Nikola Jokic vs. Bam Adebayo

NBA Expert Picks For Feb. 29: Heat Underdogs In Finals Rematch With Nuggets

For all NBA games scheduled for Thursday, February 29, 2024, here are three spread, moneyline, and OVER/UNDER you need to strongly consider making:

Jump To Picks:

Recent Picks: February 28, 2024 (1-2)

GameBetResultW or LUnits
Dallas Mavericks vs. Toronto RaptorsMavericks ML136-125 MavericksW0.67
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Indiana PacersPelicans ATS +5.5123-114 PacersL-1
Sacramento Kings vs. Denver NuggetsOVER 230.5 Total Points213 Total PointsL-1
Overall 1-2L-1.33

Season Picks: Since Jan. 8, 2024


Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets

The Game: Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets, 10 p.m. ET

Miami Heat+5 (-110)+168O 213.5 (-110)
Denver Nuggets-5 (-110)-200U 213.5 (-110)

Pick: Miami Heat ML

The reigning champion Denver Nuggets are 7-4 on no rest this season after defeating the Sacramento Kings 116-97 on Wednesday. However, they could be without Jamal Murray in this Finals rematch as head coach Michael Malone may sit the 27-year-old guard for rest.

Denver is a respectable 9-7 in 2023-24 when Murray doesn't play, mind you, but against the red-hot Miami Heat, it needs to be all hands on deck for the second night of a back-to-back slate.

The Heat are riding a five-game winning streak even as key players have missed time either due to injury or suspension. They've struggled against the Nuggets in the past (1-10 SU in their last 11 games, including 1-4 in the 2023 Finals), but are in prime position to pull what oddsmakers believe to be an upset at the Ball Arena. 

Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns

The Game: Houston Rockets vs. Phoenix Suns, 9 p.m. ET

Houston Rockets+8.5 (-110)+290O 234 (-112)
Phoenix Suns-8.5 (-110)-360U 234 (-108)

Pick: Phoenix Suns ATS -8.5

The Phoenix Suns haven't been spread beasts by any stretch of the imagination this season, but have come on strong as of late with an 8-4 record ATS over their last 12 outings. 

There will be added incentive for Kevin Durant and company in this rubber match after the Houston Rockets took the most recent meeting on Feb. 24, 114-110. Phoenix has also been off since Sunday after defeating the Los Angeles Lakers by double-digits, as well, and will be extremely rested for whatever Houston has in store.

The Rockets haven't covered the spread in their last five games on the road, with a putrid 5-23 record SU when competing away from the Toyota Center.

Atlanta Hawks Vs. Brooklyn Nets

The Game: Atlanta Hawks vs. Brooklyn Nets, 7:30 p.m. ET

Atlanta Hawks+1.5 (-108)+106O 224 (-110)
Brooklyn Nets-1.5 (-112)-124U 224 (-110)

Pick: UNDER 224 Total Points

The Brooklyn Nets' offense continues to be an UNDER bettor's dream, putting up the third-fewest points per 100 possessions across the league in February at just 104.8. 

The Atlanta Hawks are without Trae Young for the foreseeable future after the All-Star guard underwent surgery on his left hand. They've averaged 116.5 points over the last two games without him, though. 

Still, when the Nets are factored in, with the total going UNDER in each of their last five games, it's extremely difficult to bet the OVER with any confidence.

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