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Reeling Irish Return Home for Annual Clash with Navy Midshipmen


The Notre Dame Fighting Irish will try to rebound from a lopsided 41-8 loss in Miami as 3.5-point chalk, which has bounced them from College Football Playoff contention, when they take on the Navy Midshipmen on Saturday at Notre Dame Stadium. Navy halted a three-game SU slide with a narrow 43-40 win over SMU as 1.5-point chalk last weekend.

Shark Bites
  • Notre Dame is 2-7 ATS in its last nine games against the American Athletic Conference.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of Notre Dame’s last five games at home in November.
  • Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last six games on the road.

Dreams of a national championship for Notre Dame likely ended with last weekend’s loss in Miami. The Irish fell to 9-2 with the loss and have failed to cover in two straight outings, halting a 6-0 ATS run. However, the squad is unbeaten SU in four home dates, and has held opponents to 20 or fewer points in five of six home games this season.

The Midshipmen improved to 6-3 SU with last weekend’s victory over the Mustangs, but have struggled on the road in their past two, covering as 3.5-point underdogs in a 30-27 loss at Memphis last month, and falling 34-26 at Temple as 6-point chalk two weeks ago. However, Navy is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road after losing its two previous road contests.  

Notre Dame has largely dominated in annual meetings between these two squads, winning SU in the past three in South Bend, and 16 of 20 overall. However, Navy came away with a 28-27 victory as a 7-point home underdog last year, and has covered in three of the past four.  The total has also gone OVER in six of their past seven dates with the Irish.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

Oddsmakers at Bovada had the Notre Dame Fighting Irish as 18.5-point favorites in the matchup, while the betting total had not been set at press time. Check BetOnline for the latest on the OVER/UNDER.

OddsShark college football prediction models picked a 42-27 result in favor of the Fighting Irish on Saturday. Check the matchup report for any updates or pick revisions before kickoff. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Navy Midshipmen vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish sit at 8-2 (7-3 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Navy Midshipmen are currently 6-3 (5-3-1 ATS). Looking to bet on the totals? Notre Dame is 6-4 OU, and Navy is 4-5 OU. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Notre Dame vs Navy injuries news.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Fighting Irish rated this week at No. 11 and the Midshipmen sitting at No. 66.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Notre Dame's No. 14-ranked offense, averaging 38 PPG, against a Navy defense that ranks No. 91 this week at 30.33 PPG. The Notre Dame aerial game is averaging 168.5 yards per game, less than the Navy secondary allows through the air, 244.33 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Midshipmen own the league's No. 23-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 122.75 yards per game when on the road. Notre Dame, on the other hand, rates No. 5 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Notre Dame didn't make much of a game of it last time out, losing to the Hurricanes as Miami blasted them 41-8 in Week 11 action.

Betting Trends
  • Navy is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
  • Navy is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
  • Navy is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
  • Navy is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Notre Dame
  • Notre Dame is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
  • Notre Dame is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Notre Dame's last 12 games
  • Notre Dame is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Navy at Houston, Friday, November 24
Notre Dame at Stanford, Saturday, November 25