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How Much Does Fatigue Matter in NBA Betting

The ability to handicap fatigue level for both teams and players in the NBA could be the difference between you winning and losing money. Some even consider it an important betting strategy because there are times during the season when teams play three games in four nights – and sometimes even four games in five nights – making the amount of energy and fatigue critical in determining whether a team covers the spread.

Handicap NBA Schedules Closely

This is why it’s especially important to handicap each NBA team’s schedule and look for spots where they might be tired or could be well-rested. If you see a team at the tail end of a four-games-in-five-nights stretch, they could very well become fade material.

Keep in mind, it’s not just physical fatigue that matters, but also mental fatigue. For example, heading into an eight-game road trip, a team might have a simple goal of earning a split. If that team has overperformed and goes into the finale at 5-2 straight-up through the first seven, they could be ripe for a letdown spot in the getaway game.

Remember, NBA players are professionals making tons of money, and they play way too many games to be at their best on a nightly basis. Even star players have to pace themselves for a grueling season, meaning there will be spots on the betting board where the winning team against the spread will be the one with the freshest legs. It’s rare for a team to play well in every game of a road trip or during a difficult stretch.

Good Basketball Teams Get Tired Too

In addition, do not think these fade scenarios should only be limited to the poorer teams either when it comes to fatigue. The better teams are often the ones that disappoint and fail to cover the spread due to the rigors of the regular season.

A strong team like the San Antonio Spurs or Cleveland Cavaliers could head into a game as a huge favorite at the end of a long road trip according to the NBA betting odds, and then they do just enough to win the game outright but fail to cover the spread.

To win more of your basketball bets, it is highly recommended that you try to attain more in-depth knowledge and learn how to handicap these potential NBA fatigue situations. By doing so, you can avoid common pitfalls that could damage your bankroll without learning about it.