Gilbert Burns is an underdog vs Jack Della Maddalena at UFC 299

Della Maddalena vs Burns Odds & Picks: OVERs? Yes Please

Welterweights Jack Della Maddalena and Gilbert Burns will rile up the Miami crowd on the UFC 299 main card this Saturday with the Aussie favored in the odds Burns vs JDM odds.

The youngster Della Maddalena (-160) is favored over Burns (+130), though the odds could move closer to fight night.

Della Maddalena vs Burns Odds

UFC 299: Della Maddalena vs Burns Odds
FighterOdds
Jack Della Maddalena-160
Gilbert Burns+130

Odds as of Mar. 9

Our odds calculator suggests Della Maddalena's -160 status awards him a 61.54% implied chance of victory, with a $100 bet paying out $162.50. At +130, Burns gets a 43.48% chance and a $100 bet cashes $230. 

How To Watch UFC 299

  • Date/Time: March 9, 6 p.m. ET
  • Location: Miami, Florida
  • Arena: Kaseya Center
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+, PPV

Della Maddalena vs Burns Betting Preview & predictions

JDM is a slugger with strong boxing fundamentals, a knack for jumping on finishes, and intermittently exploitable ground game. The Aussie's volume is crazy (7.20 significant strikes landed per minute), and that'll be a lot for the 37-year-old Burns to handle.

Gilbert can take a beating, and I expect him to use his wrestling when things go sour on Saturday. The Brazilian is also recovering from a serious shoulder injury suffered in a loss on May 6, 2023.

Long story short, I'm expecting a very close fight that likely goes the distance. JDM is an exceptional power puncher, but Burns is savvy and hasn't been stopped since 2021.

Della Maddalena vs Burns Pick

I'm less sweet on JDM lately, but I'll bet him to win this fight by decision. We'll get some good value with that bet, too.

Pick: Della Maddalena (-160); Fight Goes The distance (+160)

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