Paolo Banchero & Duke slight favorites against Arkansas on March 26, 2022.

Razorbacks vs Blue Devils Picks & Prediction: Duke Favored Over Pesky Arkansas

The Duke Blue Devils (31-6 SU, 19-15-3 ATS) are 5-3 SU and 3-5 ATS in their last eight appearances in the Elite Eight ahead of their West Region matchup against the Arkansas Razorbacks. The Blue Devils will try to punch their ticket to the final four by cashing in as a Razorbacks vs Blue Devils prediction this Saturday night in San Francisco.

Arkansas Razorbacks vs Duke Blue Devils
  • Date/Time: March 26, 8:49 p.m. ET
  • Stadium: Chase Center
  • TV Coverage: TBS
  • Sportsbook Odds: Blue Devils -4 | O/U 147.5 points (Line History)
  • Razorbacks vs Blue Devils Matchup Report

Razorbacks vs Blue Devils Odds & Analysis

Sportsbook Odds

The Razorbacks vs Blue Devils Predictions on this matchup have been fairly even on both sides as the betting line has remained steady since Duke opened as a 4-point favorite. The total in this Elite Eight showdown has settled in at 147 points after Sportsbook at 147.5 points. The OVER is 7-2 in Arkansas’ last nine games.

Get the best Razorbacks vs Blue Devils odds and lines available from our recommended sportsbooks for your favorite picks of the night.

  • Best Spread
    -108
    -112
    ARK+4.5
    -4.5DUKE
  • Best Moneyline
    +185
    -215
    ARK
    DUKE
  • Best Total
    -115
    -105
    Over147.5
    147.5Under

Duke’s Offense Is Driving The Blue Devils’ Success

Many college basketball fans were expecting Duke to struggle against an elite offense like Texas Tech’s in the Sweet 16. The Blue Devils passed the test however with a 78-73 win as all five starters scored at least 11 points in the victory. Paulo Banchero’s 22 points led the way and brought his NCAA Tournament average up to 19.3 points per game.

Duke is averaging 80.3 points per game in March Madness and 82.2 points per game over its last nine games. The Blue Devils have covered the spread in each of their last two games after going through an 0-5 ATS slump over their previous five games. This group appears to be playing its best basketball at the right time, and bettors taking Duke as their Razorbacks vs Blue Devils prediction hope that this trend continues on Saturday.

Arkansas Has Five Straight ATS Wins As An Underdog

This was supposed to be the year that the Gonzaga Bulldogs finally got over the hump and secured their first NCAA Championship in program history. But the Razorbacks had other plans, upsetting the Bulldogs 74-68 as 9.5-point underdogs in the Sweet 16. Arkansas looked physically dominant throughout as JD Notae recorded 21 points and Jaylin Williams added 15 points and 12 rebounds.

The Razorbacks improved to 5-0 ATS over their last five games as an underdog with the win in a stretch that includes outright upsets of Auburn and LSU in addition to Gonzaga. Arkansas is 18-3 SU and 15-5-1 over its last 21 games. Any concerns about their 1-2 SU slump to end the regular season have been removed by this impressive postseason run thus far.

Razorbacks vs Blue Devils Pick & Insights

Razorbacks: Keys to Cover

The Razorbacks seem to consistently rise to the occasion as underdogs. The chance to score another upset over a program of Duke’s caliber should bring out the best in Arkansas on both sides of the court, making them a very live Razorbacks vs Blue Devils prediction in the Elite Eight.

Blue Devils: Keys to Cover

Duke’s 82-67 loss in the ACC Tournament Championship Game is looking more like an outlier than a sign of weakness at this point. The Blue Devils have scored at least 78 points in their last eight games outside of that one and the physicality of Michigan State and Texas Tech should have prepared Duke for Arkansas as a Razorbacks vs Blue Devils pick in this spot.

Odds Shark’s Computer Razorbacks vs Blue Devils Prediction: Duke -4

Check out more of Odds Shark’s signature NBA and NCAAB computer picks, plus our favorite sportsbooks that serve up basketball customers.

Shark Bites
  • Arkansas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games vs ACC opponents.
  • Duke is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a favorite.
  • The OVER is 8-1 in Duke’s last 9 games.

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