A former UFC lightweight champion and a rising star clash on Saturday, as Rafael dos Anjos takes on Rafael Fiziev in the main event at UFC on ESPN 39.
Prelim action at UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs Fiziev is set to get underway at 6 pm ET on Saturday, July 9 at UFC APEX in Las Vegas, with the main card scheduled to kick off at 9 pm ET. Undefeated in five Octagon appearances, Fiziev has emerged as the clear betting favorite on the UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev odds.
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Rafael dos Anjos vs Rafael Fiziev Notes
dos Anjos aims to win three in a row for the first time since 2017 after recording a decisive unanimous decision victory over Renato Moicano in the co-main event at UFC 272, earlier this year. The former champion has gone a full five rounds in each of the contests in his current two-fight win streak after losing four of his previous five outings.
Fiziev has been idle since tallying a sensational third-round KO win over Brad Riddell seven months ago at UFC Vegas 44 and has rocketed to No. 10 on the UFC lightweight rankings during his current 5-0 run.
dos Anjos vs. Fiziev Odds
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has Fiziev perched as a -220 favorite on the UFC on ESPN 39 odds, while dos Anjos lags as a +175 underdog.
Fiziev’s -220 odds translate to an implied win probability of 68.75 percent, while Emmett’s +175 odds translate to an implied win probability of 36.36 percent.
UFC betting fans looking to cash in on the biggest underdog of the night should keep tabs on Douglas Silva de Andrade, who is pegged as a lengthy +210 bet in his bantamweight tilt with Said Nurmagomedov.
The tightest odds of the night can be found on the prelim card, as Karl Roberson (+100) and Kennedy Nzechukwu (-130) tangle in a light heavyweight matchup.
dos Anjos vs. Fiziev Betting Odds & Fight Card
- Main Card
- Lightweight -- Rafael dos Anjos (+175) vs Rafael Fiziev (-220)
- Middleweight -- Caio Borralho (-210) vs Armen Petrosyan (+165)
- Bantamweight -- Douglas Silva de Andrade (+210) vs Said Nurmagomedov (-280)
- Heavyweight -- Jared Vanderaa (-200) vs Chase Sherman (+160)
- Lightweight -- Michael Johnson (+200) vs Jamie Mullarkey (-260)
- Prelims
- Women's Flyweight -- Cynthia Calvillo (-150) vs Nina Nunes (+120)
- Bantamweight -- Aiemann Zahabi (+155) vs Ricky Turcios (-190)
- Women's Flyweight -- Antonina Shevchenko (-175) vs Cortney Casey (+145)
- Middleweight -- Cody Brundage (+110) vs Tresean Gore (-140)
- Light Heavyweight -- Kennedy Nzechukwu (-130) vs Karl Roberson (+100)
- Bantamweight -- Ronnie Lawrence (-145) vs Saidyokum Kakhramonov (+115)
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- Date/Time: Saturday, July 9, 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Arena: UFC Apex
- Where to Watch: ESPN
UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Fiziev Best Bets
Lopsided matchups highlighted the UFC 276 card this past weekend. And we learned an important lesson about the importance of betting with your head and not your heart while going just one-for-six with our picks. But confidence is high that we will bounce right back with this weekend’s best bets.
Main Event Odds & Pick
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Rafael dos Anjos | +175 |
| Rafael Fiziev | -220 |
With the top of the UFC lightweight division currently up for grabs, there will be lots on the line when these two fighters clash on Saturday night. Despite entering the Octagon as a lightweight just once since losing his title to Eddie Alvarez six years ago, Rafael dos Anjos (+175) remains perched at No. 10 among 155-pounders on the UFC rankings.
Rafael Fiziev has fueled his rise in the rankings with impressive KOs in two of his past three outings, cementing his reputation as a fearsome knockout specialist.
- Rafael dos Anjos has struggled since seeing his reign as UFC lightweight champion come to an end. The 37-year-old Brazilian has won just six of his past 12 contests and struggled against top-flight opponents while fighting as a welterweight, including unanimous decision losses to Colby Covington, Kamaru Usman, Leon Edwards and Michael Chiesa.
- The veteran southpaw has a proven ability to go the distance, getting the nod from the judges in 16 of his 31 career wins.
- The former champ also enjoys plenty of experience in championship rounds, with six of his past eight fights going a full five rounds.
- With 11 total takedowns over his past two fights, dos Anjos now ranks fourth among UFC lightweights with 45 career takedowns.
- dos Anjos’s last three fights were Renato Moicano (win – unanimous decision), Paul Felder (win - split decision) and Michael Chiesa (loss – unanimous decision).
- Rafael Fiziev suffered a stunning first-round TKO loss to Magomed Mustafaev in his promotional debut at UFC Fight Night 149 but has followed up with five straight decisive victories.
- “Ataman” has taken home performances in each of his past four outings, including Performance of the Night accolades for his KO wins over Brad Riddell and Renato Moicano.
- Fiziev established himself as a knockout specialist with five straight first-round finishes to kick off his pro-MMA career. He has seen three of his past five contests go the distance but enjoys no experience in championship-round action
- The 29-year-old Kazakhstan native gets hit as often as he doles out punishment, absorbing 5.57 significant strikes per minute, but sports an impressive 95% takedown defense.
- Fiziev’s last three fights were Brad Riddell (win – KO), Bobby Green (win - unanimous decision) and Renato Moicano (win - TKO).
Prediction: dos Anjos (+175); OVER 4.5 rounds (-155)
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Caio Borralho vs Armen Petrosyan Odds & Pick
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Caio Borralho | -210 |
| Armen Petrosyan | +165 |
Newcomers capture the spotlight in the co-main event of the evening, as Caio Borralho (-210) takes on Armen Petrosyan (+165) in an intriguing matchup between middleweights riding three-fight win streaks.
Borralho claimed a three-round unanimous decision win over Gadzhi Omargadzhiev in his promotional debut at UFC Vegas 51, while Petrosyan eked out a split decision win over Gregory Rodrigues in his Octagon debut at UFC Vegas 49.
- Borralho has come a long way since his days as a young man competing in regional MMA action in Brazil. A former Future MMA middleweight champion, the 29-year-old followed up with a pair of wins on Dana White’s Contender Series including a first-round KO win over light heavyweight Jesse Murray that paid out on -560 odds and earned him a UFC contract.
- Borralho currently rides a 10-fight win streak and sports a pro-MMA record of 11-1 with one no contest, with four of his past five victories coming by decision.
- While Borralho stands four inches shorter than Petrosyan, he enjoys a four-inch reach advantage. That has enabled him to stay out of reach of opponents, who racked up just 16 total significant strikes over his past two fights.
- Borralho’s last three fights were Gadzhi Omargadzhiev (win- unanimous decision), Jesse Murray (win - TKO) and Aaron Jeffery (win – unanimous decision).
- Petrosyan (+160) brought Dana White to his feet with a thundering kick to the head that ended Kaloyan Kolev’s night last year on Dana White’s Contender Series and earned the 31-year-old a long-awaited UFC contract.
- “Superman” saw his first six victories as a pro come inside three rounds, including a trio of first-round knockout wins. Petrosyan needed a split decision to get past Gregory Rodrigues in his last outing despite outstriking Rodrigues by a massive 128-61 margin. However, Borralho’s reach advantage will represent a huge challenge.
- While there is no denying Petrosyan’s punching power and kickboxing skills, he has been susceptible to takedowns, with opponents putting him on the mat on five total occasions over his first two trips to the Octagon.
- Petrosyan’s last three fights were Gregory Rodrigues (win – split decision), Kaloyan Kolev (win – KO) and Aleksandr Zemlyakov (win – KO).
Prediction: Barralho (-210); OVER 1.5 rounds (-175)
Said Nurmagomedov vs Douglas Silva de Andrade Odds & Pick
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Said Nurmagomedov | -280 |
| Douglas Silva de Andrade | +210 |
Bantamweights coming off impressive victories clash at UFC on ESPN 39, as Said Nurmagomedov (-280) tangles with Douglas Silva de Andrade (+210). Nurmagomedov needed just 47 seconds to dispose of Cody Stamann by submission in his last outing at UFC 270 and has now seen each of his past three victories come inside five minutes.
Silva de Andrade tallied a second-round submission win over Sergey Morozov last time out at UFC 271, which also earned him a second straight performance bonus.
- Despite seeing action in just two fights since December 2019, Said Nurmagomedov has shown no signs of rust. Indeed, the former AFC bantamweight champion has displayed scary efficiency during his 2-0 run after seeing nine of his previous 12 contests go the distance.
- Nurmagomedov was virtually untouched in his past two fights, absorbing just four total strikes, and has outstruck opponents by wide margins while going 4-1 in five UFC contests.
- While each of his two professional losses have come by decision, Nurmagomedov showed signs of susceptibility to the takedown in his lone UFC loss to Raoni Barcelos, who put him on the mat twice and racked up 2:39 of control during their three-round matchup.
- Nurmagomedov’s last three fights were Cody Stamann (win - submission), Mark Striegl (win - KO) and Raoni Barcelos (loss – unanimous decision).
- Douglas Silva de Andrade hopes to have overcome the struggles with inconsistency that have dogged him since he first joined the UFC eight years ago. “D-Silva” currently rides his first win streak in six years after falling to defeat in three of his previous five outings. However, it is important to note that he sports a respectable 5-2 record when fighting as a bantamweight while picking up three performance bonuses.
- Silva de Andrade paid out as a lengthy +175 underdog in his submission win over Sergey Morozov, ending a two-fight slide when sporting negative odds.
- The 37-year-old sports a steady 28-4 pro-MMA record, with 20 of his victories coming by KO or TKO. D-Silva also ranks seventh all-time among UFC bantamweights in career knockdowns. However, he has failed to win three fights in a row since joining the UFC in 2014.
- Silva de Andrade’s last three fights were Sergey Morozov (win – submission), Gaetano Pirrello (win – KO) and Lerone Murphy (loss – unanimous decision).
