Brandon Moreno (left) is favored over Alexandre Pantoja at the UFC 290 odds

Moreno vs Royval Odds & Picks: Take The UNDER In Mexico City

The UFC returns to Mexico City on February 24, when former champ Brandon Moreno takes on Brandon Royval in the main event.

The Moreno vs Royval odds are about what you'd expect, with "The Assassin Baby" a -250 favorite over Royval (+200).

Remember, this fight is a rematch. Moreno defeated Royval by first-round injury TKO in 2020.

Brandon Moreno vs Brandon Royval Odds

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Royval Odds
Brandon Moreno-250
Brandon Royval+200

Odds as of Feb. 20

Our odds calculator suggests Moreno's -250 odds equate to an implied win probability of 71.43%, meaning a $100 bet on him pays out $140. Royval's +200 underdog odds imply a 33.33% chance to win, and a $100 bet on him pays out $300. 

How To Watch UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs Royval 2

  • Date/Time: February 24, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Mexico City, Mexico
  • Arena: Arena CDMX
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+, Cable Provider

Moreno vs Royval Betting Predictions

Moreno is as patriotic a UFC fighter as we've seen. He'll be amped up in front of a hometown crowd, which does not bode well for the underdog Royval.

How To Bet Moreno vs Royval

Royval is a boss in the wild scrambles. He possesses excellent finishing instincts for a flyweight, but he's facing one of the smartest 125ers of all time on Saturday.

Moreno's a phenomenal grappler and he's very durable on the feet, too. The Mexican has never been stopped in UFC action. His five-round experience gives him another leg up.

The odds are accurate for this fight, and I'll be leaning toward Moreno, as there's no evidence he's regressed from his first fight vs Royval in 2020.

Moreno vs Royval Pick

Moreno is deadly, but he often takes his time. That said, Royval will push for a finish. When the dust settles, Moreno will win inside the distance.

Pick: Moreno inside the distance (TBD); UNDER 4.5 Rounds (TBD)

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