NASCAR Odds and Picks: Elliott Has Shortest Odds To Win The GEICO 500

UPDATE: Due to inclement weather, the GEICO 500 has been postponed to Monday, June 22.

After competing at a couple of short tracks over the past few weeks, the NASCAR Cup Series is set to do some restrictor-plate racing at Talladega Superspeedway for the GEICO 500.

Denny Hamlin picked up his Series-leading third victory of the season last week at Homestead-Miami Speedway and can be found fourth on the oddsboard for this week. The favorite for Monday’s race is Chase Elliott at +600.

Online sportsbook Bovada has released odds on who will win the GEICO 500 with Elliott topping the board. He is followed by Brad Keselowski at +700, Joey Logano at +700, Ryan Blaney at +900, Denny Hamlin at +1200, Kyle Busch at +1200, Kevin Harvick at +1400, Alex Bowman at +2000, Aric Almirola at +2000 and Kurt Busch at +2000 to round out the top 10 drivers on the oddsboard.

Picks | Top 3 | Group Betting | Race Props | Head-to-Head Matchups

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Here’s a look at the full list of odds to win the GEICO 500:

Odds as of June 22 at Bovada

Elliott or Logano? Who Is Providing Better Value?

These are two drivers definitely worthy of being pegged as a pre-race favorite in nearly every race this year. Chase Elliott has finished inside the top five in half of the 12 races this season, has the most stage wins with five, has one win and is second in the NASCAR Cup Series standings. Meanwhile, Joey Logano is third in the standings, has three top-five finishes, including two victories, and he has led the second-most laps this season.

At Talladega, Logano has three career victories over his 22 starts there, most recently in April 2018, and he has led multiple laps in 10 of the last 13 runnings. That said, he has found himself off of the podium in five of the last six races at this superspeedway. As for Elliott, he won last year’s spring race, has led multiple laps in five of his eight career starts at Talladega and has also qualified 11th or better in each start – he always has speed. I think Elliott is one to watch this year and I think he is providing slightly better value than Logano.

Betting Picks: Elliott +600, Keselowski +700 and Almirola +2000

I already spoke of Elliott’s successes at Talladega so I won’t dwell on him.

Brad Keselowski may be a little bit of a surprise pick as he has finished outside of the top five in six of the last seven runnings at Talladega, though the one time he did finish inside the top five was a win. But he has five career victories at the superspeedway and has led multiple laps in all but four of his 22 career starts there, including the last eight in a row. We know he will be up toward the front at some point in the race – why not at the end?

Aric Almirola is providing fantastic value at +2000. As a Ford driver, it should be noted that the manufacturer has won nine of the last 11 runnings at Talladega – Almirola was one of those drivers in October 2018. Additionally, he has been pretty consistent recently at this track, finishing ninth or better in each of the last seven runnings, and has led laps in each of the last three.

Odds To Finish Top 3 In GEICO 500

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Group Betting Odds For GEICO 500

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 22 at BetOnline

GEICO 500 Props

Odds as of June 22 at Bovada

Odds as of June 22 at Bovada

Odds as of June 22 at Bovada

Head-to-Head Matchups

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline

Odds as of June 21 at BetOnline