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Italy Serie A Odds: Juventus Still the Favorite

Odds to Win Serie A

As close European leagues go, nothing can compare to Serie A. With last season’s champions, Juventus, not having things all their own way in the summer transfer window and missing out on players such as Luis Suarez, the balance of power in Serie A is very evenly spread.

Because of that, the Serie A winner odds reflect that element of doubt that fans, pundits and betting companies have over which team will lift the Scudetto in May next year. Let’s look at the latest Serie A winner odds via Bovada, then consider which teams should be backed and why.

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2021 Serie A Odds and Favorites

Odds to Win The 2020-21 Serie A Championship
TeamAmerican Odds
Juventus+175
Inter Milan+300
A.C. Milan+600
Napoli+600
Atalanta+700
Roma+1800
Lazio+3300
Sassuolo+6600
Fiorentina+15000
Cagliari+50000
Sampdoria+50000
Torino+50000
Bologna+100000
Udinese+100000
Verona+150000
Parma+200000
Benevento+350000
Genoa+350000
Crotene+450000
Spezia+450000

Odds as of November 24 at Bovada

The Title Race

The Bookies’ Favorites

While the Serie A betting odds are always fascinating, this season in particular throws up a title-chasing campaign where picking the winner will prove to be especially difficult.

The current favorite Juventus (+175) is odds-against, which tells a story in and of itself. Andrea Pirlo’s debut season has seen Juventus hovering in fourth place after eight games, a full four points behind the top of the table.

“The Old Lady” of Italian football have scored only 17 goals too, which is less than all the other sides in the top five, but I Bianconeri have conceded the lowest number of goals in Serie A so far. Just six goals have found their way past the combined efforts of Wojciech Szczesny (4 appearances) and Gigi Buffon (3 appearances), who at 42 years old is comfortably the oldest player still contributing to any kind of betting odds at an elite side.

We wouldn’t currently back Juventus, but it’s a very marginal call either way and the odds are what are dictating our decision. Inter Milan (+300) is also to be avoided, with Antonio Conte’s side looking a little porous at the back, conceding 13 league goals in eight games – as many as 15th-placed Fiorentina.

A.C. Milan (+600) is currently top of the table and looks to have a real chance at glory in this strangest of sports betting seasons, with Zlatan Ibrahimovic the top scorer in Serie A with 10 goals in just six games. If they can keep the 39-year-old fit and healthy, then his goalscoring prowess could see I Rossoneri crowned Serie A winners for the first time in 10 seasons. Funnily enough, nine years ago, Milan missed out on the Serie A title to Juventus by just four points as Juve went the entire season unbeaten. The top scorer in that season? Zlatan Ibrahimovic with 28 goals.

The Champions League Chase

With a title chase that could still feature as many as the top eight teams, who would be our tips to join Juventus and the Milan teams in the Champions League places?

The latest Serie A betting odds suggest that Sassuolo (+6600) will miss out, but the side that currently sits in second place in the table is as yet unbeaten, an impressive statistic given only Juventus and Milan can say the same after eight games. Keeping that record up all season is going to be tough, however, and we have yet to see how the comparative minnows cope with a losing streak.

We do know that Roma (+1800) sits in third and although they’ve been beaten once, a rigid defence starring Chris Smalling and a squad that spreads the goals around (former United and Arsenal reject Henrikh Mkhitaryan is top scorer with six goals) looks very adaptable to the current circumstances.

The Armenian is spearheading a side with real bite and Roma would currently be our tips but watch for market movement if Napoli (+600) or Atalanta (+700) lengthen any further. Both sides have the capability to go on a long unbeaten run.

Relegation Worrying Minnows

While we’d have to write off the chances of Crotone (+450000) given their awful record of no wins and scoring just six goals, the three clubs immediately above them could all have equal cause for optimism or concern.

Genoa (+350000), Torino (+50000) and Parma (+200000) have all endured tricky starts to the season, but while Torino has scored 14 goals in eight games and Genoa has some relegation rivals in upcoming games, Parma worries us and plays both A.C. Milan and Juventus before Christmas.

Of the sides above them, Benevento (+350000) still concerns us despite currently sitting in 14th place. Conceding 20 goals, they’re tied for the worst defence in the division and will be looking over their shoulder until they ease that problem.

With the next fortnight’s fixtures meaning the Serie A winner odds are bound to change, we’ll return to the legendarily difficult to win European league in early December as we look to Bovada’s latest Serie A betting odds to pick some winners.