The interim UFC flyweight title will be on the line in a long-awaited rematch when former champion Brandon Moreno takes on Kai Kara-France in the co-main event at UFC 277.
UFC 277 is set to take place on Saturday, July 30, at American Airlines Arena in Dallas, Texas, with all the action available on PPV. Moreno has emerged as a clear betting favorite despite losing the UFC flyweight strap in his last outing six months ago.
See UFC odds and other betting markets at BetUS:
Brandon Moreno vs Kai Kara-France II Betting Odds
Online sportsbook BetUS has got you covered with all the UFC 277 odds. Brandon Moreno leads the way as strong -200 chalk, while Kai Kara-France lags as a +160 underdog.
That means Moreno backers must wager $200 to generate potential winnings of $100, while a successful $100 bet on Kara-France will generate winnings of $160.
Odds as of July 18 at BetUS
A deeper dive into the Moreno vs Kara-France betting line using our sports betting calculator shows that Moreno’s -200 odds translate to an implied win probability of 66.67 percent, while Kara-France’s odds reflect an implied win probability of just 38.46 percent.
This fight is one of two championship matchups on the UFC 277 main card and provides a great opportunity for fans to get into UFC betting action for the first time. So head on over to our How to Bet on UFC guide to learn about UFC betting. In addition, we have done all the homework on the best UFC betting sites to help you decide where to bet on the UFC. All of your UFC betting news can be found here at Odds Shark.
Moreno vs Kara-France II Odds Analysis
Moreno has endured somewhat of a roller-coaster ride at the sportsbooks during his climb to the top of the UFC flyweight division. The 28-year-old Mexican has sported negative odds on just three occasions during a seven-fight stretch that began with his 2019 victory over Maikel Perez that earned him the LFA flyweight strap. That includes his first date with Kara-France, whom he defeated by three-round unanimous decision at UFC 245 as a +135 bet.
Things have not gone much better for Kara-France. The 29-year-old New Zealander now gets set to enter the Octagon as a betting underdog for the third time in as many appearances. That marks a dramatic about-face after being tagged as betting chalk in his first seven UFC contests, in which he sported average odds of -233.
Moreno vs Kara-France II Betting Preview
Winless in three of his four previous fights, Moreno’s victory in his first meeting with Kara-France blazed the trail for his eventual shot at the UFC flyweight title. Perched at No. 1 among UFC flyweight contenders, “Baby Assassin” rebounded from a relatively shaky strike and seemingly gained momentum as his first date with Kara-France progressed, using a combination of speedy jabs and high kicks to bust up and steadily wear down Kara-France.
However, unlike each of his five most recent fights, Moreno elected to face off against Kara-France on his fight, despite sporting impressive grappling skills. Indeed, it was Baby Assassin’s work on the mat that proved key to his success in his impressive first-round TKO win over Brandon Royval at UFC 255, as well as the first two of his three dates with current UFC flyweight champion Deiveson Figueiredo.
Of Moreno’s 19 career wins, 11 have come by submission, including the stunning third-round victory over Figueiredo at UFC 263 that briefly earned him the belt. Moreno also owns impressive defensive credentials, with a 69.4 percent takedown defense that ranks ninth all-time among UFC flyweights.
But if Baby Assassin once again elects to go toe to toe against Kara-France, he is well equipped. Moreno ranks second among active UFC flyweights in total significant strikes landed and looked poised to drop Kara-France late in their first meeting before the clock ran out on that clash.
Kara-France Showing Steady Improvement
It took a couple of Octagon appearances for Kara-France to regain his form in the wake of his loss to Moreno, but he has shown flashes of pure dominance while posting wins in his past three fights.
“Don’t Blink” demonstrated his awesome finishing ability with first-round knockout wins over Rogerio Bontorin and Cody Garbrandt before cementing his position as the No. 2-ranked UFC flyweight contender with a three-round unanimous-decision win over Askar Askarov in his last outing earlier this year at UFC Columbus.
Kara-France’s recent stretch of wins have not come without adversity. Indeed, he spent lengthy stretches controlled by his opponent in his dates with both Bontorin and Askarov. His ability to survive on the mat against superior grapplers has likely better prepared him for what lies ahead in this rematch. However, the three-inch height and one-inch reach deficits he faces present a massive challenge against a speedy striker like Moreno.
Moreno vs Kara-France II Betting Pick
While some observers have expressed surprise at Moreno’s disinterest in bringing the action to the mat in his first date with Kara-France, the results indicated he really didn’t have to. With this contest set to go five rounds, look for Baby Assassin to change things up, using his superior grappling skills to wear down Kara-France, who enjoys no experience in championship rounds.
Prediction: Moreno (-200); UNDER 4.5 rounds (+125)
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Odds Shark Staff Sat, Aug 13, 4:03am