Two top-notch female UFC fighters will be in the spotlight when strawweights Mackenzie Dern (12-2) and Xiaonan Yan (15-3) share the Octagon on October 1. The five-round main event will take place at the Apex in Las Vegas.
UFC Vegas 61 will begin with prelim fights at 4 p.m. ET with the main card to start at 7 p.m. Dern is currently the -250 favorite in the Dern vs Yan odds.
Sportsbook has you covered for all Dern vs Yan betting and other UFC odds.
Dern vs Yan Betting Notes
The women’s strawweight belt is very much up for grabs. Dern, the fifth-ranked 115-pounder, and Yan, the sixth-ranked strawweight, are vying to push themselves out of the division’s middle tier and into title contention.
Dern, a jiu-jitsu specialist, has fought in the UFC since 2017, amassing a 7-2 company record. The 29-year-old has won five of her last six bouts, including three by submission victory. Seven of her pro wins have come via submission and five have come via decision.
Yan is looking to end a two-fight losing skid after dropping a decision to Marina Rodriguez at UFC 272 and losing to now-champion Carla Esparza by technical knockout at UFC Vegas 27. “Nine” has seven stoppage wins on her pro record but has never scored a finish since joining the UFC in 2017.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan Odds
Sportsbook lists Dern as the -250 favorite and Yan as the +195 underdog. The biggest underdog on the card is featherweight Don Shainis (+650) in his fight vs Sodiq Yusuff (-1100).
The tightest odds of the event come in a prelim women’s featherweight bout between Julija Stoliarenko (-120) and Chelsea Chandler (-103).
Hoping to make some money on the Dern vs Yan odds but don’t know how to do it? No worries! Check out our How to Bet on UFC guide to get in on all the action. Also, feel free to visit our many UFC betting sites, as well as our main UFC betting news page for all the latest news from inside the Octagon.
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Yan Betting Odds & Fight Card
Odds as of October 1 via Sportsbook
Mackenzie Dern vs Xiaonan Yan Odds & Pick
Fighter
Odds
Mackenzie Dern
-250
Xiaonan Yan
+195
-250 isn’t the most chalk Dern has seen in her UFC career, but it’ll be her heaviest favorite status since a bout vs Hannah Cifers in May 2020. The American has fought well enough in her career to get the nod from most sportsbooks, but it’s worth noting her two UFC losses – to Amanda Ribas and Rodriguez – came while she was favored by -185 and -195, respectively. In fact, Dern has been the favorite in all but one of her UFC bouts (+105 vs Nina Nunes, where Dern won by SUB).
Yan has been favored in six of her eight UFC fights, including her loss to Esparza at UFC Vegas 27. After Sportsbook as a +230 ’dog vs Rodriguez at UFC 272, Yan will fight as a back-to-back underdog for the first time in her career when she takes on Dern.
Looking at the Dern vs Yan odds, our sports betting calculator tells us Dern’s -250 status gives her an implied win probability of 71.43 percent. Yan’s +195 odds represent an implied win probability of 66.10 percent. That means a successful $10 bet on the favorite pays out $14, while the same wager on the underdog pays $29.50.
Pick: Dern by submission (-121)
Randy Brown vs Francisco Trinaldo Odds & Pick
Fighter
Odds
Randy Brown
-350
Francisco Trinaldo
+255
The co-main event features a welterweight fight between Randy Brown (15-4) and Francisco Trinaldo (28-8).
Pick: Brown by decision (+129)
Sodiq Yusuff vs Don Shainis Odds & Pick
Fighter
Odds
Sodiq Yusuff
-1100
Don Shainis
+650
A fun, albeit lopsided bout between featherweights Sodiq Yusuff (12-2) and Don Shainis (13-3) will also take place on the main card.