With a new women’s strawweight champion crowned two weeks ago at UFC 261, the division takes center stage as Michelle Waterson and Marina Rodriguez compete in the main event of UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs Rodriguez.
Looking at Waterson vs Rodriguez odds, it is the No. 6-ranked Rodriguez who is favored over No. 9 Waterson. We have the full Waterson vs Rodriguez odds and predictions below.
Waterson has twice climbed the strawweight rankings but faltered when fighting the women near the top of the division. She’s coming off a controversial split-decision victory over Angela Hill last September and looks to make another run to the top.
Rodriguez took her first professional loss last July in a close split decision against former champion Carla Esparza. Marina got back in the win column in January with her first stoppage in the Octagon.
Waterson vs Rodriguez Odds
Online sportsbook Bovada has released the Waterson vs Rodriguez odds, with Rodriguez listed as the -220 favorite and Waterson the +175 underdog. This means you would have to wager $220 to profit $100 on a Rodriguez victory, while a $100 bet on a Waterson win would profit you $175.
Looking at the odds for Waterson vs Rodriguez, our sports betting calculator tells us that Rodriguez’s odds of -220 represent an implied win probability of 68.75 percent while Waterson’s odds of +175 have an implied win probability of 36.36 percent.
The largest favorite in the UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs Rodriguez odds comes in the featherweight prelim fight between Ludovit Klein (-265) and Mike Trizano (+210). The tightest betting line is in the middleweight prelim bout with Kyle Daukaus (-130) favored over Phil Hawes (+110).
New to betting on the fights? Check out our How to Bet on the UFC guide to help get you in the action. Also, be sure to keep an eye on our UFC odds page for the latest up-to-date UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs Rodriguez betting odds.
Michelle Waterson vs Marina Rodriguez Odds & Prediction
Each time that Michelle “The Karate Hottie” Waterson (+175) broke into the top of the division, she ran into a two-fight losing streak. Marina Rodriguez (-220) earned a UFC contract in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series with a knockout and it took her sixth fight in the promotion to get her next knockout.
Prediction: Michelle Waterson (+175) via decision
Donald Cerrone vs Alex Morono Odds & Prediction
Donald “Cowboy” Cerrone (-200) searches for his first victory since 2019, having gone 0-4 with a no contest over his last five fights. Also coming off a defeat is Alex “The Great White” Morono (+160), who is on a win-one, lose-one streak over his last four bouts.
Prediction: Donald Cerrone (-200) via decision
Neil Magny vs Geoff Neal Odds & Prediction
Two men who had winning streaks snapped in their last outing look to right the ship in this fight. Geoff “Handz of Steel” Neal (-200) had been on a seven-fight winning streak prior to his decision loss to Stephen Thompson in December. Similarly, Neil “Haitian Sensation” Magny (+160) was a winner in three straight before losing to Michael Chiesa in January.
Prediction: Geoff Neal (-200) via knockout
Marcos Rogerio de Lima vs Maurice Greene Odds & Prediction
Marcos Rogerio de Lima
Struggling to find his footing in the UFC is Marcos “Pezao” Rogerio de Lima (-200), who has been riding a win-one, lose-one streak over his last 10 fights, most recently losing in November. Meanwhile, Maurice “The Crochet Boss” Greene (+160) has dropped three of his last four bouts following a three-fight winning streak.
Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima (-200) via knockout
Diego Ferreira vs Gregor Gillespie Odds & Prediction
Returning to the Octagon for the first time in a year and a half, Gregor “The Gift” Gillespie (-170) looks to rebound from his first professional loss. Looking to slap another loss on Gillespie’s record and return to the win column himself is Diego Ferreira (+140).
Prediction: Gregor Gillespie (-170) via decision
Amanda Ribas vs Angela Hill Odds & Prediction
Angela “Overkill” Hill (+160) emerged from back-to-back controversial split decisions to close out 2020 by recording a clear-cut victory in March of this year. Conversely, Amanda Ribas (-200) didn’t have a great start to 2021, seeing her five-fight winning streak ended when she was knocked out in January.