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Reyes vs Prochazka Odds & Prediction: Will a New No. 1 Contender Emerge?

Jiri Prochazka (right) is favored in the UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka odds.

One week after the UFC put on the first sold-out indoor arena event in over a year in front of a deafening crowd, the promotion returns home to the UFC Apex center in front of deafening silence with no fans. The headliner has a pair of light heavyweight contenders looking to inch closer to a title fight as two-time challenger Dominick Reyes takes on Jiri Prochazka.

Looking at Reyes vs Prochazka odds, the former title challenger, Reyes, is the betting underdog with Prochazka listed as the favorite. We have the full UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka odds and predictions below.

Reyes opened his career with 12 straight wins, nine of which were stoppages, resulting in him getting a title fight. “The Devastator” lost that bout to Jon Jones and a subsequent second title shot against Jan Blachowicz and now searches for his first win in nearly two years.

Still relatively unknown, Prochazka is riding an 11-fight winning streak, though he is making just his second UFC appearance. “Denisa” secured a second-round knockout over Volkan Oezdemir last July and now appears to be one or two wins away from a title fight.

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka Odds

Online sportsbook Bovada has released UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka odds, with Prochazka listed as the -130 favorite and Reyes the +110 underdog. This means you would have to wager $130 to profit $100 on a Prochazka victory, while a $100 bet on a Reyes win would profit you $110.

Looking at the odds for Reyes vs Prochazka, our sports betting calculator tells us that Prochazka’s odds of -130 represent an implied win probability of 56.52 percent while Reyes’ odds of +110 have an implied win probability of 47.62 percent.

The largest favorite in the UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka odds comes in the women’s strawweight prelim bout between Loma Lookboonme (-400) and Sam Hughes (+300). The tightest betting line is in the main event between Dominick Reyes and Jiri Prochazka.

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka Odds & Fight Card


UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka Odds & Fight Card
  • Main Card
  • Light Heavyweight – Dominick Reyes (+110) vs Jiri Prochazka (-130)
  • Featherweight – Cub Swanson (+140) vs Giga Chikadze (-170)
  • Light Heavyweight – Ion Cutelaba (-150) vs Dustin Jacoby (+125)
  • Middleweight – Sean Strickland (-265) vs Krzysztof Jotko (+210)
  • Bantamweight – Merab Dvalishvili (-265) vs Cody Stamann (+210)
  • Women’s Flyweight – Poliana Botelho (-265) vs Luana Carolina (+210)
  • Prelims
  • Women’s Strawweight – Randa Markos (+140) vs Luana Pinheiro (-170)
  • Featherweight – Gabriel Benitez (-200) vs Jonathan Pearce (+160)
  • Featherweight – Kai Kamaka (-145) vs TJ Brown (+120)
  • Women’s Strawweight – Loma Lookboonme (-400) vs Sam Hughes (+300)
  • Middleweight – Andreas Michailidis (-240) vs KB Bhullar (+190)
  • Featherweight – Luke Sanders (-140) vs Felipe Colares (+115)

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UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka Broadcast Information
  • Date/Time: May 1, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+/ESPN2

Dominick Reyes vs Jiri Prochazka Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Dominick Reyes+110
Jiri Prochazka-130

Not only is Reyes (+110) coming off consecutive defeats but he is coming off his first stoppage loss as well, getting knocked out in the second round last September. Meanwhile, a knockout artist awaits on the other side as Prochazka (-130) has knocked out each of his last nine opponents.


Reyes: Need to Knows
  • You hear of letdown spots in sports frequently and that may have been what we saw with Reyes when he fought Jan Blachowicz. Reyes had many believing he beat Jones in February, losing by unanimous decision, but he was then knocked out by the current champ.
  • On the rise up the ranks, the Devastator has nine finishes with seven knockouts and two submissions. The southpaw averages 4.53 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.16. Although he has landed just one takedown in his UFC career, he has stuffed 82 percent of attempts against.
  • Reyes tends to fall into a habit in which he will back up, circle to his right and when his opponent moves toward him, he will explode forward with his powerful left straight. If his opponent doesn’t rush in on him, he chips away with kicks at long distance.
  • This sort of one-dimensional approach is effective if he lands, but he struggles to process when his counterparts throw combinations and many times when he throws punches, he lifts his chin, leaving him vulnerable to counters.
  • Reyes’ last three fights were Chris Weidman (win – knockout), Jon Jones (loss – unanimous decision) and Jan Blachowicz (loss – knockout).


Prochazka: Need to Knows
  • I mentioned off the top that Prochazka is relatively unknown with this being just his second UFC bout. However, he has three wins over former UFC fighters (all by knockout) and a knockout win over Bellator light heavyweight champion Vadim Nemkov as well.
  • Denisa’s UFC debut came against Volkan Oezdemir and he knocked the former title challenger out in the first minute of the second round. The orthodox fighter has a lengthy 80-inch reach, three inches more than Reyes.
  • He is an uptempo fighter and has a really good, long lead jab that he fires out the second his opponent moves forward. He has a bit of a cocky style as well, mocking his opponents’ power with his hands down before engaging with them. This approach is dangerous because he has been known to absorb a lot of damage, allowing his foes to hit him as he trusts his chin.
  • Prochazka is creative with his striking, always feinting and doing things with his arms before he actually throws a punch. Everything seems to come off of his jab, which he will follow with heavier knockout blows.
  • Prochazka’s last three fights were Fabio Maldonado (win – knockout), C.B. Dolloway (win – knockout) and Volkan Oezdemir (win – knockout).

Prediction: Jiri Prochazka (-130) via knockout

Cub Swanson vs Giga Chikadze Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Cub Swanson+140
Giga Chikadze-170

A winning streak will come to a close in the co-main event. Giga “Ninja” Chikadze (-170) lost his Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series in 2018 but has rattled off seven straight wins since, including five in the UFC. Meanwhile, Cub Swanson (+140) has emerged from a four-fight losing skid to win back-to-back fights.


Swanson: Need to Knows
  • This will be the 20th walk to the Octagon for Swanson and he holds a 12-7 record in the previous 19 bouts but only really loses to the top names in the division. Overall, Cub is 27-11 with 16 of his wins coming by stoppage (12 knockouts, four submissions).
  • Seven of Swanson’s 11 pro losses have been by submission, with only one by knockout. He does average 1.09 takedowns per 15 minutes but has only secured one takedown over his last six bouts. On the feet, he averages 4.64 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing 3.64.
  • He is known for getting in a good brawl, standing his ground when his opponent moves in on him and firing a 1-2 immediately. Swanson does struggle setting up his entries into the pocket, typically lunging in and throwing a combination that can be countered on the entry.
  • Swanson’s last three fights were Shane Burgos (loss – split decision), Kron Gracie (win – unanimous decision) and Daniel Pineda (win – knockout).


Chikadze: Need to Knows
  • Chikadze lost his pro debut in 2015 via decision and has won 12 of 13 fights since then, with only that DWTNCS defeat breaking up his streak. Eight of his 12 wins have been stoppages, with seven knockouts and one submission.
  • Like Swanson, Ninja won’t be looking for many takedowns, landing just one over his six UFC bouts, including that DWTNCS appearance. In striking, he averages 3.45 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 2.65.
  • He has outstanding kicks and he throws them often and in varying locations: legs, body and head. Chikadze will follow up with powerful straight punches when his foes engage with him after absorbing plenty of kicks. At times, he can be a little too patient in more of a point-style fight which, with these judges, can be a dangerous game to play.
  • Chikadze’s last three fights were Irwin Rivera (win – unanimous decision), Omar Morales (win – unanimous decision) and James Krause-Simmons (win – knockout).

Prediction: Giga Chikadze (-170) via decision

Ion Cutelaba vs Dustin Jacoby Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Ion Cutelaba-150
Dustin Jacoby+125

Ion “The Hulk” Cutelaba (-150) looks to return to the win column after back-to-back knockout losses to Magomed Ankalaev. Conversely, Dustin “The Hanyak” Jacoby (+125) looks to extend his four-fight winning streak.


Cutelaba: Need to Knows
  • Cutelaba is a bit of a wild man with only two of his 21 pro fights going the distance. He holds a 15-6 record with one no contest and 14 of his 15 wins have come by stoppage, with 12 knockouts and two submissions. Four of his five losses have been stoppages as well (two knockouts, two submissions).
  • With plenty of early stoppages, you would be right to assume his output is high. The Hulk averages 5.10 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing 3.37 and he also averages 2.41 takedowns per 15 minutes.
  • He is an aggressive fighter who is always inching forward, leading with a lot of head movement, but when he’s in range, he lets his heavy strikes fly looking for the knockout. He can be caught by a counter if he overextends, though he’s still dangerous even when he’s hurt.
  • Cutelaba’s last three fights were Khalil Rountree (win – knockout), Magomed Ankalaev (loss – knockout) and Magomed Ankalaev (loss – knockout).


Jacoby: Need to Knows
  • Following back-to-back losses in Bellator, Jacoby has won four straight fights, including a Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series bout and two in the Octagon. Overall, he is 14-5 with 10 of his wins coming by stoppage (nine knockouts, one submission). 
  • The Hanyak has good kicks and will often follow up with a straight punch in a combination. He mixes up the kicks well from the legs, body and head, though at times he relies too much on kicks and forgets to let his hands fly.
  • Jacoby is mostly a standup fighter, having secured no takedowns in the UFC. However, defensively he does a great job stuffing takedowns and scrambling back to the feet if the fight does hit the canvas.
  • Jacoby’s last three fights were Ty Flores (win – unanimous decision), Justin Ledet (win – knockout) and Maxim Grishin (win – unanimous decision)

Prediction: Ion Cutelaba (-150) via knockout

Sean Strickland vs Krzysztof Jotko Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Sean Strickland-265
Krzysztof Jotko+210

Two middleweights on three-fight winning streaks will collide with hopes of climbing the division rankings. Krzysztof Jotko (+210) has exploded out of a three-fight losing slide to hop onto a three-fight winning streak, all by decision. As for Sean “Tarzan” Strickland (-265), he looks to remain undefeated at middleweight and improve upon his No. 15 ranking.


Strickland: Need to Knows
  • The former KOTC middleweight champion won his first two fights in that division in the UFC before dropping to welterweight, where he went 5-3. One of those losses was to current champion Kamaru Usman. He returned to middleweight last year, when he went 2-0.
  • Overall, Strickland is 22-3 with 14 of his wins being stoppages (10 knockouts, four submissions). Only one of his losses was a finish, a knockout loss in 2018.
  • Tarzan is a really well-rounded fighter, notably using his crisp accurate jab to set up his more powerful straight right. He averages 1.26 takedowns per 15 minutes but he definitely prefers the fight to be standing. Strickland rarely winds up for a punch, just constantly going down the middle with straight, accurate punches that eventually wear his opponent out.
  • Strickland’s last three fights were Nordine Taleb (win – knockout), Jack Marshman (win – unanimous decision) and Brendan Allen (win – knockout).


Jotko: Need to Knows
  • Jotko had a nice start to his UFC career, going 6-1 with a five-fight winning streak before taking on some tougher competition and dropping three straight.
  • He is a decision machine with 15 of his 22 pro wins coming in that manner, while his seven finishes are six knockouts and one submission. Three of his four losses were finishes, with two knockouts and one submission.
  • Not surprisingly with a lot of decisions on his record, Jotko doesn’t have a ton of output with just 2.98 significant strikes landed while absorbing just 1.90. He is essentially a point fighter, lacking real power as he just maintains distance, lands a strike and retreats.
  • Jotko’s last three fights were Alen Amedovski (win – unanimous decision), Marc-Andre Barriault (win – split decision) and Eryk Anders (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Sean Strickland (-265) via knockout

Merab Dvalishvili vs Cody Stamann Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Merab Dvalishvili-265
Cody Stamann+210

Perhaps my favorite fight of the night is between two bantamweights on the rise in the division. Cody “The Spartan” Stamann (+210) had his three-fight unbeaten streak snapped in his last outing with a decision loss to Jimmie Rivera. On the other side, Merab “The Machine” Dvalishvili (-265) is on a five-fight winning streak since he dropped his first two fights in the Octagon.


Dvalishvili: Need to Knows
  • Dvalishvili had a controversial start to his UFC career, losing a bad split decision in his debut, followed by a submission loss at the five-minute mark of the third round against Ricky Simon. The fight had ended and it appeared as though Merab was unconscious for a second and the ref considered it a finish rather than a decision, which he would have won.
  • Since then, he has won five straight, all by unanimous decision. He is 12-4 with only three stoppage wins (two knockouts, one submission) while that controversial submission is the lone finish loss on his record.
  • You don’t get the nickname “The Machine” if you’re a lazy fighter. Dvalishvili averages 7.71 takedowns per 15 minutes. You didn’t read that incorrectly – he has landed at least five takedowns in six of his seven UFC bouts.
  • Merab had only two takedowns in his last fight, his fewest yet, but outstruck former flyweight title challenger John Dodson 50-27. His striking has progressively improved to go along with his elite grappling.
  • Dvalishvili’s last three fights were Casey Kenny (win – unanimous decision), Gustavo Lopez (win – unanimous decision) and John Dodson (win – unanimous decision).


Stamann: Need to Knows
  • Stamann has hit a bit of a wall recently after his 10-fight winning streak was snapped in 2018; he is 2-2-1 since then. That said, he still holds an impressive 19-3 record with 11 of those wins by decision, six by knockout and two by submission. He’s only been stopped once, a submission to current champ Aljamain Sterling.
  • Like Merab, Cody is first and foremost a grappler, averaging 3.03 takedowns per 15 minutes, and has landed at least one takedown in six of his eight UFC bouts. The Spartan is active on his feet but doesn’t have a crazy output, more so sticking to his jab and looking for an opportunity to either counter or go for a takedown.
  • Stamann’s last three fights were Yadong Song (majority draw), Brian Kelleher (win – unanimous decision) and Jimmie Rivera (loss – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Merab Dvalishvili (-265) via decision

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Poliana Botelho vs Luana Carolina Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Poliana Botelho-265
Luana Carolina+210

Two women looking to get back in the win column will open up our main card. Poliana Botelho (-265) has been on a win-one, lose-one streak over her last four fights, coming off a decision loss to Gillian Robertson last October. Meanwhile, Luana “Dread” Carolina (+210) had a submission loss in her last appearance, her first defeat since her pro debut in 2015.


Botelho: Need to Knows
  • Botelho holds an 8-3 record with six of her wins coming by knockout. Only one of her losses was a stoppage, a submission to Cynthia Calvillo in 2018.
  • She has a great jab and outstanding kicks, which is not surprising given her Muay Thai background. That said, that style of fighting also tends to lend itself to being flat-footed and is a reason she was taken down five times over her last three bouts.
  • Botelho’s last three fights were Cynthia Calvillo (loss – submission), Lauren Mueller (win – unanimous decision) and Gillian Robertson (loss – unanimous decision).


Carolina: Need to Knows
  • Carolina had been on a six-fight winning streak before her most recent loss via kneebar last July. She now holds a 6-2 record with half of her wins being stoppages (two knockouts and a submission) while her losses have been one submission and one decision.
  • Dread is primarily a striker in that she hasn’t secured a takedown in her three UFC bouts. She has a high output of 6.29 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.75. Carolina has a good Thai clinch and good kicks at range, but in striking range, she keeps her head on the centerline and can be a speedbag.
  • Carolina’s last three fights were Mabelly Lima (win – unanimous decision), Priscila Cachoeira (win – unanimous decision) and Ariane Lipski (loss – submission).

Prediction: Poliana Botelho (-265) via decision

UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs Prochazka Best Bets

FighterOdds
Light Heavyweight – Jiri Prochazka-130
Featherweight – Giga Chikadze-170
Light Heavyweight – Ion Cutelaba-150
Middleweight – Sean Strickland-265
Bantamweight – Merab Dvalishvili-265
Women’s Flyweight – Poliana Botelho-265