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Louisville Struggling to Cover The Spread

It has been a season of irregularities with Louisville as the team has bounced back-and-forth between spectacular and awful. This sporadic play has led to the Cardinals losing bettors' money, or making money if you have been fading Louisville, as they are 2-8 ATS in their past 10 games. Louisville will play host to No.2 UNC Tar Heels Monday at the KFC Yum! Center.

Shark Bites
  • UNC is 1-7 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as underdogs.
  • Louisville is 2-9 SU in their last 11 games against top-five opponents..
  • UNC is 1-3 ATS in games coming off a SU win.

Louisville is coming off their worst performance of the season as the Cardinals scored just 47 points while shooting 32.7 percent from the floor. Louisville’s offensive production has been inconsistent as they have scored less than 70 points in two of their past five, but have also scored over 80 twice in that span. After six consecutive double-doubles, Chinanu Onuaku has scored a combined 10 points with five rebounds in the past two games.

UNC comes into Monday as winners of their past 12 games, but have gone just 5-7 ATS in that span. Brice Johnson has put up some phenomenal numbers recently as the senior has averaged 21 points and 13 rebounds over the past three games. 

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The North Carolina Tar Heels opened as 2-point underdogs in this one at most sportsbooks tracked at Odds Shark, including MyBookie. The total was set to open a bit later (check out Bovada for the latest situation).

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Louisville Cardinals Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Supporters of the North Carolina Tar Heels have watched them go 19-2 and 8-11-2 ATS on the college basketball season, while the Louisville Cardinals are at 17-4 and 8-9 ATS. In totals betting, the Louisville Cardinals are 8-9, while the North Carolina Tar Heels have a 14-7 mark.

This college basketball game matches up the No. 38 (Louisville) and the No. 11 (North Carolina) teams in the league, according to our current NCAA basketball power rankings.

Statistical Matchup

Scoring and defensive stats point to some betting edges in this matchup. The game features Louisville's No. 44-ranked scoring average of 79.33 PPG, against a North Carolina Tar Heels defense rated No. 128 and allowing 70.29 PPG. The Louisville Cardinals FG% has averaged 48.46% to date this season, less than the North Carolina Tar Heels shooters have managed so far (48.48% per game).

Recent Outings Betting Recap

The Tar Heels blew out Boston College on Saturday, running up a 20+ point victory in a 89-62 win at Dean Smith Center.

Raymond Spalding scored 12 points in a futile effort to lead the Cardinals to a win (they lost 63-47 to Virginia at KFC Yum! Center on Saturday).

Betting Trends
  • North Carolina is 6-11-2 ATS in its last 19 games
  • North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of North Carolina's last 13 games
  • North Carolina is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Louisville is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games
  • Louisville is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games
  • Louisville is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 7 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

North Carolina at Notre Dame, Saturday, February 6th
Louisville at Boston College, Saturday, February 6th