Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys

The Dallas Cowboys (7-3 SU, 7-3 ATS) will look to extend their winning streak to three games and earn a victory on Thanksgiving Day for the second year in a row when they host the Washington Commanders (4-7, 5-5-1) as double-digit home favorites.

The Cowboys closed as 10-point home chalk in last year’s Thanksgiving game and fell just short of covering the spread in a 28-20 win over the New York Giants, who scored a touchdown with eight seconds remaining to reward backers of the big road underdogs.

Latest Betting Notes: Commanders

Washington is coming off a disappointing 31-19 loss to the New York Giants last Sunday as a 7.5-point home favorite. The Commanders crushed the spirits of Survivor contestants everywhere who liked them as their best bet to win straight-up in this spot against the lowly Giants, who ended up completing the season series sweep as well thanks in part to three interceptions by quarterback Sam Howell.

Washington’s first-year starting signal caller saw his last pick returned for a touchdown to provide the final margin of victory, as he was outplayed by New York rookie Tommy DeVito (246 passing yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions) despite him getting sacked nine times for 45 yards.

Latest Betting Notes: Cowboys

Just like around the same time last year, Dallas is 7-3 heading into Thanksgiving and trailing the Philadelphia Eagles for first place in the NFC East. Those two teams meet again in two weeks, so it is important for the Cowboys not to overlook their next two opponents, starting with the Commanders here in Week 12.

Washington proved to be a difficult opponent for Philadelphia in a pair of close losses, and this will be the team’s first meeting of the season with Dallas. Last year, Howell actually made his first career start against the Cowboys and led the Commanders to a 26-6 win in Week 18. Washington closed as a 7.5-point home underdog in that game, which was meaningless for Dallas.

The Keys to Victory: Commanders

Howell has shown that he can keep Washington in games with his arm. But he has also shown that he can throw away games with his arm like he did last week versus New York.

In order to keep the Commanders close so they can possibly cover, Howell will need to do his best to avoid sacks and make plays against a secondary that picked off Carolina rookie Bryce Young for a touchdown to seal a 33-10 victory last week. One positive for Washington is that the team has gone 5-1 ATS in its last six road games, and Howell is capable of doing exactly what Daniel Jones and New York did at Dallas last Thanksgiving.

The Keys to Victory: Cowboys

Dallas did not play its best game offensively at Carolina last week, with wide receiver CeeDee Lamb seeing his NFL record streak of three straight 150-yard receiving performances come to an end in an otherwise easy victory. However, the defense was as dominant as ever and held the Panthers to only one touchdown in the second half.

That said, the Cowboys are riding a 12-game home winning streak into this one, covering the spread in the past five there. Another solid effort on both sides of the ball should be enough to get the job done, extending those two streaks to 13 and six in a row.