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Point spread favors Wildcats in battle with Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar HeelsKentucky Wildcats
Dec 3, 12:00 PM | Rupp Arena

North Carolina Tar Heels vs Kentucky Wildcats Odds


Kentucky will look to improve on its 7-0 record on Saturday when they host North Carolina in NCAAB odds action at Rupp Arena.

Kentucky will face the 6-1 Tar Heels, who own a 3-3 ATS mark on the season. In totals betting, the Wildcats are 2-3 favoring the UNDER so far this season while the Tar Heels are 4-2 favoring the OVER.

View North Carolina vs Kentucky Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
On the opening NCAAB line for this matchup, Kentucky sat as 6.5-point favorites.

Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Wildcats - Tar Heels odds would favor the Wildcats if the lines were set according to our power ranks. Kentucky is rated No. 10 in the current Odds Shark poll, while North Carolina is at No. 47. Mathematical models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 102-88 win for the Wildcats.

How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and Kentucky has the nation's No. 15-rated offensive output, at 83.7 PPG. The visiting Tar Heels defense ranks No. 222 allowing on average 69 PPG. The Wildcats FG% has averaged 49.6% so far, more than the Tar Heels marksmen have achieved on the year, 49.3% per game.

Defensively, North Carolina features the nation's No. 98-rated defense on the road, allowing 65 points per game. Kentucky, meanwhile, comes in at No. 43 nationally in scoring at home.

Last time out for North Carolina, they were a 60-57 winner as they battled Wisconsin at home. They failed to cover in the match as a 6.5-point favorite. North Carolina got 20 points from Harrison Barnes en route to a 60-57 victory over Wisconsin on Wednesday at Dean Smith Center.

In their last action, Kentucky was an 81-59 winner at home against St. John's. They failed to cover the 24–point spread as favorites. Kentucky cruised to victory on Thursday, running St. John's out of the gym and running up an 81-59 score at Rupp Arena.

North Carolina Tar Heels Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 8-2
Before playing Evansville are 2-0
After playing Wisconsin are 1-0
After a win are 7-3

Kentucky Wildcats Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 8-2
Before playing Indiana are 7-3
After playing St. John's are 0-1
After a win are 9-1

A few Tar Heels at Wildcats trends to consider:
North Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of North Carolina's last 22 games on the road
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kentucky's last 6 games when playing North Carolina
Kentucky is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing North Carolina

Next up:
North Carolina home to Evansville, Tuesday, December 6
Kentucky at Indiana, Saturday, December 10