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NBA odds preview - Grizzlies vs. Nuggets

Memphis GrizzliesDenver Nuggets
March 11, 8:00 PM | Pepsi Center

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets Odds

23-16TEAM RECORD23-18

Bettors will be looking to hit pay dirt on Sunday when the Nuggets try to run the Grizzlies off the court at Pepsi Center in pro hoops action.

Denver will face the 23-16 Grizzlies, who own a 19-20 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Nuggets are 21-20 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Grizzlies are 17-22 favoring the OVER.

View Memphis vs Denver Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
Sportsbooks have set the Nuggets as 6-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was listed at 201, but may be on the move.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 15 (Nuggets) and the No. 13 (Grizzlies) teams in the league, according to our current NBA Power Rankings at Odds Shark. A 101-100 result in favor of the Nuggets is predicted by handicapping models.

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Denver's No. 1-ranked offense (104.1 PPG) against a Grizzlies defense that ranks No. 7 at 92.1 PPG. The Nuggets have averaged 46.8% from the field per game, more than the Grizzlies have managed so far this season (44.8% on average).

Defensively, the Grizzlies feature the league's No. 6-rated defense on the road, allowing 93.2 points per game. Denver, meanwhile, comes in at No. 4 in the league in scoring at home.

The Grizzlies were a 98-91 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Suns. They failed to cover the 1.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (189) made winners of UNDER bettors. Memphis suffered a 98-91 loss against Phoenix on Saturday, getting 21 points from Marc Gasol in a losing effort at US Airways Center.

Denver won its last outing, a 110-97 result against the Hornets on March 9. The Nuggets covered in that game as a 11-point favorite, while the 207 combined points took the game OVER the total. Arron Afflalo scored 28 points for Denver on Friday, leading the Nuggets to a 110-97 victory over New Orleans at Pepsi Center.

Memphis Grizzlies Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 3-7
Before playing LA Lakers are 3-7
After playing Phoenix are 6-4
After a loss are 5-5

Denver Nuggets Trends:
When playing on Sunday are 7-3
Before playing Atlanta are 3-7
After playing New Orleans are 7-3
After a win are 5-5

A few Grizzlies at Nuggets trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Denver
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Memphis
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

Next up:
Memphis home to LA Lakers, Tuesday, March 13
Denver home to Atlanta, Tuesday, March 13

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