Belal Muhammad is a big underdog vs Edwards at UFC 300

Edwards vs Muhammad Odds & Picks: A Fine UFC 304 Headliner

Behold British fans, UFC 304 will take place July 26 in Manchester, England, where Leon Edwards is a -215 favorite over Belal Muhammad (+185).

Edwards, the welterweight champ, has long kept a rivalry with Muhammad since their no-contest bout in 2021 ended due to an accidental eye poke. Edwards claimed the 170-pound title and defended it twice while Muhammad has since extended his nine-fight win streak

Here's a deeper preview of the Edwards vs Muhammad odds and our best bets for UFC 304.

Edwards vs Muhammad 2 Odds

UFC 304: Edwards vs Muhammad Odds
Leon Edwards-215
Belal Muhammad+185

Odds as of May 16

Our odds calculator suggests Edwards' -215 status awards him a 68.25% implied chance of victory, with a $100 bet paying out $146.51. At +185, Belal gets a 35.09% chance and a $100 bet cashes $285. 

How To Bet Edwards vs Muhammad At UFC 304

In 17 UFC fights, Muhammad has never recorded a knockdown. Edwards has just one stoppage in his last seven fights. Will this fight go an easy five rounds? Probably.

Leon's strength is his ability to keep opponents reeling mentally and physically. "Rocky" uses tons of feints to back opponents up and dominate Octagon space. Edwards can take his time, press forward, and line up precise strikes. That's how he wins most of his fights. He's also got some saucy striking, so I wouldn't count out a KO, especially if Leon sniffs out a good opportunity.

Belal uses a similar strategy, often playing it safe instead of blasting in for a highlight-reel knockout. While he's still an impeccable fighter on a nine-fight win streak, we've never seen Muhammad uncork any diverse or high-caliber striking that suggests he can outwit Edwards on the feet.

Edwards vs Muhammad Pick

Belal is giving me "Sean Strickland at UFC 293 vibes," where a tried-and-true underdog might pull off a shock upset. That said, I strongly believe Leon is the best welterweight in the world right now. 

We'll see where the prop odds are in July, but I'm almost ready to pull the trigger on a Leon by KO bet. 

Pick: Edwards (-215)

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