Buffalo Bills vs Washington Commanders

The Buffalo Bills (1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS) are 8-1 SU and ATS in their last nine games against the Washington Commanders (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS). The Bills will look to continue that trend of dominance with another win over the Commanders this Sunday afternoon in Washington.

Buffalo is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last seven games against NFC opponents. The Commanders are off to a 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS start this season after going 3-10 SU and ATS in their previous 13 games played in September. The OVER is 4-1 in the Bills’ last five road games against the Commanders.

Latest Betting Notes: Bills

The Bills bounced back from their disappointing season opener with a dominant performance in a 38-10 blowout win over the Las Vegas Raiders as 7.5-point favorites at home. Josh Allen went 31-for-37 with 274 passing yards, three passing touchdowns and no interceptions after throwing just one touchdown pass and three interceptions in Week 1.

James Cook also had a breakout game at running back with 123 rushing yards on 17 carries and 36 receiving yards on four catches. Buffalo enters this road test against the Commanders with a 14-6 SU and 12-7-1 ATS record in its last 20 road games.

Latest Betting Notes: Commanders

After falling into an early 21-3 hole on the road against the Denver Broncos, the Commanders rallied to win the game outright 35-33 as 4-point underdogs. This marked the second straight week that Washington trailed going into the fourth quarter and went on to win the game.

Sam Howell went 27-for-39 with 299 passing yards two passing touchdowns and no interceptions in the win and Brian Robinson Jr. led the rushing attack with 87 yards and two touchdowns on 18 rushing attempts. The Commanders improved to 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog with that upset victory.

The Keys to Victory: Bills

When Josh Allen is playing well, this Bills offense is extremely difficult to stop. And with James Cook breaking out to give Buffalo a dangerous rushing attack to go along with its elite passing game, all systems appear to be a go for this Bills offense. On defense, the Bills 264.5 total yards per game allowed and 16 points per game allowed both rank fifth best in the NFL.

So as long as Allen is able to avoid turnovers this Sunday, there’s a good chance that the Bills will win and cover the spread. It will also be important that they don’t take their foot off the gas late given how much resiliency Washington has shown through its first two games.

The Keys to Victory: Commanders

Washington has managed to win its first two games in different ways. The Commanders relied on their defense in a gritty 20-16 win against the Arizona Cardinals in Week 1, and the offense got the job done in last Sunday’s 35-33 shootout against Denver.

Buffalo’s offense is far more potent than both of the teams Washington has faced thus far, so it will likely be up to Sam Howell and the offense to keep this game within striking distance. The Commanders could potentially find a backdoor cover with their trend towards late-game heroics, but to have a shot at an outright upset against a team as good as the Bills, Washington needs to avoid another slow start in this one.