Odds Shark Top Sportsbooks
*Terms and Conditions apply to all bonus offers on this website. Visit operator for details.

Week 14 NFL Stats and Trends Betting Primer

Week 14 NFL Betting

With the calendar flipping to December, we’ve reached that time of year when divorced dads everywhere are going the extra mile to prove their worth to their children by spoiling them at Christmas.

Little do they know, they’ll only further disappoint them when they mistakenly buy them Madden 19 instead of Madden 20. Yes, the games are similar, but there are key players on different teams and those updates are crucial for an optimal gaming experience.

I once had a girlfriend buy me the previous year’s version of the NHL game for PlayStation because the dork at the store said “it’s basically the same game.” He was wrong, the game was returned and I’ve moved on to greener pastures in my romantic life.

Anyways, I’m getting off topic here. This is also the time of year when two major things are occurring in the NFL.

  1. The games mean more with teams fighting for playoff spots
  2. The weather has a major impact on game conditions

It shouldn’t come as much of a shock to see that teams who are perennial playoff contenders are posting great records late in the season, while some teams that play in domes or warmer climates are getting eviscerated in road games, primarily due to uncomfortable weather conditions.

The elements and the stakes create some very interesting situational betting spots, and per usual, I have a list of the best and worst bets in December.

December ATS home/away trends:
  • Seahawks 21-9 at home
  • Packers 16-6 at home
  • Patriots 8-1 at home
  • Bengals 9-1 on the road
  • Seahawks 10-3 on the road
  • Houston 9-18-3 on the road
  • Titans 5-14-1 on the road
  • Dolphins 2-9 on the road
  • Jaguars 7-16-1 ATS on the road
  • Saints 4-8 on the road
  • Raiders 9-21 on the road
  • Bills 5-10 on the road
  • Panthers 2-8 on the road
  • Arizona 10-3 ATS on the road

Some of these might be coincidental, but there’s a pretty clear theme of dome teams and teams that play in warm climates performing poorly this time of year in road games (expect for the Cardinals, oddly).

There’s obviously some gray area here, because not all of those road games have taken place on frozen football fields. Plus, teams like the Seahawks and Patriots would have probably posted a good record whether the games were played in Alaska or Hawaii. But, it’s perfectly logical to heavily consider the significant disadvantage some teams have due to poor weather.

If you want to look up historical betting records like this, check out our NFL Betting Database where you can look up dozens of different betting situations for every team.

Good luck this weekend and KEEP CHASING THAT PAPER!

Week 14 NFL Stats and Trends

Cowboys-Bears
  • The Bears rank 28th in third-down conversion percentage. The Cowboys rank third in third-down defense.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Bears' last nine games at home. (Avg combined score: 32.0)
  • The Bears are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games as home underdogs.
  • The Cowboys are 3-0 ATS in their last three games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Cowboys' last eight games on the road. (Avg combined score: 47.75)
  • The Cowboys are 18-6 SU in their last 24 games as road favorites.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of the Cowboys' last 16 games in December.
  • The Bears are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
  • The Bears are 7-20 SU in their last 27 games as home underdogs.
  • The Bears are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games after a win.
  • The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games at night.
Redskins-Packers
  • The Packers are tied for third in red-zone TD conversion percentage over their last three games. The Redskins rank 29th in opponent red-zone TD conversion percentage during this span.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Redskins' last nine games. (Avg combined score: 34.0)
  • The Redskins are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games after consecutive ATS wins.
  • The Packers are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games as home favorites.
  • The Packers are 1-3 ATS in their last four games as a double-digit favorite.
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of the Packers' last 14 games in December.
  • The Redskins are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games on the road vs the Packers.
Broncos-Texans
  • At home this season, Deshaun Watson has 13 TD passes and just 1 INT.
  • The Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 16 of the Broncos' last 21 games. (Avg combined score: 37.33)
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Broncos' last 11 games on the road. (Avg combined score: 38.55)
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Texans' last 10 games at home. (Avg combined score: 41.2)
  • The Texans are 4-0 SU in their last four games at home. (Avg winning margin: 8.25)
  • The Texans are 13-3 SU in their last 16 games as favorite.
  • The Texans are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as home favorites.
  • The Texans are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games after an ATS win.
Lions-Vikings
  • The Vikings rank second in third-down conversion percentage over their last three games. The Lions rank 30th in third-down defense in this span.
  • The Lions are fifth in third-down conversion percentage in their last three games while the Vikings are 28th in third-down defense in this span.
  • The Lions are tied for the third-most penalties over their last three games. The Vikings have the second-fewest in this span.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 24 of the Vikings' last 32 divisional games and in 15 of their last 17 divisional home games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 16 of the Lions' last 21 divisional road games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Lions' last 12 games vs the Vikings, including 6 straight in Minnesota. (Avg combined score: 37.33)
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Lions' last seven games. (Avg combined score: 51.14)
  • The total has gone OVER in the Vikings' last four games. (Avg combined score: 54.5)
  • The Vikings are 5-0 SU in their last five games at home. (Avg winning margin: 13.6)
  • The Vikings are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games after a loss.
  • The Vikings are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games after consecutive ATS losses.
  • The Lions are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games vs the Vikings. (Avg losing margin: 13.0)
49ers-Saints
  • The Saints haven’t played an opponent that’s currently above .500 since Week 3.
  • The 49ers are second in both opponent third-down conversion rate and opponent red-zone TD conversion rate. The New Orleans D is falling off, ranking in the bottom half of those categories over its last three games.
  • The 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as road underdogs.
  • The Saints are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as home favorites.
  • The Saints are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The Saints are 18-3 SU in their last 21 games in the early afternoon.
  • The 49ers are 3-8 SU in their last 11 games vs the Saints.
Panthers-Falcons
  • The Panthers rank 30th in third-down conversion percentage over their last three games. The Falcons are third in third-down defense in this span.
  • The Panthers are 2-9 SU and ATS in their last 11 games on the road vs the Falcons.
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Panthers' last eight games. (Avg combined score: 53.13)
  • The Panthers are 0-4 SU in their last four games. (Avg losing margin: 11.25)
  • The Panthers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games on the road.
  • The Panthers are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games vs their division on the road.
  • The Falcons are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Falcons' last six games. (Avg combined score: 43.67)
  • The Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last four games as favorite.
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Falcons' last five games vs their division at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Panthers' last five games vs the Falcons. (Avg combined score: 38.0)
Ravens-Bills
  • The Ravens are 8-0 SU in their last eight games. (Avg winning margin: 19.0)
  • The Ravens are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games on the road.
  • The Bills rank 21st in yards per rush against.
  • The total has gone OVER in five of the Ravens' last six games on the road. (Avg combined score: 56.33)
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Bills' last five games. (Avg combined score: 37.8)
  • The Bills are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog.
  • The Bills are 2-6 SU in their last eight games as home underdogs.
  • The Bills are 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games at home vs teams with winning records.
Bengals-Browns
  • In two games vs the Bengals last season, Baker Mayfield threw for 542 yards, 7 TDs and 0 INTs.
  • The Bengals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Bengals' last seven games on the road. (Avg combined score: 34.14)
  • The total has gone UNDER in three of the Browns' last four games. (Avg combined score: 40.25)
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Bengals' last 12 games on the road in December.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Browns' last nine games vs their division at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in five of the Bengals' last six games on the road vs the Browns.
  • The Bengals are 0-9 SU in their last nine games vs divisional opponents. (Avg losing margin: 12.0)
  • The Bengals are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs their division on the road.
  • The Browns are 3-10-1 SU and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs their division at home.
  • The Browns are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games at home after covering in their two most recent home games.
  • The Bengals are 7-2 SU and 8-1 ATS in their last nine games vs the Browns.
Dolphins-Jets
  • The Dolphins rank fourth in red-zone TD conversion percentage. The Jets are 30th in opponent red-zone TD conversion percentage.
  • The Dolphins are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games vs their division on the road.
  • The Dolphins are 4-12 ATS since 2012 in December/January road games.
  • The Dolphins are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games on the road.
  • The Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog.
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Dolphins' last 12 games vs their division on the road.
  • The Jets are 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs divisional opponents.
  • The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Jets' last nine games vs their division at home.
  • The Dolphins are 4-0 SU in their last four games vs the Jets. (Avg winning margin: 6.5)
  • The Dolphins are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games on the road vs the Jets.
Colts-Buccaneers
  • The total has gone OVER in nine of the Buccaneers' last 10 games. (Avg combined score: 60.4)
  • The Colts are 6-20 SU in their last 26 games as an underdog.
  • The Buccaneers are 1-6 SU in their last seven games at home.
  • The Buccaneers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games at home.
  • The Buccaneers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine games in December.
  • The Buccaneers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games at home after consecutive road games.
Chargers-Jaguars
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Chargers' last 11 games. (Avg combined score: 39.18)
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Jaguars' last 10 games at home. (Avg combined score: 32.2)
  • The total has gone UNDER in 16 of the Chargers' last 20 games in December.
  • The Jaguars are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games as an underdog.
  • The Chargers are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last four games as favorite.
  • The Chargers are 8-3 SU and ATS in their last 11 games on the road vs teams with losing records.
  • The Chargers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the East Coast.
  • The Jaguars are 9-25 SU in their last 34 games as home underdogs.
  • The Chargers are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their last seven games vs the Jaguars.
Steelers-Cardinals
  • Over their last three games, the Cardinals rank last in third-down conversion percentage. During this span, the Steelers rank fifth in third-down defense.
  • These teams rank 32nd and 29th in red-zone TD conversion percentage.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Steelers' last 11 games on the road. (Avg combined score: 40.36)
  • The Steelers are 12-3-1 SU in their last 16 games as road favorites.
  • The total has gone UNDER in eight of the Steelers' last nine games in the late afternoon.
  • The Cardinals are 0-5 SU in their last five games. (Avg losing margin: 13.0)
Chiefs-Patriots
  • At home, the Patriots rank 28th in red-zone TD conversion percentage. On the road, the Chiefs rank fifth in opponent red-zone TD conversion percentage.
  • The Patriots beat the Chiefs 43-40 in New England last season and 37-31 in the AFC title game in Kansas City.
  • The Pats are 16-5 ATS (76.2%) after a loss.
  • The Chiefs are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.
  • The Patriots are 21-0 SU and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games at home.
  • The Chiefs are 5-1 SU in their last six games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of the Chiefs' last 16 games on the road. (Avg combined score: 63.44)
  • The total has gone OVER in the Chiefs' last seven games on the road in December.
  • The Chiefs are 6-0 SU in their last six games in the late afternoon.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 17 of the Patriots' last 24 games. (Avg combined score: 41.17)
  • The Patriots are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games after consecutive ATS losses.
  • The Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last five games at home after failing to cover in their most recent home game.
  • The Chiefs are 1-7 SU in their last eight games on the road vs the Patriots.
Titans-Raiders
  • The Titans rank first in red-zone TD conversion percentage. The Raiders are last in opponent red-zone TD scoring percentage.
  • The Titans are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games on the road after covering in their most recent road game.
  • The total has gone OVER in the Titans' last six games. (Avg combined score: 53.33)
  • The Titans are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games as favorite.
  • The Titans are 5-15 SU and 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games on the road in December.
  • The Titans are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road after winning their most recent road game.
  • The Raiders are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games at home.
  • The Raiders are 4-0 SU in their last four games at home. (Avg winning margin: 4.75)
  • The Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as home underdogs.
  • The Raiders are 4-0 SU in their last four games after consecutive losses.
  • The Titans are 3-13 SU in their last 16 games on the road vs the Raiders.
Seahawks-Rams
  • The Seahawks are 26-7-3 ATS in night games since 2007, including 13-3-1 ATS on the road and 14-3-1 ATS in divisional games.
  • Russell Wilson has a career 25-5-1 SU record in night games.
  • The Rams rank 30th in third-down conversion percentage at home and 29th in third-down defense at home.
  • Over their last three games, the Rams rank last in opponent red-zone TD scoring percentage. They also rank last overall at home.
  • Over the last three games, Seattle has allowed the fifth-most sacks. The Rams have recorded the fourth-most sacks during this span.
  • The Seahawks are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on the road.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Seahawks' last 10 games on the road. (Avg combined score: 49.4)
  • The total has gone OVER in the Seahawks' last four games vs the Rams. (Avg combined score: 59.75)
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Seahawks' last eight games vs divisional opponents.
  • The Seahawks are 7-2 SU in their last nine games vs their division on the road.
  • The Rams are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in six of the Rams' last seven games. (Avg combined score: 36.14)
  • The Rams are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games at home.
Giants-Eagles
  • The Giants are 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. (Avg losing margin: 12.38)
  • The Giants are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as road underdogs.
  • The total has gone OVER in seven of the Giants' last eight games on the road. (Avg combined score: 53.25)
  • The total has gone OVER in six of the Giants' last seven games vs the Eagles. (Avg combined score: 52.43)
  • The total has gone OVER in four of the Giants' last five games vs divisional opponents.
  • The Giants are 0-5 SU in their last five games vs the Eagles. (Avg losing margin: 7.4)
  • The Giants are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games vs divisional opponents.
  • The total has gone UNDER in the Eagles' last four games at home. (Avg combined score: 31.5)
  • The Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last five games vs their division at home.
  • The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games at home after failing to cover in their two most recent home games.