English Premier League expert picks matchweek 29

Expert Picks Matchweek 29: Take OVER In Aston Villa vs. West Ham

The wins and profits are starting to pile up with our weekly EPL expert picks. With yet another 2-1 record in our weekend picks, we're now 9-3 over the past three weeks with nearly 10 units. Make sure to tail my picks for Matchweek 29 below.

Before that here are my three bets from last weekend and the results:

Man United ML-110W
Villa-Tottenham U3.5-105L
Liverpool-Man City Draw+275W
Overall Record9-3
Profits (Units)+9.94

English Premier League Expert Picks Matchweek 29

Luton vs Nottingham Forest
The Game: Luton vs Nottingham Forest, Saturday March 16, 11 AM ET

Luton+185O2.5 (-155)
Nottingham Forest+140U2.5 (+125)

Pick: O2.5 (-155)

Forest has lost their last three games with 1-0 score lines, so oddsmakers have dropped the total to 2.5 for this one. Sure, the odds are -155, but that's good value for us. 

Luton has seen the total go OVER 2.5 goals 24 times in all competitions this year and 10 times in their last 11 games. No matter the opponent, more than 2.5 goals are scored when Luton plays. And it will do so once again here.

Fulham vs Tottenham
The Game: Fulham vs Tottenham, Saturday, March 16, 1:30 PM ET

Fulham+235O3.5 (+125)
Tottenham+100U3.5 (-155)

Pick: Tottenham ML (+100)

With the Spurs nearing full strength after an injury bug, they've roared to life with back-to-back wins. Including a big 4-0 result against a strong Aston Villa side. 

Fulham may have put up wins over Man United and Brighton of late, but that 2-1 loss to the Wolves is telling. Even with 52% of possession and 74% of the shots in the game, they needed eight minutes of extra time after the initial 90 to get on the score sheet. 

They won't get that type of time with the ball against Tottenham who've got the fourth-highest possession rate (60.7%) in the league.

West Ham vs Aston Villa
The Game: West Ham vs Aston Villa, Sunday, March 17, 10 AM ET

West Ham+165O3.5 (+140)
Aston Villa+150U3.5 (-175)

Pick: O3.5 (+140)

I bet the UNDER in Villa's last game and got burned. I'm not going to make the same mistake. In their last 10 games, we've seen more than 3.5 goals seven times. 

West Ham, has also done a good job (for our sake) at covering OVER 3.5 goals with a 6-0 record. And look, in West Ham's next match following a mid-week game in the Europa League the total has gone OVER 3.5 goals five times in seven games. 

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