It is iron on top of iron in the lightweight division and a future UFC title contender could emerge from this week’s main event. In the featured spot of this week’s UFC Fight Night, we see Islam Makhachev taking on Bobby Green.
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs Green is happening this Saturday, February 26, at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, with the Sportsbook bout of the night starting at 4 p.m. ET. When it comes to Makhachev vs Green odds, it is the former who is the sizable betting favorite.
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Makhachev vs Green Notes
The childhood best friend of lightweight great Khabib Nurmagomedov, Islam Makhachev has rattled off nine straight victories and is knocking on the door to a title shot – a win Saturday could give him that opportunity.
Speaking of knocking on the door, that’s what happened for Bobby Green to be in this fight as he got the call about a week ago to step in on late notice. Green, you may recall, just competed and won a unanimous decision against Nasrat Haqparast at UFC 271 on February 12.
Makhachev vs Green Odds
Online sportsbook Sportsbook has the Islam Makhachev vs Bobby Green odds and has listed Makhachev as the -800 chalk and Green the +525 underdog option. This means that if you’re looking to make $100 with an Islam win, you need to lay $800, while a $100 winning wager on Bobby would net you a cool $525.
We can further examine the Makhachev vs Green betting odds using our sports betting calculator. There you will see that Islam’s odds of -800 translate to an implied win probability of 88.89 percent while Bobby’s odds represent an implied win probability of 16.00 percent.
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If you’re looking to place a wager on the biggest underdog in the UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs Green odds, it would be in the main event with Green being the +550 underdog. Conversely, there are two fights that share the tightest odds of the evening. The co-main sees Misha Cirkunov as a slight -125 betting favorite over Wellington Turman (-105), while in the prelims Fares Ziam (-125) is favored over Terrance McKinney (-105).
Makhachev vs Green Betting Odds & Fight Card
- Main Card
- Catchweight – Islam Makhachev (-800) vs Bobby Green (+525)
- Middleweight – Misha Cirkunov (-125) vs Wellington Turman (-105)
- Women’s Flyweight – Ji Yeon Kim (-160) vs Priscila Cachoeira (+130)
- Lightweight – Arman Tsarukyan (-220) vs Joel Alvarez (+175)
- Middleweight – Armen Petrosyan (+130) vs Gregory Rodrigues (-160)
- Prelims
- Lightweight – Zhu Rong (+165) vs Ignacio Bahamondes (-210)
- Women’s Bantamweight – Josiane Nunes (-210) vs Romano Pascual (+165)
- Lightweight – Terrance McKinney (-105) vs Fares Ziam (-125)
- Bantamweight – Alejandro Perez (+200) vs Jonathan Martinez (-260)
- Welterweight – Ramiz Brahimaj (-375) vs Micheal Gillmore (+275)
- Flyweight – Victor Altamirano (+115) vs Carlos Hernandez (-145)
Outside of the odds above, you can learn about UFC prop betting with our How to Bet UFC guide. In addition, we can assist you in choosing where to bet on the UFC with our sportsbook review page. There is plenty more UFC betting news here at Odds Shark.
- Date/Time: February 26, 4 p.m. ET
- Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
- Arena: UFC Apex
- Where to Watch: ESPN+
Islam Makhachev vs Bobby Green Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Islam Makhachev | -800 |
| Bobby Green | +525 |
After sitting out all of 2020, Islam Makhachev (-800) picked up three victories in 2021, each by submission, placing him one win away from a shot at UFC gold. Following a brief two-fight losing skid, Bobby “King” Green (+525) has emerged on the other side to win back-to-back fights, including a decision win two weeks ago.
- The beginning of Makhachev’s UFC career didn’t go so well in that he suffered his one and only pro loss in his second trip to the Octagon. Overall, he holds a 21-1 record with 13 stoppage victories (three knockouts, 10 submissions) while his only loss came by knockout.
- Coming from Dagestan, Russia, it is no surprise that Makhachev is an elite grappler. He averages 3.37 takedowns per 15 minutes, securing 66 percent of his attempts. He also has a variety of takedown methods that can be effective against even the highest caliber of wrestlers.
- All that said, Islam doesn’t need to take the fight to the floor for a victory – he is an impressive striker as well. The southpaw lands 2.21 significant strikes per minute while absorbing only 0.79.
- He does a tremendous job sliding just out of range when he’s under attack and he will counter with straight punches when he makes his reads. Offensively, Makhachev cuts off the cage really well, which backs his opponents up and opens areas for a takedown.
- Makhachev’s last three fights were Drew Dober (win – submission), Thiago Moises (win – submission) and Dan Hooker (win – submission).
- A veteran of the cage, Green made his UFC debut in 2013 and is making his 19th trip to the Octagon, including his eighth in less than two years. His record stands at 29-12-1 with 18 finish victories (10 knockouts, eight submissions). He has only been stopped four times (two knockouts, two submissions) and not since 2016.
- King is a well-rounded fighter who prefers the fight standing but has the ability to grapple effectively as well. He stuffs 72 percent of takedown attempts and he will mix in 1.36 takedowns per 15 minutes. He hasn’t landed a takedown in his last three fights but had 13 combined in his previous five.
- On the feet, the orthodox fighter is calm and relaxed with his hands by his side as he throws extremely straight punches from the hip that are crisp and accurate. He lands 5.93 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.65.
- The high output speaks to his tremendous conditioning as well. He surpassed 140 significant strikes in two of his last three fights, both of them three-round bouts. While he doesn’t have a ton of power, his pace and accuracy wear on his foes.
- Green’s last three fights were Rafael Fiziev (loss – unanimous decision), Al Iaquinta (win – knockout) and Nasrat Haqparast (win – unanimous decision).
Prediction: Islam Makhachev (-800) via submission
Misha Cirkunov vs Wellington Turman Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Misha Cirkunov | -125 |
| Wellington Turman | -105 |
It has been over two years since Misha Cirkunov (-125) tasted victory and he’s hoping that his second bout in his new weight class will bring him that elusive win. Similarly, Wellington “The Prodigy” Turman (-105) had gone nearly two years between wins as well before scoring a split-decision triumph last August.
- Cirkunov spent his first 10 UFC appearances in the light heavyweight division before dropping to middleweight last October and suffering a controversial split-decision loss. He holds a 15-7 record with 13 finishes (five knockouts, eight submissions), while six of his losses are also stoppages (four knockouts, two submissions).
- Coming down in weight class, it’s no surprise that Misha is a big middleweight, standing six-foot-three with an impressive 77-inch reach. However, you can throw much of that out the window as the orthodox fighter likes to grapple first and foremost, mixing in 4.48 takedowns per 15 minutes.
- He’s a little rigid on the feet, pawing away with a jab, and at times will load up on bigger strikes. At times, he tends to work along the fence wearing on his foes, which helps when he eventually gets the takedown he can sink in a submission easier.
- Cirkunov’s last three fights were Jimmy Crute (win – submission), Ryan Spann (loss – knockout) and Krzysztof Jotko (loss – split decision).
- It has been a battle for Turman in the UFC, but a much-needed win here would bring him to 3-3 over six bouts. Overall, he sports a 17-5 record with 11 stoppages (four knockouts, seven submissions) while two of his defeats have come by knockout.
- The Prodigy is gaining a lot of experience at just 25 years old and it seems as though he has all the tools to be a challenger if he can start putting it all together. He possesses a 100 percent takedown defense while mixing in 2.22 takedowns per 15 minutes of his own.
- He gets in trouble on the feet, often gaining confidence when having some success but then dropping his hands and getting sloppy defensively, leaving him vulnerable to a knockout. He has good kicks and a great ability to close distance really fast that catches his opponents off guard.
- Turman’s last three fights were Andrew Sanchez (loss – knockout), Bruno Silva (loss – knockout) and Sam Alvey (win – split decision).
Prediction: Wellington Turman (-105) via decision
Ji Yeon Kim vs Priscila Cachoeira Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Ji Yeon Kim | -160 |
| Priscila Cachoeira | +130 |
Following her first two victories in the UFC, Priscila “Zombie Girl” Cachoeira (+130) took a submission loss in her attempt at a three-fight winning streak. Meanwhile, Ji Yeon “Fire Fist” Kim (-160) is hoping for her hand to be raised for the first time in over two years, coming off back-to-back decision losses.
- Kim has struggled to find her footing inside the UFC, sporting a record of 3-4 in her seven bouts in the Octagon. Her overall record stands at 9-4-2 with five stoppage victories (two knockouts, three submissions) while all of her losses have come by decision.
- Don’t look for Fire Fist to be searching for too many takedowns, having not secured one over her seven UFC fights. She has an exceptional reach on the feet at 72 inches, and she will have a seven-inch reach advantage in this bout.
- Despite the length, Kim lands only 34 percent of her significant strike attempts, averaging 5.04 per minute while absorbing 5.47. She works well behind her jab but lacks head movement and doesn’t have fast hands.
- Kim’s last three fights were Nadia Kassem (win – knockout), Alexa Grasso (loss – unanimous decision) and Molly McCann (loss – unanimous decision).
- Cachoeira was fed to the wolves in her UFC debut, fighting current flyweight champion Valentina Shevchenko, and lost her following two bouts before finding some success. She now has a 10-4 record with six knockout wins while two of her losses have been submissions.
- You don’t get nicknamed Zombie Girl without having a heck of a chin and that is evident with no knockout losses on her record. Her striking stats aren’t pretty, averaging 3.82 significant strikes per minute and absorbing 6.97.
- Like Kim, Cachoeira has landed no takedowns in her UFC career so this fight should play out on the feet. She constantly stalks forward, looking to get in the pocket and exchange hands and can do that for the duration of the bout.
- Cachoeira’s last three fights were Shana Dobson (win – knockout), Gina Mazany (win – knockout) and Gillian Robertson (loss – submission).
Prediction: Ji Yeon Kim (-160) via decision
Arman Tsarukyan vs Joel Alvarez Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Arman Tsarukyan | -220 |
| Joel Alvarez | +175 |
A winning streak will come to a close when these lightweights enter the cage. After losing his UFC debut, Joel “El Fenomeno” Alvarez (+175) has won four straight fights, all by stoppage. Similarly, Arman “Ahalkalakets” Tsarukyan (-220) ran into the man on the marquee, Islam Makhachev, in his debut and lost by decision, but he has won four in a row since.
- That loss to Makhachev in Tsarukyan’s debut snapped a 12-fight winning streak at the time. The 25-year-old is now 17-2 with 11 stoppage victories (six knockouts, five submissions) while his one knockout loss came back in 2015.
- Evident in his record, Ahalkalakets is a well-rounded mixed martial artist, showing off his grappling skills in early 2021 with 10 takedowns and then his hands in September with a knockout victory.
- He cuts off the cage extremely well, forcing opponents against the cage where he picks them apart with his strikes or sets up a grappling exchange. His boxing skills are elite when he’s able to counter, a beautiful blend of accuracy and power to go along with high-level wrestling.
- Tsarukyan’s last three fights were Davi Ramos (win – unanimous decision), Matt Frevola (win – unanimous decision) and Christos Giagos (win – knockout).
- Alvarez’s unanimous-decision defeat in his UFC debut to Damir Ismagulov put a halt to his 10-fight winning streak. The 28-year-old is now 19-2 with each of his wins being a stoppage (three knockouts, 16 submissions) while his lone knockout loss came in 2015.
- El Fenomeno is a giant for the lightweight division, standing six-foot-three with a ridiculous 77-inch reach. Although he hasn’t secured a takedown in the UFC, he has been taken down four times and secured submission wins in two of them.
- The orthodox fighter is a threat on the feet as well, piecing up Thiago Moises in his November bout, outstriking Moises 44-11 en route to a first-round knockout victory. His kicks are remarkable and he is aggressive when his foes start backing up.
- Alvarez’s last three fights were Joe Duffy (win – submission), Alexander Yakovlev (win – submission) and Thiago Moises (win – knockout).
Prediction: Joel Alvarez (+175) via knockout
Armen Petrosyan vs Gregory Rodrigues Odds & Prediction
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Armen Petrosyan | +130 |
| Gregory Rodrigues | -160 |
Ready to make his UFC debut following a win in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series is Armen “Superman” Petrosyan (+130). Also a DWTNCS alum is Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues (-160), who was unsuccessful in that appearance but has still found his way into the Octagon and is coming off back-to-back wins in the organization.
- Petrosyan’s knockout win in the Contender Series was his second win in a row, both in the same fashion. In fact, the 6-1 fighter has seen all of his fights end in a knockout, four of them coming in the first round.
- Superman competed in the light heavyweight division in the Contender Series but will be back at middleweight for this bout. The orthodox fighter is very light on his feet, allowing him to be elusive defensively and he can close the distance quickly offensively.
- He was rag-dolled early in his Contender Series fight but scrambled well, forcing the fight to take place on the feet. There, he was able to let his heavy kicks fly and his fast, powerful hands ended the fight.
- Petrosyan’s last three fights were Hassan Yousefi (loss – knockout), Alexander Zemlyakov (win – knockout) and Kaloyan Kloev (win – knockout).
- As mentioned, Rodrigues lost his Contender Series bout but has rattled off four wins in a row since (including two in the UFC), three of which were stoppages. He is now 11-3 with nine stoppage victories (five knockouts, four submissions) and two of his losses were knockouts.
- Robocop is a well-rounded fighter, dangerous in all facets of the game. In his two UFC bouts, he’s landed five takedowns while outstriking his competition 139-93. He has also stuffed 100 percent of takedown attempts against.
- He is fast with his kicks and very accurate with his hands. At times, he lunges into the pocket aggressively and has been hit hard in those instances. On the floor, he’s got great control and jiu-jitsu skills that make him a constant threat for a submission.
- Rodrigues’ last three fights were Josh Fremd (win – knockout), Duskko Todorovic (win – unanimous decision) and Jun Yong Park (win – knockout).
Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues (-160) via submission
UFC Fight Night Makhachev vs Green Best Bets
| Fighter | Odds |
|---|---|
| Catchweight – Islam Makhachev | -800 |
| Middleweight – Wellington Turman | -105 |
| Women’s Flyweight – Ji Yeon Kim | -160 |
| Lightweight – Joel Alvarez | +175 |
| Middleweight – Gregory Rodrigues | -160 |
