The two most recent middleweight title challengers are headlining this week’s UFC Fight Night. Marvin Vettori went the distance with Israel Adesanya in June, losing a decision, while Paulo Costa was stopped in his title fight last September.
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs Vettori takes place Saturday at the UFC Apex Center in Las Vegas, with the prelims beginning at 1 p.m. ET. Looking at Costa vs Vettori odds, it is the most recent title challenger, Marvin Vettori, who is the betting favorite.
Vettori has a record of 5-2 over his last seven fights, but those two defeats came to the man atop the division, Israel Adesanya. Even with a decisive victory in this bout, it’ll be hard to get the nod for a trilogy fight.
Prior to his own championship loss to Adesanya in September 2020, Costa had a perfect professional record of 13-0. He will look for an impressive win here to get a second shot at UFC gold.
Costa vs Vettori Odds
Online sportsbook Bovada has the Costa vs Vettori odds and has set Marvin as the -200 chalk and Paulo as the +160 underdog. These odds mean that to profit $100 on a winning Vettori bet, you would have to wager $200, while a $100 winning ticket on Costa would profit you $160.
If you’re curious about how the odds translate to the chances of winning, our sports betting calculator can help you out. There you will see that Vettori’s -200 betting line represents an implied win probability of 66.67 percent while Costa’s odds have an implied win probability of 38.46 percent.
If you’re looking to take a swing on the biggest underdog in the UFC Fight Night: Costa vs Vettori odds, there are two options as Rick Glenn is sitting as the heaviest underdog at +380, and David Onama is sitting as a +315 underdog in their respective bouts. Conversely, if you’re betting on the fight with the closest odds, Zviad Lazishvili is the ever-so-slight -115 chalk over Jonathan Martinez (-105)
Costa vs Vettori Betting Odds & Fight Card
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Paulo Costa vs Marvin Vettori Odds & Prediction
It will be interesting to see how Paulo “Borrachinha” Costa (+160) rebounds from his first pro loss, especially when he was stopped in that defeat via knockout in the second round. Meanwhile, it wasn’t the first loss for Marvin “The Italian Dream” Vettori (-200) in his last outing and he’s gone on lengthy winning streaks following defeat in the past.
Prediction: Marvin Vettori (-200) via submission
Grant Dawson vs Rick Glenn Odds & Prediction
Grant “KGD” Dawson (-550) returns to the cage for the second time since March looking to extend his eight-fight winning streak. Rick “The Gladiator” Glenn (+380) is aiming to start a winning streak of his own after going on a win-one, lose-one streak over his last five fights.
Prediction: Grant Dawson (-425) via decision
Jessica-Rose Clark vs Joselyne Edwards Odds & Prediction
Following back-to-back losses, Jessica-Rose Clark (-170) returned to the win column in a big way last September and looks to build on that over a year later. On the other side, Joselyne “La Pantara” Edwards (+140) hopes to rebound from her first UFC defeat in February.
Prediction: Jessica-Rose Clark (-170) via decision
Alex Caceres vs Seung-Woo Choi Odds & Prediction
On his longest winning streak in the UFC since he debuted in 2011, Alex “Bruce Leeroy” Caceres (+230) eyes a fifth win in a row. Also on a winning streak is Seung-Woo “Sting” Choi (-290), who has picked up three straight wins since dropping his first two in the Octagon.
Prediction: Seung-Woo Choi (-290) via decision
Francisco Trinaldo vs Dwight Grant Odds & Prediction
Francisco “Massaranduba” Trinaldo (-140) had his three-fight winning streak snapped in his welterweight debut back in June. Looking to slap a second straight loss on Trinaldo’s record is Dwight “The Body Snatcher” Grant (+115), who earned a split-decision win in his last outing in April.
Prediction: Francisco Trinaldo (-140) via decision
Nicolae Negumereanu vs Ike Villanueva Odds & Prediction
Following a loss in his UFC debut, Nicolae Negumereanu (-240) returned to the win column in his second outing in June of this year. He will look for a second in a row as he collides with “Hurricane” Ike Villanueva (+190), who is 1-1 in 2021 with both fights ending in a knockout.
Prediction: Ike Villanueva (+190) via knockout
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs Vettori Best Bets
|Middleweight – Marvin Vettori||-200|
|Lightweight – Grant Dawson||-550|
|Women’s Bantamweight – Jessica-Rose Clark||-170|
|Featherweight – Seung-Woo Choi||-290|
|Welterweight – Francisco Trinaldo||-140|
|Light Heavyweight – Ike Villanueva||+190|
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