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Dubs haven’t been a reliable spread pick at home

The Golden State Warriors are back to business as usual after returning home from a successful three-game road trip. The Dubs finished 3-0 SU and now will play host to the Denver Nuggets and look for payback against a team that gave them one of their eight losses in the first half of the season. The Warriors can get back to the top of the NBA standings with a victory and opened as 9.5-point favorites.

  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Nuggets’ last eight games.
  • The Nuggets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after an ATS loss.
  • Stephen Curry has scored 74 points in two games since his return from injury.

Although the Warriors have a great home record, bettors may be finding it hard to find value wagering on them. Golden State is 9-11 ATS in 20 home games this season and 2-7-1 ATS in its last 10 games vs Denver. One of the main factors has been point differential. The Warriors rank first in the NBA at 9.8 points but in the past two seasons, that number topped 11. Although it may be a slight regression, every point is valuable when it comes to the Warriors’ spread bets as they’re routinely favored by double-digit points and have yet to be an underdog this season.

Another factor has been an ongoing shuffle of starting lineups with injuries mounting. Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry and Draymond Green have all been on the shelf for injuries and expecting this team to blitzkrieg the opposition every game may not be the best course of action.

The Nuggets, on the other hand, have had their own share of injury woes with offseason acquisition Paul Millsap still out from wrist surgery and Nikola Jokic having to miss seven games in December due to a turned ankle. Since Jokic’s return, results have been mixed at 6-5 SU and expecting the Nuggets to get another victory vs the Warriors could prove difficult as they’re 1-5 SU in their last six trips to Oracle Arena. However, for spread bettors, Denver has been profitable as it’s 5-1 ATS in those games.

For totals bettors, expect fireworks in this matchup. The OVER has hit 10 of the last 11 games in this matchup and both of these teams rank in the top 10 in scoring and both are middle of the pack in points allowed. Translation: TAKE THE OVER.

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Denver Nuggets will look to vanquish their hosts on Monday, as they are 19-19-1 versus the spread this season, while the Golden State Warriors are 19-21 ATS. Denver is 17-22 against the points scored total betting line, while Golden State is 21-18-1 versus the line. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Golden State vs Denver injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 3 (Golden State) and the No. 4 (Denver) teams in the league, according to our current NBA betting Power Rankings at OddsShark.

Statistical Matchup

In rebounding, the battle of the boards features Golden State's No. 6-rated NBA squad against Denver's No. 5-rated roster. When it comes to long-range shooting, Golden State rates No. 5 in the league with 11.77 treys per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 9 with 11.21 per outing.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Nuggets endured a 106-98 loss at the hands of the Kings on Saturday, despite a 19-point effort from Trey Lyles at Golden 1 Center.

Stephen Curry went off for 45 points and added 6 rebounds leading Golden State to a 121-105 win over the Clippers on Saturday at Staples Center.

Betting Trends
  • Denver is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games
  • Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Denver is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games on the road
  • Golden State is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
  • Golden State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
  • Golden State is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Denver home to Atlanta, Wednesday, January 10
Golden State home to Los Angeles, Wednesday, January 10