NFL

New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New England
Patriots
2 - 2
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
2 - 1
October 05, 2017, 8:25 PM EDT
 | Raymond James Stadium

Game Preview

New England
Patriots
2 - 2
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
2 - 1
October 05, 2017, 8:25 PM EDT
 | Raymond James Stadium
  • Everyone and their mothers are expecting a shootout when the Pats meet the Bucs in Tampa Bay for Thursday Night Football and with sportsbooks Sportsbook the game with a lofty total of 54.5, line-setters are in the same boat. Since Sportsbook, however, that total has been on a steady climb and it could close as the highest in the history of Thursday Night Football.

    SHARK BITES
    • The Patriots and Buccaneers have given up a combined 851.1 total yards of offense per game.
    • The biggest total in Thursday Night Football history is 56.5.
    • The last 5 games that closed with a total of 54 or higher all went OVER.

    Often times when everyone agrees that something will happen in the NFL, the complete opposite happens. Considering how bad the Patriots defense has been through four weeks, though, it’s difficult to envision anything other than an offensive showdown between two teams that have combined for 606 passing yards per game.

    Looking at the Pats specifically, they possess what has been by far the best ball-moving offense in the NFL. Tom Brady is up to his usual tricks, not missing a beat without Julian Edelman, and he has a passer rating of 116.6. He and the Pats – who have been shaky at best on the offensive line – have already played against three of the best defensive fronts in the league and it hasn’t seemed to faze them much at all (32.3 points per game).

    After three games, the Bucs have just five sacks and while they’ve done an excellent job stuffing the run, they’ve had difficulty pressuring the quarterback. In their game against the Giants in Week 4, they failed to get to Eli Manning and it nearly cost them the game. New York’s offensive line had been awful in its first three contests and it really exposed just how mediocre Tampa’s pass rush is.

    For the Bucs to win – or even cover – this game, they’ll need a solid performance from Jameis Winston. Despite good stats in three starts this season, the third-year quarterback still has the propensity to make boneheaded throws. He’ll have to play mistake-free football if he’s going to keep up with Tom Brady but luckily for him, he’ll be playing the softest pass defense in pro football.

    Currently on pace to give up a total of 7,309 yards and 512 points, the Patriots could actually break the New Orleans Saints’ record for the most yards given up in an NFL season (7,042). There’s nothing to suggest that the D will be fixed by Thursday and you should probably just go ahead and bet the OVER at whatever number you can get it at.

    For more info, picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news, check out our new podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes, or check us out at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

    Sportsbook Odds & Computer Pick

    The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were listed as 5-point underdogs at Sportsbook and other online sportsbooks, with the total listed at one point at 53.5.

    OddsShark NFL prediction models pointed to a 29-26 result in favor of the Buccaneers on Thursday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NFL matchups here.

    New England Patriots vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Matchup

    Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

    The New England Patriots will look to cover ATS vs their hosts on Thursday, as they are 1-3 versus the spread this season, while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 1-2 ATS. New England is 4-0 against the OVER/UNDER total, while Tampa Bay is 2-1 versus the number. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Tampa Bay vs New England injuries news.

    The Buccaneers-Patriots odds would favor the Patriots if the betting lines were set according to power ranks. Tampa Bay is rated No. 15 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Patriots sit at No. 2.

    Statistical Matchup

    The game also pits Tampa Bay's No. 12-ranked offense, averaging 23.67 PPG, against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 31 this week at 32 PPG. The Buccaneers aerial game is averaging 277.67 yards per game, less than the Patriots secondary allows through the air, 324 YPG per game.

    Defensively, the New England Patriots feature the league's No. 9-rated road run defense, allowing 81 yards per game. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers, meanwhile, rank No. 14 in rushing offense at home.

    Recent Outings Betting Recap

    Tom Brady's 307-yard performance through the air wasn't enough last time out, as Carolina earned a 33-30 win over New England on Sunday at Gillette Stadium.

    In their last game, the Buccaneers got 3 passing scores out of Jameis Winston en route to a 25-23 win over the Giants on Sunday at Raymond James Stadium.

    Betting Trends
    • New England is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
    • New England is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
    • The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
    • New England is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
    • Tampa Bay is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    • Tampa Bay is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
    • Tampa Bay is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    • Tampa Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home

    Next Betting Matchups

    New England at New York, Sunday, October 15
    Tampa Bay at Arizona, Sunday, October 15

Odds

Thursday, October 5 Thu Oct 5


Opening
Current

Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Opening
-5
-110
-217
o53.5
-110
+5
-110
+179
u53.5
-110
Spread
Moneyline
O/U
Current
-3.5
-115
-195
o54.5
-110
+3.5
-105
+170
u54.5
-110

Edge Finder

21.41
Total Score
18.17
207.94
Passing Yards
273.33
106.65
Rushing Yards
75.56
29:10
Time on Field
29:25
59.18
Number of Plays
68.83
5.32
Yards Per Play
5.07
21.41
Total Score
18.17
2.71
First Quarter
2.83
6.24
Second Quarter
5.33
6.82
Third Quarter
2.83
5.65
Fourth Quarter
7.00
207.94
Passing Yards
273.33
31.76
Pass Attempts
45.39
21.06
Pass Completions
29.67
2.41
Sacks
1.33
16.41
Sack Yards
9.83
9.87
Yards Per Pass
9.21
106.65
Rushing Yards
75.56
25.00
Rush Attempts
22.11
4.27
Yards Per Rush
3.42
0.82
Interceptions
0.61
1.35
Fumbles
1.06
0.53
Fumbles Lost
0.67
1.35
Total Turnovers
1.28
6.12
Penalties
5.67
49.47
Penalty Yards
45.94
29:10
Time on Field
29:25
59.18
Number of Plays
68.83
5.32
Yards Per Play
5.07
4.71
Punts
4.67
41.74
Punt Average
48.86
97.53
Return Yards
67.67

Head To Head

NE
Stat Type TB
3-2
Record
2-3
3-2
ATS
2-3
1-4
O/U
1-4
21.80
Score
11.60
101.80
Rush Yds
99.40
33.80
Pass Attempts
31.60
65.09
Completion %
53.16
209.00
Passing Yds
168.60
310.8
Total Yds
268
1.40
Turnovers
1.60
NE
Stat Type TB
3-0
Record
0-3
3-0
ATS
0-3
0-3
O/U
0-3
28.67
Score
3.33
115.33
Rush Yds
72.00
33.00
Pass Attempts
35.00
68.69
Completion %
48.57
254.00
Passing Yds
161.67
369.33
Total Yds
233.67
1.00
Turnovers
1.67
Sep 22/13 (1 of 8)
NE
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
23
Score
3
-7
ATS
+7
45 o
O/U
45 u
156
Rush Yds
97
36
Pass Attempts
41
69.44
Completion %
46.34
202
Passing Yds
226
358
Total Yds
323
1
Turnovers
1
Oct 25/09 (2 of 8)
NE
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
35
Score
7
-15.5
ATS
+15.5
44.5 o
O/U
44.5 u
107
Rush Yds
89
32
Pass Attempts
30
71.88
Completion %
36.67
307
Passing Yds
151
414
Total Yds
240
2
Turnovers
3
Dec 17/05 (3 of 8)
NE
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
28
Score
0
-6
ATS
+6
38 o
O/U
38 u
83
Rush Yds
30
31
Pass Attempts
34
64.52
Completion %
61.76
253
Passing Yds
108
336
Total Yds
138
0
Turnovers
1
Sep 3/00 (4 of 8)
NE
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
16
Score
21
+3
ATS
-3
35.5 o
O/U
35.5 u
88
Rush Yds
140
39
Pass Attempts
24
66.67
Completion %
50.00
190
Passing Yds
156
278
Total Yds
296
1
Turnovers
1
Nov 16/97 (5 of 8)
NE
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
7
Score
27
-3
ATS
+3
38 o
O/U
38 u
75
Rush Yds
141
31
Pass Attempts
29
51.61
Completion %
72.41
93
Passing Yds
202
168
Total Yds
343
3
Turnovers
2
Dec 11/88 (6 of 8)
NE
Stat Type TB
Home
Away
10
Score
7
-9
ATS
+9
32.5 o
O/U
32.5 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
51.61
Completion %
51.61
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Oct 27/85 (7 of 8)
NE
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
32
Score
14
-2.5
ATS
+2.5
46.5 o
O/U
46.5 u
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
51.61
Completion %
51.61
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0
Dec 12/76 (8 of 8)
NE
Stat Type TB
Away
Home
31
Score
14
ATS
O/U
0
Rush Yds
0
0
Pass Attempts
0
51.61
Completion %
51.61
0
Passing Yds
0
0
Total Yds
0
0
Turnovers
0

Team Records

NE
Record TB
2-2
All
2-1
1-2
Home
2-0
1-0
Away
0-1
1-3
ATS
1-2
0-3
ATS Home
1-1
1-0
ATS Away
0-1
4-0
O/U
2-1
3-0
O/U Home
1-1
1-0
O/U Away
1-0
NE
Record TB
1-1
All
2-1
1-1
Home
2-0
0-0
Away
0-1
0-2
ATS
1-2
0-2
ATS Home
1-1
0-0
ATS Away
0-1
2-0
O/U
2-1
2-0
O/U Home
1-1
0-0
O/U Away
1-0
NE
Record TB
0-0
All
0-0
0-0
Home
0-0
0-0
Away
0-0
0-0
ATS
0-0
0-0
ATS Home
0-0
0-0
ATS Away
0-0
0-0
O/U
0-0
0-0
O/U Home
0-0
0-0
O/U Away
0-0
NE
Record TB
2-2
All
2-1
1-2
Home
2-0
1-0
Away
0-1
1-3
ATS
1-2
0-3
ATS Home
1-1
1-0
ATS Away
0-1
4-0
O/U
2-1
3-0
O/U Home
1-1
1-0
O/U Away
1-0

Gametime Weather

Weather
8:00 pm EDT Chance of a Thunderstorm
25ºC / 77ºF
87% Humidity
37% Precipitation
88% Cloud Cover
Wind Impact Stadium Type Open
Field Image
Arrow Image 13
mph

Injuries

Name Position Inj Desc
Riley ReiffTIR, Shoulder
Jonathan JonesCBIs "?" Sunday vs Dallas, Ankle
Davon GodchauxDTLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs Dallas, Ankle
Daniel EkualeDTLeft last game, is "?" Sunday vs Dallas, Elbow
Marcus JonesCBIR, Shoulder
Jack JonesCBIR, Hamstring
Sidy SowGIs "?" Sunday vs Dallas, Concussion
Name Position Inj Desc
No Injuries to Report

Last 10 Games

Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 1, 2017CAR30-33L-9/47.5L/O80293373140304444-2
Sep 24, 2017HOU36-33W-13.5/44L/O59337396125292417-1
Sep 17, 2017NO36-20W-6/55.5W/O119436555813484290
Sep 7, 2017KC27-42L-8/47.5L/O124247371185352537-1
Feb 5, 2017ATL34-28W-3/57.5W/O1044425461042403441
Jan 22, 2017PIT36-17W-6/49.5W/O5737443154314368-2
Jan 14, 2017HOU34-16W-16.5/44W/O982793771041812850
Jan 1, 2017MIA35-14W-7.5/47W/O12027639675205280-2
Dec 24, 2016NYJ41-3W-17/45W/U114211325111128239-4
Dec 18, 2016DEN16-3W-3/42.5W/U13617731358251309-3
View Game Logs
Date Opp Score SU Line/Total ATS OFF. RUSH OFF. PASS OFF. TOTAL DEF. RUSH DEF. PASS DEF. TOTAL TO
Oct 1, 2017NYG25-23W-2.5/46L/O111323434912883790
Sep 24, 2017MIN17-34LEv/41L/O263163421253694943
Sep 17, 2017CHI29-7W-7/44W/U11719431120290310-3
Jan 1, 2017CAR17-16W-3/44.5L/U112188300128207335-1
Dec 24, 2016NO24-31L+3/53L/O892603491232944172
Dec 18, 2016DAL20-26L+6.5/47.5W/U522242761852644493
Dec 11, 2016NO16-11W-2/51.5W/U10416627046248294-3
Dec 4, 2016SD28-21W+3/49W/P81268349119211330-1
Nov 27, 2016SEA14-5W+5/46W/U118220338127118245-1
Nov 20, 2016KC19-17W+7/45W/U11632644282261343-1
View Game Logs