English Permier League Expert Picks Matchweek 28

Expert Picks Matchweek 28: Draw In Sunday's Title Decider

The wins are starting to pile up with our weekly EPL expert picks. With a 2-1 record from last weekend, we're now 7-2 over the past three weeks with +7.28 units. Make sure to tail my picks for Matchweek 28 below.

Before that here are my three bets from last weekend and the results:

O3.5 Luton-Aston Villa +110W
Liverpool ML-190W
U3.5 ManCity-ManUnited-120L
Overall Record7-2
Profits (Units)+7.28

English Premier League Expert Picks Matchweek 28

Manchester United vs Everton
The Game: Manchester United vs Everton, Saturday, March, 9 7:30 AM ET

Manchester United-110O2.5 (-150)
Everton+295U2.5 (+120)

Pick: Manchester United ML (-110)

After that 3-1 loss to local rivals City in the Manchester Derby, United need a bounce-back game. Thankfully, they get Everton at Old Trafford.

United have won against Everton in their last four meetings. The last time they dropped points to the Toffees was in April of 2022. Nearly two years ago. Meanwhile, Sean Dyche's men are in awful form with a 0-2-3 record away from Goodison Park and 0-5-5 record in their last games. 

Perfect opportunity for United to bounce back.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham
The Game: Aston Villa vs Tottenham, Sunday, March 10, 9 AM ET

Aston Villa+135O3.5 (-115)
Tottenham+175U3.5 (-105)

Pick: U3.5 (-105)

Usually, I blind bet the OVER for any Villans game, but not this time. I get that both Villa and Tottenham score quite a bit, but if you look at the MId-lands side's record this year you'll see the score goes UNDER the total when they face off against top 6 sides.

  • vs Liverpool: 3-0 (L)
  • @ Tottenham: 2-1 (W)
  • vs ManCity: 1-0 (W)
  • vs Arsenal: 1-0 (W)
  • @ Man United: 3-2 (L)
  • vs Man United: 2-1 (L)

That's a 5-1 record against the UNDER. I'm going to show some flexibility and take the UNDER here.

Liverpool vs Manchester City
The Game: Liverpool vs Manchester City, Sunday, March 9, 11:45 AM ET

Liverpool+195O3.5 (+130)
Manchester City+130U3.5 (-165)

Pick: Draw +275

I hate to say this, but, on paper, Liverpool is the second-best team here. The sheer number of injuries that the Reds have make them the dogs at home.

Konate and Gomez went down with knocks in Liverpool's mid-week win in the Europa League. Add Joel Matip who ruptured his ACL and Liverpool is without three of their top four center backs.

City have a full squad available and have been breathing down Liverpool's neck lately. A win for either side likely decides the title. Jurgen Klopp will never actively play for a draw, but this game screams draw with Liverpool being understaffed and with no room to drop points to their rivals.

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