The world is waiting with bated breath for the start of the FIFA World Cup in Qatar this November, and the tournament gets started with the four teams in Group A playing in two of the first three games of Matchday 1.
Sportsbooks will be updating their odds throughout the summer and into the fall, but for now, Netherlands is the favorite in Group A at -250.
Odds Shark is here to break down everything World Cup-related to get you ready for the tournament, and that includes breaking down the odds for every group and every game. You can also check out who we think you should bet on to win the World Cup and the Golden Boot here.
World Cup Group A Odds: To Win Outright
Odds as of June 24 at Bovada
World Cup Group A Odds: Odds To Advance From Group Stage
Odds as of June 24 at Bovada
World Cup Group A
As is customary for the host nation, Qatar was placed into Group A and put into Pot 1 with the top-seeded teams in the world for the World Cup draw. But the rest of the draw was pretty tough for Qatar, who landed Netherlands (second-highest ranked team in Pot 1 by FIFA rankings), Senegal (highest ranked in Pot 3) and Ecuador (second-highest ranked in Pot 4) as their three opponents.
But this Qatari team is not necessarily a pushover. Since winning the bid for this World Cup, Qatar has pumped a ton of money and resources into their national program to make them as competitive as possible. They are now ranked 49th in the world in FIFA’s rankings after being ranked 112th a few years ago.
Qatar is the worst team in the group, but they aren’t far off from Ecuador’s ranking and they will of course have the home crowd behind them.
Still, we aren’t betting on them to win the group. Betting on them to advance at +500 is mildly interesting.
Currently ranked No. 8 in the FIFA world rankings, the Netherlands shockingly did not qualify for the World Cup in 2018 but has returned to power with one of the better sides in the world. Led by a veteran defender in Liverpool’s Virgil van Dijk, the Dutch will have some exciting young talent on the team, including Barcelona’s Frenkie de Jong and Juventus’ Matthijs de Ligt.
The Dutch deserve to be the favorites in this group, and it would be quite shocking if they didn’t win the group, let alone be one of the two teams to advance from the group stage to the next round. -250 to win the group is pretty good odds for Netherlands.
In 2018, Senegal was eliminated in the group stage due to a controversial “fair play” rule after they finished with identical scores and differentials to Japan in a tie for second behind Colombia. Japan was allowed through to the next stage because they had fewer yellow cards in the group stage.
The 18th-ranked team in the world currently, Senegal qualified for this World Cup with a penalty shootout victory, but this is a quality side that beat Egypt a few months ago to capture the crown as the top team in Africa after winning AFCON.
There is some elite talent on this team including Chelsea keeper Edouard Mendy and Bayern Munich forward Sadio Mané that should keep them competitive and capable of making noise in the group and possibly beyond.
Senegal is an interesting bet to win the group outright at +450 this year in World Cup Group A odds.
Currently 44th in the world, Ecuador last appeared in the World Cup in 2014 where they picked up a win over Honduras, a draw with France and a loss to Switzerland to finish third in the group.
This year, Ecuador will be led by the country’s all-time leading scorer in Enner Valencia who plays for Turkish side Fenerbahce and a couple other interesting talents. But the side will need to improve on their play from qualifying after they finished fourth in CONMEBOL to land their World Cup spot.
We see this team as likely struggling to advance out of the group and don’t think their World Cup Group A odds are quite long enough to take a long-shot bet.
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