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Duke Has Been A Money Pit In Conference Play

Duke keeps getting by but it hasn’t always been pretty this season. With the Blue Devils dealing with a glut of injuries and inconsistencies, they have proven to be fade material. Duke has gone just 6-17-1 ATS in the past 24 games against ACC competition, which includes failing to cover by just 0.5 points against Clemson on Wednesday. The Blue Devils look to claw their way through the stiff ACC when they take on Louisville in the quarterfinals of the conference tournament Thursday.

  • The favored team is 3-0 SU in the last 3 games between Duke and Louisville.
  • Louisville is 9-1 SU and ATS in its last 10 games as a favorite of 2.5 or less.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Duke's last 11 games as underdog.

The Blue Devils can’t meander around against Louisville the way they did against Clemson on Wednesday. Duke had a lot of foul trouble in the first 20 minutes against the Tigers and went into halftime tied before taking over in the second half. That game saw the Blue Devils carried by the trio of Luke Kennard, Jayson Tatum and Frank Jackson, who took 45 of the team’s 61 shots while accounting for 60 of its 79 points.

Louisville enters this contest well rested thanks to a double bye heading into the ACC tourney. Rest could play a huge factor in this game for the Cardinals, as their depth and ability to wear down Duke was a big reason they ultimately picked up the 78-69 victory earlier this season. Donovan Mitchell has been lights out during conference play with the first-team all-ACC player averaging 18.1 points while shooting 44 percent from the floor against conference opponents.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Betting fans looking to side with the Louisville Cardinals to cover the point spread in this one found them as 0-point earlier in the day. Watch for line moves and updates at Bovada before gametime.

Duke Blue Devils vs Louisville Cardinals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

This college basketball season, the Louisville Cardinals are 24-7 overall and 18-11 ATS, while the Duke Blue Devils are 24-8 and 12-18-1 ATS. As for the betting totals, Louisville boasts a 14-15 on the OU, and Duke is 15-16.

The Louisville Cardinals sit at No. 53 in the current college hoops power poll here at Odds Shark, while the Duke Blue Devils sit at No. 33 on the same chart.

Statistical Matchup

Scoring and defensive stats point to some betting edges in this matchup. The game features Louisville's No. 73-ranked scoring average of 77.55 PPG, against a Duke Blue Devils defense rated No. 78 and allowing 69.22 PPG. The Louisville Cardinals FG% has averaged 45.47% to date this season, less than the Duke Blue Devils shooters have managed so far (47.38% per game).

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Blue Devils got 20 points from Frank Jackson as Duke ran past Clemson 79-72 on Wednesday at Barclays Center.

The Cardinals grabbed a 71-64 win over the Fighting Irish on Saturday, behind a 20-point effort from Donovan Mitchell at KFC Yum! Center.

Betting Trends
  • Duke is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Duke is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 13 of Duke's last 19 games
  • Louisville is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Louisville is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Louisville's last 9 games
  • Louisville is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Duke