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Warriors Have the Blazers on the Ropes

Stephen Curry CJ McCollum

The Portland Trail Blazers’ odds to win their second-round series with the Golden State Warriors were stacked against them even without Stephen Curry in the fold, but now that the sharpshooter is back it may take a miracle for them to overcome the 3-1 series deficit they’re facing. Game 5 gets underway in California tonight.

Shark Bites
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Warriors' last seven games with one day off between games.
  • The Warriors are 7-0 SU and ATS in their last seven games at home.
  • The Trail Blazers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games with one day off between games.

Curry returned in Game 4 and didn’t miss a beat, erupting for a game-high 40 points including an NBA-record 17 in overtime to rally the Dubs to a 132-125 victory. Portland led 16-2 before Curry entered with six minutes remaining in the first quarter and led 71-59 in the third before Golden State mounted their comeback.

Only nine teams in NBA history have ever overcome a 3-1 deficit to win a series, but Houston did so against the L.A. Clippers in last year’s West semifinals. The Blazers also won four straight against the Clips in the opening round after dropping the first two.

When Portland is coming off a loss, the UNDER is trending. The Trail Blazers have gone UNDER in seven of their last eight after a loss.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Sportsbooks such as TopBet had the Golden State Warriors installed as -12.5-point favorites in this particular NBA matchup. The over-under betting line for the total number of point scored was listed by most sportsbooks, including Bovada, at 216.5.

Handicapping models based on recent betting stats and prediction formulas pick a 124-100 win for the Warriors. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NBA matchups here.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Golden State battles the Portland Trail Blazers, currently with a 49-43 mark (48-44 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, important for totals betting, are 49-41-1 for the Golden State Warriors and 49-43 for the Portland Trail Blazers. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Golden State vs Portland injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams with the Golden State Warriors rated this week at No. 1 and the Portland Trail Blazers sitting at No. 13.

Statistical Matchup

When it comes to rebounds, the visiting Portland Trail Blazers rank No. 5 in the league with 45.73 per game. That compares with Golden State's No. 3 ranking in that category. The story is different when it comes to three-point shooting where Golden State is the NBA's No. 1-ranked team at 13.02 per game, while the Portland Trail Blazers rate No. 3 with 10.64 per contest.

Recent Outings Betting Recap


Betting Trends
  • Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
  • Portland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Portland is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games on the road
  • Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Golden State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
  • Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
  • Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Portland home to Golden State, Friday, May 13th