kevin Harvick+250
Kurt Busch+290

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds to Win Group 3 In The GEICO 500
DriverOdds
Clint Bowyer+235
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+235
Aric Almirola+240
Alex Bowman+275

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds to Win Group 4 In The GEICO 500
DriverOdds
Martin Truex Jr.+210
Austin Dillon+260
Matt DiBenedetto+260
William Byron+260

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds to Win Group 5 In The GEICO 500
DriverOdds
Tyler Reddick+225
Jimmie Johnson+240
Ryan Newman+245
Erik Jones+285

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds to Win Group 6 In The GEICO 500
DriverOdds
Matt Kenseth+230
Chris Buescher+240
Darrell Wallace Jr.+240
Michael McDowell+275

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

GEICO 500 Props

GEICO 500 Winning Manufacturer
DriverOdds
Ford+105
Chevrolet+190
Toyota+265

Odds as of June 22 at Bovada

GEICO 500 Winning Team
TeamsOdds
Field +200
Joe Gibbs+240
Hendrick Motorsports+425
Stewart-Haas Racing+500
Richard Childress Racing+1600
Roush Fenway+2200

Odds as of June 22 at Bovada

GEICO 500 Total Cautions
CautionsOdds
OVER 8.5-145
UNDER 8.5+110

Odds as of June 22 at Bovada

Head-to-Head Matchups

Kyle Busch vs Kevin Harvick
DriverOdds
Kyle Busch-125
Kevin Harvick-105

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Kyle Busch vs Chase Elliott
DriverOdds
Kyle Busch-115
Chase Elliott-115

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Kevin Harvick vs Chase Elliott
DriverOdds
Kevin Harvick-105
Chase Elliott-125

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Brad Keselowski vs Joey Logano
DriverOdds
Brad KeselowskiEVEN
Joey Logano-130

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Brad Keselowski vs Ryan Blaney
DriverOdds
Brad Keselowski-110
Ryan Blaney-120

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Joey Logano vs Ryan Blaney
DriverOdds
Joey Logano-120
Ryan Blaney-110

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. vs Clint Bowyer
DriverOdds
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.-115
Clint Bowyer-115

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. vs Aric Almirola
DriverOdds
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.-115
Aric Almirola-115

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Erik Jones vs Ryan Newman
DriverOdds
Erik Jones-120
Ryan Newman-110

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Austin Dillon vs Matt DiBenedetto
DriverOdds
Austin Dillon-115
Matt DiBenedetto-115

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline