Alex Perez is the underdog vs Manel Kape at UFC San Antonio March 25.

Perez vs Kape Odds & Pick: Another First-Round Finish On Tap?

Flyweights Manel Kape and Alex Perez will fight at UFC San Antonio on March 25. The event, which is headlined by Chito Vera and Cory Sandhagen, begins with the prelims at 4 p.m. ET, followed by the main card at 8 p.m.

Kape is the -188 favorite and Perez is the +162 underdog.

Perez vs Kape Betting Odds

Perez vs Kape Odds
Alex Perez+162
Manel Kape-188

Odds as of March 20

Our odds calculator tells us Kape’s -188 status translates to an implied win probability of 65.28 percent. That means a $10 bet on him pays out $15.32 (a return of your original $10 plus $5.32 in profit). Perez’s +162 odds imply a 38.17 percent win probability and a $10 bet on the underdog pays out $26.20.

For more information on how these numbers work, including the Perez vs Kape odds, head over to our How to Bet on UFC page. Also, feel free to visit our main UFC betting news page for all the latest news from inside the Octagon.

Perez vs Kape Preview: Who Will Win?

Kape, ranked ninth in the 125-pound division, can make a big jump with a win over the sixth-ranked Perez.

What Perez Does Well

Perez is coming off two first-round losses, but it’s not like he didn’t have his chances at times. The 30-year-old fights with serious pop, especially for a flyweight. In his last fight vs Deiveson Figueiredo at UFC 255, Perez unloaded with some successful hooks and leg kicks before slipping up and rolling into a deadly guillotine. Then he got crunched by soon-to-be title challenger Alexandre Pantoja. Still, Perez is a savage in the division, winning four of six UFC fights by finish (two KO/TKO, two SUB).

Don’t sleep on the underdog in this one.

What Kape Does Well

Five fights into his UFC career after ditching Rizin, Kape is blossoming into one of the top dudes at flyweight. His last bout vs David Dvorak at UFC Vegas 66 went very well, with “Starboy” flashing some whiz-like grappling skills by nearly locking down a kimura, then promptly piecing his opponent up on the feet. It was a nice well-rounded performance from Kape, who relied on his striking for his previous two highlight-reel stoppage victories. That all-around ability will be important Saturday when Perez is bound to change levels if Kape’s lightning-quick hands prove to be too devastating.

perez vs Kape Pick

The chalk on Kape scares me a little. He’s very talented and explosive but Perez is a part of that top tier of title-eliminator guys. Kape is probably the better fighter, although I’m not sure he’s quite ready for such a skilled opponent. I’ll be backing Perez at plus money Saturday.

And for my total rounds bet, I’ll be backing a finish inside the distance, perhaps even UNDER 2.5 rounds depending on value. Remarkably, six of Perez’s last seven bouts have finished in Round 1. That’s nuts. 

Pick: Perez to win (+162); uNDER 2.5 rounds (TBD); Value pick on the fight to finish in round 1 (tBD)

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