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Big Playoff Implications in MIA-DET

Justise Winslow Reggie Jackson

While many NBA teams are simply going through the motions to end the regular season, the Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons still have plenty to play for. They’ll collide tonight in the Motor City, where the Pistons have opened as 2.5-point favorites for the affair.

Shark Bites
  • The Heat are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 2.5 or less.
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Pistons' last four games with a closing total of 202.0 or less.
  • The Pistons are 7-2 SU in their last nine games at home.

The Heat need to win their final two games to secure home court advantage in the playoffs, meaning Wednesday’s matchup with the Boston Celtics at TD Garden could be massive if they can get by the Pistons tonight.

Trends are pointing to Detroit in this one, however. Home court advantage in this series has been huge, as visiting clubs have gone 1-5 SU and ATS in the last six meetings between the Eastern Conference foes. Dwayne Wade and company have been a much different team away from home, as the Heat are winners of 10 of their last 11 at home but have dropped four of their previous five away from the Sunshine State.

The OVER is a hot bet when Miami takes its act on the road, evidenced by the OVER going 8-2 in the Heat’s last 10 road contests.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Those looking to pick the visitors as their prediction to cover in this one found the Miami Heat listed as 3-point underdogs earlier at BetOnline. Meanwhile, the OVER/UNDER total betting line for this game was set at 205.5 at Bovada but may have moved since the betting odds opened.

Odds Shark score prediction models pick a 101-99 result in favor of the Pistons today. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Detroit Pistons are 43-37 so far on the NBA season, and 41-36-3 ATS vs the spread betting line. The Miami Heat, meanwhile, are 47-33 and 42-37-1 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Detroit go 40-38-2 and the Heat go 34-46 on the total. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Detroit vs Miami injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams with the Detroit Pistons rated this week at No. 13 and the Miami Heat sitting at No. 8.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Detroit's No. 18-ranked offense averaging 101.95 PPG, against a Miami Heat defense that ranks No. 5 at 98.47 PPG. The Detroit Pistons field goal percentage has averaged 43.92% so far, less than the Miami Heat shooters have achieved on the year, 47.07% per game.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Heat blew out Orlando on Sunday, running up the score in a 118-96 win at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Reggie Jackson went off for 39 points and added 4 rebounds leading Detroit to a 112-99 win over Washington on Friday at The Palace of Auburn Hills.

Betting Trends
  • Miami is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 9 games
  • Miami is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
  • Detroit is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Miami at Boston, Wednesday, April 13th
Detroit at Cleveland, Wednesday, April 13th