Kevin Harvick became the first back-to-back winner of the NASCAR season when he finished first in last weekend’s Federated Auto Parts 400 at Richmond Raceway. What’s more impressive is that Harvick hadn’t won a race in his last 65 attempts prior to his first win in this streak in the FireKeepers Casino 400. Last weekend’s win gave Harvick 60 career victories, which ranks ninth all-time and ties him with Kyle Busch for the most among active drivers.
While Harvick went into last weekend’s race with odds at +2500, he had won at Richmond three times previously in his career, the most ever by an active driver on the 0.75-mile track. Experience matters, it seems.
This weekend, the favorite for the Go Bowling at the Glen at Watkins Glen International according to sportsbook Bovada is none other than NASCAR points leader Chase Elliott, who has odds of +500 to win the checkered flag. Tyler Reddick holds the second-best odds at +650 while Kyle Larson is third at +900.
According to our sports betting calculator, Elliott’s +500 betting line represents an implied win probability of 16.67 percent. If you like Chase – or any other driver – to win in the Go Bowling at the Glen odds, but you have never placed a bet, check out our How to Bet NASCAR guide to help get you in the action.
Go Bowling At The Glen Odds: Watkins Glen International
|Martin Truex Jr.||+1600|
Odds as of August 18 at Bovada
Why Is Chase Elliott Favored To Win At Watkins Glen International?
Over the last three races at Watkins Glen International, Chase Elliott has finished first, first and second. As we saw with Kevin Harvick last weekend, history on a track – specifically recent history – matters.
Then you have to factor in how dominant Elliott has been this season: four wins, nine top-fives and 16 top-10s. He’s led the most laps (659) and only Martin Truex Jr.’s seven stage wins are better than Elliott’s five. The No. 9 car has been absolutely commanding, supreme, controlling, whatever term you want to use to define how good Chase Elliott has been over the NASCAR field.
Combine his dominance this season with his recent history on this track and that’s why he’s the favorite this week.
Don’t forget to check out our NASCAR Cup odds. Elliott is also the favorite to win the championship with odds at +400.
Best Bet For Go Bowling At The Glen
Kyle Busch (+2200)
I’m going with recent success on this specific track for my first value pick. Kyle Busch’s 9.1 average finish at Watkins Glen International is second behind Chase Elliott for any active driver with at least two races on this track.
He’s also got two wins, which ties him with Elliott for tops among active drivers.
Two wins, seven top-fives and 13 top-10s in 16 races are all excellent reasons to pump Busch to win. And at +2200, a $100 winning bet on him would return a nice $2,200 profit. Now that’s good value.
A.J. Allmendinger (+1600)
Things have started to go in a better direction for A.J. Allmendinger of late. In his first seven races of the year, Allmendinger would routinely finish further back than he started with an average start-to-finish difference of -2.14 and an average finish of 23.7. But over his last four races, he’s changed that with an average finish of 12.75 and an average start-to-finish difference of +6.0.
In 10 races at Watkins Glen, he holds a 9.9 average finish, third-best among active drivers who have competed at least twice on this track.
His momentum and a solid record on this track is enough to think he could pull out a win here.
Martin Truex Jr. (+1600)
Martin Truex Jr. is still on the outside looking in. Projected to finish 17th for NASCAR’s playoffs, Truex only has two options to get in: win or outpoint Ryan Blaney, who is the only driver without a win currently projected to make the playoffs.
Last weekend in Virginia represented perhaps Truex’s best chance to pick up that win, but he’s done well enough in Watkins Glen, New York, to suggest he could get that much-needed victory this weekend. He’s driven on this track 10 times in the past and has won once, back in 2017. In the next three races at Watkins Glen, he finished second, second and third.
At +1600, a winning bet on Martin Truex Jr. would return $1,600.
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