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Italian Serie A Odds, Plus Top Four and Relegation Predictions

Alexis Sanchez's Inter Milan are the favorites in the Serie A odds.

The battle to become Serie A champion is one of the closest it’s been for many years, and the latest Italian Serie A odds reflect the tight race. There is no single side that is currently odds-on to win the Scudetto, but with three sides the current betting favorites, which one should you pick, and which other Serie A teams offer betting value?

Before we analyze who might win the Serie A title, which sides are likely to finish in the top four and which three teams could be relegated, let’s take a look at the latest Serie A odds via Bovada:

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2021 Serie A Odds and Favorites

Odds to Win The 2020-21 Serie A Championship
TeamAmerican Odds
Inter Milan+125
Juventus+250
A.C. Milan+275
Atalanta+1400
Napoli+1600
Roma+2000
Lazio+5000
Sassuolo+25000
Fiorentina+50000
Bologna+100000
Sampdoria+100000
Verona+200000
Udinese+250000
Benevento+450000
Cagliari+450000
Crotone+450000
Genoa+450000
Parma+450000
Spezia+450000
Torino+450000

Odds as of February 8 at Bovada

Three Titans Fight for Serie A Title

The current Serie A winner odds have three teams bunched at the top in Inter Milan (+125), Juventus (+250) and A.C. Milan (+275). Of the three teams, why is Inter currently believed to be the better pick by the bookies?

Despite being in second place with 44 points, Inter Milan has the best goal differential in the Serie A table, with just two defeats all season. Antonio Conte’s side has been far from flawless, however, with Alexis Sanchez failing to ignite Serie A in Milan after a singularly disastrous spell in Manchester.

In Romelu Lukaku, Inter has a terrific striker who is banging in the goals, with 14 in 19 so far, a record only bettered by 36-year-old Cristiano Ronaldo, who has scored 15 goals in just 16 games.

At present, we’d agree with the bookies making Inter Milan the favorite and while they are likely to run into trouble at points, Conte’s style is often successful in his second season, which this is. Backing Inter makes a lot of sense.

Who’ll Come Close

While one half of Milan could well be celebrating, the margins are so fine that it could well be the black and red half of the city whirling their scarves in the air come the end of the season. The latest Serie A outright odds have the current leaders as just third favorites, which seems a little harsh to us.

Not only do the Rossoneri have 12-goal Zlatan Ibrahimovic (he’s only played 10 games), but they’ve also lost just two games and have a better winning record per game than both their cross-city rivals and the current champions.

Speaking of Juventus, led by Ronaldo, Andrea Pirlo’s side has been far from impregnable this season, especially in the early games under their legendary former player-turned-manager. They’ve certainly turned the corner defensively, though, and at the halfway stage have the best defense in Serie A, conceding just 18 goals. Our concern would be that they have only scored 39 goals, which is 10 fewer than Inter Milan.

Who’ll Make the Champions League Places?

We think both Milan sides and reigning champion Juventus will make the Champions League places, but which side will join them? It is Roma (+2000) that currently sits in third place, but they are behind both Atalanta (+1400) and Napoli (+1600), with Lazio (+5000) distant chances to make the promised land of the Champions League riches.

Of the four sides who have a realistic chance of making the cut, we would favor either Napoli or Atalanta. Napoli sits in fifth place at present with a game in hand on everyone except Juventus. Because of this, and their excellent goal differential, which is bettered only by Inter, we make them our pick.

Roma may well be close, but Lazio is in the best form of any Serie A side, with five straight wins propelling them into contention. With Ciro Immobile, last season’s top scorer in Serie A, on their side, anything is possible.

Who Will be Relegated to Serie B?

The battle to win the Scudetto may be intense, but the best Serie A betting odds may well be available on teams at the other end of the table.

Before we look at which three teams we’d pick to drop into Serie B, let’s look at the latest Serie A relegation odds, via Bovada. With three teams odds-on to go down, we think there’ll be a Serie A odds surprise.

Odds To Be Relegated from Italian Serie A
TeamAmerican Odds
Crotone-850
Parma-250
Cagliari-125
Spezia+125
Torino+175
Genoa+400
Benevento+700
Udinese+1600
Bologna+2000
Fiorentina+2800
Sampdoria+15000
Verona+30000

Odds as of February 8 at Bovada

Survival is Everything

As you can see from those odds, the bookmakers are not hopeful for Crotone (-850) and it’s not difficult to see why. Having conceded 46 goals in 20 games, the side based in Calabria (or the sole of the shoe, if that’s how you see Italy on the map) has an uphill battle on their hands which we think they’ll lose, despite being only three points from safety. Defending is everything in Italian football and the bottom side doesn’t currently look anywhere near capable of doing it competently.

While Parma (-250) also looks in serious trouble for the reason that they are by far the lowest scorers in Serie A with just 14 goals in 20 games, we think Cagliari (-125) might escape the drop. Spezia (+125) has a tough-looking run-in, culminating in a final-day meeting with Roma, which looks extremely likely to need the points for European qualification right up until the final day.

In the next fortnight, there are some huge clashes, with Napoli hosting Juventus and the Milan derby both on the horizon. We’ll be back in a fortnight’s time to update this page with the latest Serie A winner and relegation odds via Bovada.

The battle for this season’s Scudetto is bound to be one of the closest and most exciting title races in Italy for many years. Who will end up lifting the trophy? It’s going to be a lot of fun finding out, with Juventus, Inter Milan and A.C. Milan all battling to the end with some of the best players in European football at their disposal.