The sixth-ranked Duke Blue Devils (14-2 SU, 9-4-3 ATS) will go for their third straight conference victory on Tuesday when they visit the Florida State Seminoles (10-5, 6-9) as solid road favorites at sportsbooks monitored by Odds Shark. The Blue Devils vs Seminoles prediction has the visitors favored at -5 as they try for their 10th win in 11 meetings, although the hosts will be going for four wins in a row in ACC play.
Blue Devils vs Seminoles Odds & Analysis
Bettors liked Duke in early betting action, pushing the favorite up two points to -6 as of late Monday. The point spread could rise even more based on the recent history between these two ACC schools, although the Blue Devils have covered the spread in only one of the past six meetings. The difference is that Florida State has been an underdog of 7 points or more in each of the last five head-to-head matchups with Duke, going 4-1 ATS.
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Scoring Has Not Been An Issue For Blue Devils In Past 10 Meetings
Even though Duke has struggled to cover the spread in this series lately, it has not been due to a lack of scoring. The Blue Devils have scored 70 points or more in the last 10 games against the Seminoles, with the UNDER surprisingly going 7-2-1.
That is a credit to Duke’s defense, as Florida State was held to 65 points or less five times during that stretch, including the past two meetings.
Before Saturday’s 88-73 win over the North Carolina State Wolfpack, the Blue Devils had allowed 67 or less in their previous six wins. In their two losses, they have given up more than 70, so defense again will be the focus.
Florida State Hoping To Use Home Court As Advantage In Key Matchup
While they certainly do not have the strongest home-court edge in the conference, the Seminoles have lost only one game there this season, a surprising 63-60 defeat to the Syracuse Orange as 7-point favorites on December 4.
Since then, they have gone 3-0 SU and ATS at home as part of season-long overall marks of 6-1 SU and 3-4 ATS.
Of the last six meetings, only two were played in Tallahassee, and Florida State went 2-0 ATS in those home games while defeating Duke 88-72 as a 1.5-point home favorite in 2017. The most recent home game was an 80-78 loss as a 7.5-point underdog in 2019.
Blue Devils vs Seminoles Pick & Insights
Blue Devils: Keys To Cover
The Blue Devils vs Seminoles prediction has the road team favored for a good reason, and all they need to do is continue to play solid defense to cover this shorter than average number. Remember, Duke is typically favored by 7 points or more in this matchup, so it will not be as difficult to beat this smaller spread assuming the team wins this game.
Seminoles: Keys To Cover
Florida State would like to reverse the series trend of losing, so what needs to happen? For the Blue Devils vs Seminoles prediction to blow up, the home team must finish strong and shoot the ball well. That happened in their 76-71 win over the Orange as 2.5-point road dogs last Saturday when they outscored Syracuse 40-34 in the second half. If they can carry that performance over here, then they should be the Blue Devils vs Seminoles pick.
Odds Shark’s Computer Blue Devils vs Seminoles Prediction: Blue Devils -5
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