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March Madness 1 vs 16 Betting History

It was perhaps the best lock in all of sports — until it wasn’t. A No. 16 seed had never defeated a No. 1 seed in March Madness until UMBC shocked the world by toppling Virginia in 2018. Outside of that anomaly, there haven’t been too many close calls in the past number of years either. In fact, just eight times since 2001 has a No. 16 finished within 10 points of a top seed.

However, seven of those times have been within the last seven tournaments, with three No. 16 seeds covering the spread in the 2014 NCAA Tournament.

The top 1 seed has won 24 national titles since 1985.

In 2018, two 16 seeds kept it close, as Xavier failed to cover and Virginia lost outright to UMBC in what was arguably the biggest upset in NCAA basketball history. In 2019, Virginia trailed Gardner-Webb 36-30 at halftime but rallied in the second half to win 71-56. No other No. 16 seeds came within 15 points of the No. 1.

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What Seed Has The Recent ATS Edge?

While 1 vs 16 first-round matchups have primarily been blowouts historically in March Madness, bettors have found little solace in backing the higher seed recently. Since 2014, No. 16 seeds have covered the spread 15 times in 28 games with 2014 being a banner year for 16 seeds as they covered three of four games.

Close Calls

Prior to Virginia’s 2018 debacle, the closest a No. 1 seed had ever come to being upset by a No. 16 seed came in 1989 when Georgetown edged Princeton 50-49. Two years later, Michigan State topped Murray State 75-71, and Purdue held off Western Carolina 73-71 in 1996.

The top seed has captured 24 national titles overall dating back to 1985. Over the past 15 years, a No. 1 seed has won the NCAA championship 11 times, including Baylor’s 2021 triumph.

Seed vs Seed Stats: 1 vs 16 | 2 vs 15 | 3 vs 14 | 4 vs 13 | 5 vs 12 | 6 vs 11 | 7 vs 10 | 8 vs 9

#1 Seed vs #16 Seed
#1 Seed Score #16 Seed Score Date ATS Win Win Seed ATS Seed
Illinois 78 Drexel 49 2021-03-19 Illinois 1 1
Baylor 79 Hartford 55 2021-03-19 Hartford 1 16
Michigan 82 Texas Southern 66 2021-03-20 Texas Southern 1 16
Gonzaga 98 Norfolk State 55 2021-03-20 Gonzaga 1 1
Gonzaga 87 Fairleigh Dickinson 49 2019-03-21 Gonzaga 1 1
North Carolina 88 Iona 73 2019-03-22 Iona 1 16
Duke 85 North Dakota State 62 2019-03-22 Iona 1 16
Virginia 71 Gardner-Webb 56 2019-03-22 Gardner-Webb 1 16
Villanova 87 Radford 61 2018-03-15 Villanova 1 1
Kansas 76 Penn 60 2018-03-15 Kansas 1 1
Virginia 54 UMBC 74 2018-03-16 UMBC 16 16
Xavier 102 Texas Southern 83 2018-03-16 Texas Southern 1 16
Villanova 76 Mount St. Mary’s 56 2017-03-16 Villanova 1 1
Kansas 100 UC Davis 62 2017-03-17 Kansas 1 1
Gonzaga 66 South Dakota State 46 2017-03-16 South Dakota State 1 16
North Carolina 103 Texas Southern 64 2017-03-16 North Carolina 1 1
Virginia 81 Hampton 45 2016-03-17 Virginia 1 1
Oregon 91 Holy Cross 52 2016-03-18 Oregon 1 1
North Carolina 83 Florida Gulf Coast 67 2016-03-17 Florida Gulf Coast 1 16
Kansas 105 Austin Peay 79 2016-03-17 Kansas 1 1
Kentucky 79 Hampton 56 2015-03-19 Hampton 1 16
Wisconsin 86 Coastal Carolina 72 2015-03-20 Coastal Carolina 1 16
Villanova 93 Lafayette 52 2015-03-19 Villanova 1 1
Duke 85 Robert Morris 56 2015-03-20 Duke 1 1
Virginia 70 Coastal Carolina 59 2014-03-21 Coastal Carolina 1 16
Wichita State 64 Cal Poly 37 2014-03-21 Wichita State 1 1
Arizona 68 Weber State 59 2014-03-21 Weber State 1 16
Florida 67 Albany 55 2014-03-20 Albany 1 16
Kansas 64 Western Kentucky 57 2013-03-22 Western Kentucky 1 16
Indiana 83 James Madison 62 2013-03-22 James Madison 1 16
Louisville 79 North Carolina A&T 48 2013-03-21 Louisville 1 1
Gonzaga 64 Southern 58 2013-03-21 Southern 1 16
Michigan State 89 Long Island 67 2012-03-16 Michigan State 1 1
North Carolina 77 Vermont 58 2012-03-16 North Carolina 1 1
Kentucky 81 Western Kentucky 66 2012-03-15 Western Kentucky 1 16
Syracuse 72 UNC Asheville 65 2012-03-15 UNC Asheville 1 16
Kansas 72 Boston University 53 2011-03-18 Boston University 1 16
Ohio State 75 Texas-San Antonio 46 2011-03-18 Ohio State 1 1
Duke 87 Hampton 45 2011-03-18 Duke 1 1
Pittsburgh 74 UNC Asheville 51 2011-03-17 Pittsburgh 1 1
Syracuse 79 Vermont 56 2010-03-19 Syracuse 1 1
Duke 73 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 44 2010-03-19 Duke 1 1
Kansas 90 Lehigh 74 2010-03-18 Lehigh 1 16
Kentucky 100 East Tennessee State 71 2010-03-18 Kentucky 1 1
Louisville 74 Morehead State 54 2009-03-20 Morehead State 1 16
Pittsburgh 72 East Tennessee State 62 2009-03-20 East Tennessee State 1 16
Connecticut 103 Chattanooga 47 2009-03-19 Connecticut 1 1
North Carolina 101 Radford 58 2009-03-19 North Carolina 1 1
Memphis 87 Texas-Arlington 63 2008-03-21 Texas-Arlington 1 16
North Carolina 113 Mount St. Mary’s 74 2008-03-21 North Carolina 1 1
UCLA 70 Miss Valley State 29 2008-03-20 UCLA 1 1
Kansas 85 Portland State 61 2008-03-20 Kansas 1 1
Florida 112 Jackson State 69 2007-03-16 Florida 1 1
Kansas 107 Niagara 67 2007-03-16 Kansas 1 1
North Carolina 86 Eastern Kentucky 65 2007-03-15 Eastern Kentucky 1 16
Ohio State 78 Cent Conn State 57 2007-03-15 Ohio State 1 1
Connecticut 72 Albany 59 2006-03-17 Albany 1 16
Villanova 58 Monmouth 45 2006-03-17 Monmouth 1 16
Memphis 94 Oral Roberts 78 2006-03-17 Memphis 1 1
Duke 70 Southern 54 2006-03-16 Southern 1 16
Duke 57 Delaware State 46 2005-03-18 Delaware State 1 16
North Carolina 96 Oakland 68 2005-03-18 PUSH 1  
Illinois 67 Fairleigh Dickinson 55 2005-03-17 Fairleigh Dickinson 1 16
Washington 88 Montana 77 2005-03-17 Montana 1 16
Kentucky 96 Florida A&M 76 2004-03-19 Florida A&M 1 16
Duke 96 Alabama State 61 2004-03-18 Duke 1 1
Stanford 71 Texas-San Antonio 45 2004-03-18 Stanford 1 1
Saint Joseph’s 82 Liberty 63 2004-03-18 Liberty 1 16
Kentucky 95 IUPUI 64 2003-03-21 Kentucky 1 1
Texas 82 UNC Asheville 61 2003-03-21 UNC Asheville 1 16
Arizona 80 Vermont 51 2003-03-20 Arizona 1 1
Oklahoma 71 South Carolina State 54 2003-03-20 South Carolina State 1 16
Cincinnati 90 Boston University 52 2002-03-15 Cincinnati 1 1
Maryland 85 Siena 70 2002-03-15 Siena 1 16
Duke 84 Winthrop 37 2002-03-14 Duke 1 1
Kansas 70 Holy Cross 59 2002-03-14 Holy Cross 1 16
Illinois 96 Northwestern State 54 2001-03-16 Illinois 1 1
Michigan State 69 Alabama State 35 2001-03-16 Michigan State 1 1
Stanford 89 UNC Greensboro 60 2001-03-15 Stanford 1 1
Duke 95 Monmouth 52 2001-03-15 Duke 1 1
Duke 82 Lamar 55 2000-03-17 Lamar 1 16
Stanford 84 South Carolina State 65 2000-03-17 South Carolina State 1 16
Arizona 71 Jackson State 47 2000-03-16 Jackson State 1 16
Michigan State 65 Valparaiso 38 2000-03-16 Michigan State 1 1
Michigan State 76 Mount St. Mary’s 53 1999-03-12 Mount St. Mary’s 1 16
Duke 99 Florida A&M 58 1999-03-12 Florida A&M 1 16
Auburn 80 Winthrop 41 1999-03-11 Auburn 1 1
Connecticut 91 Texas-San Antonio 66 1999-03-11 Texas-San Antonio 1 16
Kansas 110 Prairie View A&M 52 1998-03-13 Kansas 1 1
Duke 99 Radford 63 1998-03-13 Duke 1 1
North Carolina 88 Navy 52 1998-03-12 North Carolina 1 1
Arizona 99 Nicholls State 60 1998-03-12 Arizona 1 1
Minnesota 78 Texas State 46 1997-03-14 Minnesota 1 1
Kentucky 92 Montana 54 1997-03-13 Kentucky 1 1
Kansas 78 Jackson State 64 1997-03-13 Jackson State 1 16
North Carolina 82 Fairfield 74 1997-03-13 Fairfield 1 16
Connecticut 68 Colgate 59 1996-03-14 Colgate 1 16
Massachusetts 92 Central Florida 70 1996-03-14 Central Florida 1 16
Kentucky 110 San Jose State 72 1996-03-14 Kentucky 1 1
Purdue 73 Western Carolina 71 1996-03-14 Western Carolina 1 16

March Madness 1 vs 16 Betting History

Where can I bet on the 1 vs 16 seed March Madness game?

You can bet on the 1 vs 16 seed matchup of the NCAAB National Championship tournament at most popular sites to bet on March Madness. Odds Shark has compiled a comprehensive list of the best March Madness betting sites with in-depth reviews, analysis, and perks of each site for experienced bettors and casual fans.

How do I bet on the 1 vs 16 seed March Madness game?

If you are researching how to bet on the 1 vs 16 seed March Madness matchup, look no further than Odds Shark. We have put together an expert How To Bet on March Madness Guide that outlines how to read odds, the different betting formats available, and some March Madness betting strategy.

When was the last time a 16 seed beat a 1 seed in March Madness?

In 2018, University of Maryland, Baltimore County (UMBC), beat the No. 1 seed Virginia 74-54 to become the first 16 over 1 upset in March Madness history. Despite over 100 all-time games played between the 16 seed and 1 seed, a tournament upset has only occurred once heading into 2021.