Following a tremendous return to London last week, the UFC looks to continue the momentum this week with a pair of heavyweights on the marquee. Curtis Blaydes vs Chris Daukaus is the headliner for the UFC Fight Night this Saturday.
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Daukaus takes place on March 26 at Nationwide Arena in Columbus, Ohio, with the Sportsbook fight of the night starting at 4 p.m. ET. When it comes to Blaydes vs Daukaus odds in the main event, it is the higher-ranked Blaydes who is favored.
You can check out UFC odds among other betting markets at Sportsbook:
Curtis Blaydes vs Chris Daukaus Notes
The last time out, Chris Daukaus saw his lengthy five-fight winning streak come to a close when he ran into Derrick Lewis in late 2021. He will look to get back in the win column this weekend.
Also suffering a defeat to the Black Beast recently was Curtis Blaydes, falling to Lewis in February 2021, but he did return in September to score a decision win over Jairzinho Rozenstruik.
Blaydes vs Daukaus Odds
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released the Blaydes vs Daukaus odds and has set Curtis as the -450 chalk and Chris the +325 underdog. This means to profit $100 with a Blaydes win, you need to lay $450, while a $100 winning bet on Daukaus will net you $325.
Our sports betting calculator tells us that Blaydes’ odds translate to an implied win probability of 81.82 percent while the Daukaus betting line represents an implied win probability of 23.53 percent.
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If you’re looking for the biggest underdog in the UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Daukaus odds, you will be taking Denis Tiuliulin as a +600 underdog in his fight with Aliaskhab Khizriev (-1000). Meanwhile, the fight that offers the tightest odds is the welterweight slugfest between Bryan Barberena and Matt Brown, which is set as a pick’em with both men holding -115 odds.
Blaydes vs Daukaus Betting Odds & Fight Card
- Main Card
- Heavyweight – Curtis Blaydes (-450) vs Chris Daukaus (+325)
- Women’s Flyweight – Joanne Wood (+195) vs Alexa Grasso (-245)
- Flyweight – Askar Askarov (-400) vs Kai Kara-France (+300)
- Welterweight – Matt Brown (-115) vs Bryan Barberena (-115)
- Heavyweight – Ilir Latifi (-210) vs Aleksei Oleinik (+165)
- Prelims
- Women’s Flyweight – Jennifer Maia (+325) vs Manon Fiorot (-450)
- Welterweight – Neil Magny (-265) vs Max Griffin (+205)
- Lightweight – Marc Diakiese (+125) vs Viacheslav Borshchev (-155)
- Women’s Bantamweight – Sara McMann (+175) vs Karol Rosa (-220)
- Bantamweight – Chris Gutierrez (+105) vs Danaa Batgerel (-135)
- Flyweight – Matheus Nicolau (+100) vs David Dvorak (-130)
- Middleweight – Aliaskhab Khizriev (-1000) vs Denis Tiuliulin (+600)
- Featherweight – Luis Saldana (-105) vs Bruno Souza (-125)
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- Date/Time: March 26, 4 p.m. ET
- Location: Columbus, Ohio
- Arena: Nationwide Arena
- Where to Watch: ESPN/ESPN+
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Daukaus Best Bets
We went 4-1 with our best bets last week for UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs Aspinall. Let’s continue the momentum this week with our best bets for UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs Daukaus, including a pick for the main event.
Curtis Blaydes vs Chris Daukaus Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Curtis Blaydes | -450 |
| Chris Daukaus | +325 |
Not only did the December loss snap a five-fight winning streak for Chris Daukaus (+325) but it was also his first defeat in the Octagon. He will look to avoid his first-ever losing skid against Curtis “Razor” Blaydes (-450), who is looking for consecutive wins for the first time since 2020.
- Blaydes’ career has been filled with decent winning streaks followed by a knockout loss. As a result, his career record is 15-3 and one no contest, with 10 wins by knockout and all three losses coming in the same manner.
- I mention that his losses were knockouts but they came against two men who are arguably the hardest hitters in the UFC: Derrick Lewis and champion Francis Ngannou. Razor is an outstanding wrestler, averaging 6.27 takedowns per 15 minutes, and he set a record with 14 in his win over Alexander Volkov in 2020.
- He is a good size for the division as well, standing six-foot-four with an 80-inch reach, and does fairly well on the feet but at times will load up on big overhand strikes, which leaves him open for heavy counters.
- Blaydes’ last three fights were Alexander Volkov (win – unanimous decision), Derrick Lewis (loss – knockout) and Jairzinho Rozenstruik (win – unanimous decision).
- Like Blaydes, Daukaus has had a few lengthy winning streaks and prior to his most recent defeat had won 10 of 11 fights, nine of them by knockout. His record stands at 12-4 with 11 knockouts while his losses feature three knockouts and one submission.
- Chris has an exceptional output of 7.71 significant strikes per minute while absorbing only 3.51. He has outstruck four of his five UFC opponents, absorbing more strikes than he landed only in his last outing. Daukaus has scored six knockdowns over his four wins.
- Evident in the output, Daukaus is a volume striker and has good conditioning that allows him to hold that pace, though he’s only seen the second round once in his UFC career. He also has a 100 percent takedown defense and that will surely be tested on Saturday.
- Daukaus’ last three fights were Aleksei Oleinik (win – knockout), Shamil Abdurakhimov (win – knockout) and Derrick Lewis (loss – knockout).
Prediction: Curtis Blaydes Inside The Distance (-150)
Askar Askarov vs Kai Kara-France Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Askar Askarov | -400 |
| Kai Kara-France | +300 |
We are seeing likely a No. 1 contenders match in the flyweight division with the Sportsbook of this bout probably taking on the Sportsbook of the Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno fourth fight. Askar “Bullet” Askarov (-400) lays his undefeated record on the line as he takes on Kai “Don’t Blink” Kara-France(+300), who is coming off back-to-back first-round knockout wins.
- While Askarov is undefeated, he does have one blemish on his record in the form of a draw against former flyweight champion Brandon Moreno. Overall, he is 14-0-1 with 11 stoppages (four knockouts, seven submissions).
- Bullet is first and foremost a wrestler, mixing in 2.75 takedowns per 15 minutes, and landed five in his last outing, which is the most of his UFC career. On the feet, he is very measured, not rushing into a wild exchange but constantly making reads before formulating his game plan.
- Although he backs away from danger when his opponents pressure him, he does a good job backing them up immediately after they throw strikes that often miss. Askarov has a good fight IQ and has some pop in his hands but sometimes can be goaded into a firefight, which is where he’s most vulnerable.
- Askarov’s last three fights were Tim Elliott (win – unanimous decision), Alexandre Pantoja (win – unanimous decision) and Joseph Benavidez (win – unanimous decision).
- The back-to-back wins for Kara-France in 2021 represent his first winning streak since 2019. He now holds a 23-9 record with one no contest and 11 of his wins have come by knockout along with three submission victories. He also has five stoppage defeats (two knockouts, three submissions).
- Evident in his record, Don’t Blink likes the fight to be standing as he has fast and powerful hands that can shut his opponents’ lights off in a hurry. He doesn’t grapple much, securing only 0.51 takedowns per 15 minutes while also stuffing 87 percent of takedown attempts.
- Kai is very fast and his foes must be wary of his notable right hand. He does have a tendency to open up and throw left and right hooks in combinations but that certainly opens him up for a takedown attempt.
- Kara-France’s last three fights were Brandon Royval (loss – submission), Rogerio Bontorin (win – knockout) and Cody Garbrandt (win – knockout).
Prediction: Askar Askarov by decision (-120)
Bryan Barberena vs Matt Brown Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Bryan Barberena | -115 |
| Matt Brown | -115 |
Matt “The Immortal” Brown (-115), in search of his first winning streak in nearly three years, is coming off a knockout victory in June of last year. Similarly, Bryan “Bam Bam” Barberena (-115) hasn’t had back-to-back wins since 2016 but could do so again after he secured a win in December.
- Since Barberena’s seven-fight winning streak that got him into the UFC, he has struggled to find his footing. He is 16-8 with 12 stoppage wins (10 knockouts, two submissions) while only three of his defeats have been finishes (two knockouts, one submission).
- Don’t look for many takedown attempts from Bam Bam, who has just two takedowns over 13 UFC bouts and none since 2016. The southpaw would much rather the fight standing, where he averages 5.44 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.77.
- He is known for being in wars with great conditioning and an iron chin, though that might not be the best approach for career longevity. At times, he will lunge into the pocket off-balance looking to land something big but can be countered. That said, he has power in his strikes; he just doesn’t set them up that well.
- Barberena’s last three fights were Anthony Ivy (win – unanimous decision), Jason Witt (loss – majority decision) and Darian Weeks (win – unanimous decision)
- It has been a rough go for the veteran Matt Brown over the last eight years, sporting a record of 4-7 over that span. As a whole, he’s 23-18 with 21 stoppage victories (15 knockouts, six submissions), while he’s also been stopped in 13 of his defeats (three knockouts, 10 submissions).
- The Immortal is an aggressive fighter always marching his opponents down and willing to get into a striking exchange. The orthodox fighter doesn’t have a really high output, averaging 3.68 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.68, and hasn’t surpassed 100 significant strikes in a fight since 2014.
- Brown will also mix in 1.52 takedowns per 15 minutes but predominantly keeps the fight standing. He’s gritty and does a good job swarming his foes with flurries of strikes at times, but at distance he can be picked apart by leg kicks and faster strikes.
- Brown’s last three fights were Miguel Baeza (loss – knockout), Carlos Condit (loss – unanimous decision) and Dhiego Lima (win – knockout).
