NCAAF

Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan Wolverines

Northwestern
Wildcats
3 - 3
Michigan
Wolverines
6 - 0
October 23, 2021, 12:00 PM EDT
 | Michigan Stadium

Game Preview

Northwestern
Wildcats
3 - 3
Michigan
Wolverines
6 - 0
October 23, 2021, 12:00 PM EDT
 | Michigan Stadium
  • After pulling out a close one against Nebraska two weeks ago, the Michigan Wolverines (6-0 SU, 5-1 ATS) look to continue their undefeated ways against the Northwestern Wildcats (3-3, 2-4), who have struggled after looking so solid last season. At first glance, Michigan laying 21.5 points is tough to swallow, but Northwestern has struggled to cover this year and Michigan has been fantastic at home, making the number much more palatable.

    Northwestern Wildcats vs Michigan Wolverines
    • Date/Time: October 23, 12 noon ET
    • Stadium: Michigan Stadium
    • TV Coverage: Fox
    • Sportsbook Odds: Michigan -21.5 | O/U 50.5 (Line History)
    • Northwestern vs Michigan Matchup Report

    Sportsbook Odds Analysis

    Any time you see a line above three touchdowns, it’s fair to wonder what value there is on that line. On top of that, it is always tough when you face conference teams that are known to be tough defensively and like to limit possessions. However, Northwestern is not one of those teams. Nebraska ran up 56 points on the Wildcats, which should dispel any thought that Northwestern can possibly limit Michigan’s offense. Yes, 21.5 points is a hefty spread, but with Michigan’s defense, take the number with confidence.

    See Odds Shark’s Best College Football Betting Sites

    Northwestern News & Notes

    Per usual, Northwestern has struggled to score points, averaging just 21.8 points per game, which is third to last in the Big Ten. The offense took a hit prior to the season when the Wildcats lost running back Cam Porter, who would’ve made a big difference.

    On top of that, the normally stout Northwestern defense has not been what head coach Pat Fitzgerald has been accustomed to. Last season, the Wildcats allowed just 15.9 points per game, good for fifth in the entire country. This year, however, they have fallen to 62nd, giving up 23.8 points per game. Moreover, they are allowing 410.8 total yards per game, the second-most in the Big Ten.

    Neither is a recipe for success, but last week was a sign of positive momentum as Northwestern clobbered upstart Rutgers 21-7.

    “Probably our best game collectively as a defense,” Fitzgerald said after the contest. “That group’s got a ton of pride. We’re getting a little bit more experience now as the season goes along.”

    Michigan News & Notes

    After a hard-earned win against Nebraska two weeks ago, Michigan had last week off to regroup. Going into this home game against Northwestern, Michigan stands as one of just 11 undefeated teams remaining in college football and one of six among Power Five teams.

    The Wolverines have the fourth-best scoring defense in the Big Ten, while also possessing the second-best scoring offense.

    Michigan’s 6-0 record represents the team’s best start since 2016 when the Wolverines stormed out of the gates to a 9-0 mark. They have a ways to go before hitting that mark, but are in a good position with just one matchup against a ranked team in their next three games.

    How Northwestern Will Cover

    This is going to be an arduous task. Northwestern needs to have a solid run game and control the clock. If the Wildcats get to 150 rushing yards within three quarters, that should be enough to hold the ball and keep Michigan from dominating time of possession. That should keep the defense fresh and if they capitalize on their chances, that will be their ticket to a potential upset.

    How Michigan Will Cover

    Michigan covering the number comes down to a simple thing: can the defense continue its torrid pace? If it does, Northwestern’s offense will flame out and be unable to keep pace with the Wolverines’ dominant rushing attack. If Michigan holds Northwestern under 200 yards of offense, the Wildcats have no chance to cover, let alone win.

    Computer Pick: Northwestern +21.5

    For more college football predictions, visit our NCAAF Computer Picks page.

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    Shark Bites
    • Northwestern is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
    • The UNDER is 4-1 in Michigan’s last 5 home games.
    • Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 Week 8 games.

Odds

Saturday, October 23 Sat Oct 23


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
+21.5
-107
+850
o49.5
-107
-21.5
-107
-1600
u49.5
-107
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
+23.5
-110
+1250
o51
-115
-23.5
-110
-3000
u51
-105

Edge Finder

20.14
Points Scored
40.63
170.86
Passing Yards
240.75
99.86
Rushing Yards
174.25
28:22
Time on Field
32:19
65.71
Number of Plays
61.38
4.55
Yards Per Play
6.87
20.14
Points Scored
40.63
3.14
First Quarter
8.25
4.43
Second Quarter
13.38
4.43
Third Quarter
13.38
7.29
Fourth Quarter
5.63
170.86
Passing Yards
240.75
31.86
Pass Attempts
24.50
19.14
Pass Completions
18.88
4.29
Sacks
1.00
28.57
Sack Yards
6.63
8.93
Yards Per Pass
12.75
99.86
Rushing Yards
174.25
33.86
Rush Attempts
36.88
2.95
Yards Per Rush
4.73
0.71
Interceptions
0.50
1.00
Fumbles
0.75
0.14
Fumbles Lost
0.13
0.86
Total Turnovers
0.63
5.14
Penalties
2.88
42.43
Penalty Yards
24.75
28:22
Time on Field
32:19
65.71
Number of Plays
61.38
4.55
Yards Per Play
6.87
5.71
Punts
2.38
38.54
Punt Average
45.12
48.00
Return Yards
77.88

Head To Head

NWEST
Stat Type MICH
1-9
Record
9-1
6-4
ATS
4-6
3-7
O/U
3-7
15.70
Points Scored
26.70
81.80
Rush Yds
173.50
37.30
Pass Attempts
29.60
58.18
Completion %
55.41
228.70
Passing Yds
199.10
310.5
Total Yds
372.6
2.30
Turnovers
1.60
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
0-3
Record
3-0
2-1
ATS
1-2
1-2
O/U
1-2
8.67
Points Scored
22.67
19.00
Rush Yds
176.00
37.00
Pass Attempts
23.67
56.76
Completion %
60.56
192.33
Passing Yds
161.33
211.33
Total Yds
337.33
1.33
Turnovers
1.00
Sep 29/18 (1 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Home
Away
17
Points Scored
20
+14.5
ATS
-14.5
46.5 o
O/U
46.5 u
28
Rush Yds
180
29
Pass Attempts
24
55.17
Completion %
62.50
174
Passing Yds
196
202
Total Yds
376
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 10/15 (2 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Away
Home
0
Points Scored
38
+10.5
ATS
-10.5
37 o
O/U
37 u
38
Rush Yds
201
33
Pass Attempts
23
45.45
Completion %
73.91
130
Passing Yds
179
168
Total Yds
380
1
Turnovers
0
Nov 8/14 (3 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Home
Away
9
Points Scored
10
+2
ATS
-2
41 o
O/U
41 u
-9
Rush Yds
147
49
Pass Attempts
24
65.31
Completion %
45.83
273
Passing Yds
109
264
Total Yds
256
3
Turnovers
3
Nov 16/13 (4 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Home
Away
19
Points Scored
27
-2.5
ATS
+2.5
48.5 o
O/U
48.5 u
143
Rush Yds
139
34
Pass Attempts
43
67.65
Completion %
55.81
179
Passing Yds
226
322
Total Yds
365
1
Turnovers
0
Nov 10/12 (5 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Away
Home
31
Points Scored
38
+8.5
ATS
-8.5
51 o
O/U
51 u
248
Rush Yds
133
21
Pass Attempts
30
66.67
Completion %
53.33
183
Passing Yds
286
431
Total Yds
419
1
Turnovers
2
Oct 8/11 (6 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Home
Away
24
Points Scored
42
+7.5
ATS
-7.5
60 o
O/U
60 u
107
Rush Yds
179
45
Pass Attempts
28
71.11
Completion %
67.86
331
Passing Yds
362
438
Total Yds
541
2
Turnovers
3
Nov 15/08 (7 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Away
Home
21
Points Scored
14
+3
ATS
-3
45 o
O/U
45 u
59
Rush Yds
181
29
Pass Attempts
36
58.62
Completion %
33.33
198
Passing Yds
83
257
Total Yds
264
2
Turnovers
2
Sep 29/07 (8 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Home
Away
16
Points Scored
28
+17
ATS
-17
52 o
O/U
52 u
128
Rush Yds
120
42
Pass Attempts
38
52.38
Completion %
60.53
289
Passing Yds
260
417
Total Yds
380
5
Turnovers
0
Oct 28/06 (9 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Away
Home
3
Points Scored
17
+29.5
ATS
-29.5
42.5 o
O/U
42.5 u
-13
Rush Yds
202
42
Pass Attempts
20
47.62
Completion %
50.00
204
Passing Yds
116
191
Total Yds
318
5
Turnovers
2
Oct 29/05 (10 of 10)
NWEST
Stat Type MICH
Home
Away
17
Points Scored
33
+3
ATS
-3
64.5 o
O/U
64.5 u
89
Rush Yds
253
49
Pass Attempts
30
53.06
Completion %
56.67
326
Passing Yds
174
415
Total Yds
427
3
Turnovers
4

Team Records

NWEST
Record MICH
3-3
All
6-0
3-1
Home
4-0
0-2
Away
2-0
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
2-4
ATS
5-1
2-2
ATS Home
3-1
0-2
ATS Away
2-0
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
3-3
O/U
3-3
1-3
O/U Home
1-3
2-0
O/U Away
2-0
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
NWEST
Record MICH
1-2
All
3-0
1-1
Home
1-0
0-1
Away
2-0
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
1-2
ATS
2-1
1-1
ATS Home
0-1
0-1
ATS Away
2-0
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
2-1
O/U
2-1
1-1
O/U Home
0-1
1-0
O/U Away
2-0
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0
NWEST
Record MICH
3-3
All
6-0
3-1
Home
4-0
0-2
Away
2-0
0-0
Neutral Site
0-0
2-4
ATS
5-1
2-2
ATS Home
3-1
0-2
ATS Away
2-0
0-0
ATS Neutral Site
0-0
3-3
O/U
3-3
1-3
O/U Home
1-3
2-0
O/U Away
2-0
0-0
O/U Neutral Site
0-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
11:00 am EDT Mostly Cloudy
10ºC / 50ºF
69% Humidity
15% Precipitation
77% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 7
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report
Name Position Inj Desc
Zak ZinterOLIs out for season, Leg

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 16, 2021RUT21-7W+2.5/45W/U13526740263159222-1
Oct 2, 2021NEB7-56L+11/51.5L/O372562934272306571
Sep 25, 2021OHIO35-6W-14/47.5W/U37388461179169348-2
Sep 18, 2021DUKE23-30L-2.5/50L/O1472604072083505582
Sep 11, 2021INST24-6W-28.5/46L/U20966275311381691
Sep 3, 2021MSU21-38L-3/45.5L/O117283400326185511-1
Jan 1, 2021AUB35-19W-4/45W/O16629145761300361-1
Dec 19, 2020OSU10-22L+16.5/57.5W/U1052243293991145131
Dec 12, 2020ILL28-10W-13.5/41.5W/U411824931551072621
Nov 28, 2020MSU20-29L-13.5/40.5L/O632222851951673623
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 9, 2021NEB32-29W-2.5/50W/O204255459140291431-1
Oct 2, 2021WIS38-17W+2/43.5W/O11225336543167210-2
Sep 25, 2021RUT20-13W-20/50L/U112163275196156352-1
Sep 18, 2021NIU63-10W-27.5/55W/O37323360616246208-1
Sep 11, 2021WASH31-10W-6.5/47.5W/U3434438750293343-1
Sep 4, 2021WMU47-14W-16.5/65.5W/U3352165511191913100
Nov 28, 2020PSU17-27L-1/56.5L/U1741122862541634171
Nov 21, 2020RUT48-42W-12/52L/O1463494951053814860
Nov 14, 2020WIS11-49L+7/51.5L/O471722193411274682
Nov 7, 2020INDY21-38L-4/55L/O133443571183424602
View Game Logs
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