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Leafs look to turn up the heat vs faltering Flames

The Toronto Maple Leafs will host the Calgary Flames tonight after a three-game road trip and will look to get back in the win column against a club they beat just over a week ago. The Leafs dominated the Flames 4-1 on November 28 and opened as -145 favorites to secure another victory vs Calgary.

  • The favored team is 9-2 SU in the last 11 games in this matchup.
  • The total has gone UNDER in four of the Flames’ last five games with a closing total of 6.0 or more.
  • Toronto is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games.

The Leafs have started to slow down after their impressive start and have dropped their last two games at home. That being said, they have a great chance of taking care of business tonight at the Air Canada Centre. Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last five games hosting Calgary and is coming off four days of rest going into this matchup.

Calgary is starting to flame out and is 2-5 SU in its last seven games. And it’s how they’re losing that is most concerning for Flames backers. Giving up 16 goals in their last four games is troubling and it looks like goaltender Mike Smith, who was acquired in the offseason, can’t cure all of the Flames’ issues on the defensive end. A remaining sliver of hope for Calgary is its 5-2 SU record in its last seven games after a loss this season. While that may be encouraging, it may be best to fade Calgary in this one.

The total opened at 6 for this showdown and while both of these teams have the potential to explode offensively, the UNDER may be the best wager. The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Maple Leafs’ last 10 games with a closing total of 6.0 or more. When you factor in the UNDER has hit in three straight in this matchup, bettors may see a tightly contested battle in Toronto.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The Calgary Flames were listed as +136 underdogs on the NHL hockey moneyline earlier at Bet365. The OVER/UNDER total was set at 6 before betting started earlier on Wednesday at Bovada.

OddsShark prediction models pick the Flames to win this game 2.9-2.7. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NHL matchups here.

Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

The Toronto Maple Leafs bring a 17-10-1 record to the battle against the 14-12-1 Flames. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Toronto go 14-11-3 so far and the Flames go 14-12-1. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Toronto vs Calgary injuries news.

This game matches up the No. 18 (Toronto Maple Leafs) and the No. 23 (Calgary Flames) teams according to our current NHL Power Rankings.

Statistical Matchup

The game also pits Toronto's No. 3-ranked offense, averaging 3.54 goals per game, against a Flames defense that ranks No. 23 at 3.17 goals allowed. The Maple Leafs power play is averaging 21.52% while the Flames defense kills off 73.17% of their penalties.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Calgary lost its last outing, a 5-2 result against the Flyers on December 4. Bettors who backed the Flyers at +129 on the moneyline won on the day, and the total score (7) sent OVER bettors to the payout window.

The Maple Leafs were a 2-1 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Canucks. That made winners of bettors who got Vancouver at +133 on the moneyline, while the total score (3) was good news for UNDER bettors.

Betting Trends
  • Calgary is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Calgary is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
  • Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Toronto
  • Calgary is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
  • Toronto is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
  • Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games at home
  • Toronto is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Calgary

Next Betting Matchups

Calgary at Montreal, Thursday, December 7
Toronto at Pittsburgh, Saturday, December 9