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Mavericks vs Heat Preview

Miami HeatDallas Mavericks
Dec 20, 9:30 PM | American Airlines Center

Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Odds

16-6TEAM RECORD12-13

Dallas will look to improve on its 12-13 record on Thursday when they host Miami in NBA odds action at American Airlines Center.

(Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). The Mavericks currently sports a record of 12-13, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 12-13 ATS. The Heat are 16-6 and 11-11 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Mavericks post a 15-10 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Heat have gone 11-11 against the number.

View Miami vs Dallas Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
The Mavericks were listed as 5-point underdogs at sportsbooks tracked by Odds Shark (including GTbets.eu), with the total was listed at 203 over at 5Dimes earlier.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game pits the Mavericks, currently No. 22 in the Odds Shark NBA Power Rankings, against the Heat, who rate No. 12 in the most recent survey. Meanwhile, math and computer handicapping models run on this game predict a 106-99 victory for the Heat.

How They Match Up:
The game also pits Dallas's No. 10-ranked offense, averaging 100.2 PPG, against a Heat defense that ranks No. 16 at 97.9 PPG. The Mavericks field goal percentage has averaged 45.6% so far, less than the Heat shooters have achieved on the year, 49.5% per game.

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Heat own the league's No. 16-rated mark, allowing 100 points per game when playing on the road. Dallas, on the other hand, rates No. 4 in scoring on their home court.

In their last action, Miami was a 103-92 winner at home against the Timberwolves. They covered the 8.5-point spread as favorites, while the combined score (195) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. The Heat grabbed a 103-92 win over the Timberwolves on Tuesday, behind a 24-point effort from Dwyane Wade at AmericanAirlines Arena.

The Mavericks were a 107-100 winner in their most recent outing at home against the 76ers. They covered the 6.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (207) made winners of OVER bettors. The Mavericks got a 26-point performance from O.J. Mayo as Dallas ran past Philadelphia 107-100 on Tuesday at American Airlines Center.

Miami Heat Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 3-7
Before playing Utah are 6-4
After playing Minnesota are 5-5
After a win are 7-3

Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Thursday are 8-2
Before playing Memphis are 4-6
After playing Philadelphia are 6-4
After a win are 4-6

A few Heat at Mavericks trends to consider:
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Miami is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Miami
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Miami

Next up:
Miami home to Utah, Saturday, December 22
Dallas at Memphis, Friday, December 21