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Font vs Aldo Odds & Prediction: Aldo Continues Quest For A Title Shot

Rob Font (left) is favored in the Font vs Aldo (right) odds.

The stretch of former champions in a UFC Fight Night main event continues for the third straight card. This time it is former featherweight king Jose Aldo continuing his quest for another bantamweight title shot as he takes on Rob Font.

UFC Fight Night: Font vs Aldo takes place on December 4 at the UFC Apex Center in Las Vegas, Nevada, with the prelims beginning at 7 p.m. ET. In the main event Font vs Aldo odds, the former champion, Aldo, is the betting underdog.

Aldo is finally finding his groove in his new weight. After dropping his first two bouts at bantamweight, including a championship fight with Petr Yan, he’s won his last two outings.

Meanwhile, Font appears to be peaking having come off a few injuries. He’s been more active over the past 12 months with this being his third fight, and a win here may land him in a title fight.

Font vs Aldo Odds

Online sportsbook Bovada has released the Font vs Aldo betting odds with Rob listed as the -150 favorite and Jose the +120 underdog. This means that if you lay $150 on Font, you could profit $100, while a $100 winning bet on Aldo would net you $120.

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Furthermore, we can translate the Font vs Aldo odds into an implied win probability with our sports betting calculator. There we can see Font’s -150 betting line represents an implied win probability of 60.00 percent and Aldo’s odds translate to an implied win probability of 45.45 percent.

If you want to roll the dice on the biggest underdog in the UFC Fight Night: Font vs Aldo odds, you will be placing a bet on Chris Curtis, who is a +270 underdog to Brendan Allen (-360). Conversely, the fight with the closest odds sees Claudio Puelles as the -115 chalk vs Chris Gruetzemacher (-105).

Font vs Aldo Betting Odds & Fight Card


Font vs Aldo Betting Lines And Fight Card
  • Main Card
  • Bantamweight – Rob Font (-150) vs Jose Aldo (+120)
  • Lightweight – Brad Riddell (+105) vs Rafael Fiziev (-125)
  • Lightweight – Clay Guida (+160) vs Leonardo Santos (-200)
  • Light Heavyweight – Jimmy Crute (-170) vs Jamahal Hill (+140)
  • Middleweight – Brendan Allen (-360) vs Chris Curtis (+270)
  • Prelims
  • Middleweight – Maki Pitolo (+130) vs Dusko Todorovic (-155)
  • Flyweight – Manel Kape (-275) vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov (+220)
  • Welterweight – Jake Matthews (-185) vs Jeremiah Wells (+150)
  • Women’s Strawweight – Cheyanne Buys (-190) vs Mallory Martin (+155)
  • Light Heavyweight – Alonzo Menifield (-155) vs William Knight (+130)
  • Lightweight – Claudio Puelles (-115) vs Chris Gruetzemacher (-105)
  • Welterweight – Bryan Barberena (-135) vs Darian Weeks (+110)
  • Welterweight – Alex Morono (-230) vs Mickey Gall (+185)
  • Bantamweight – Louis Smolka (-145) vs Vince Morales (+120)

What a great card, and as you can see, the UFC odds are very close and hopefully the fights are tightly contested as well. See our How to Bet UFC guide if you’re looking to bet on UFC Fight Night: Font vs Aldo. You can also head over to our sportsbook review page to see where to bet on the UFC. Overall, all your UFC fight news can be found here at Odds Shark.


UFC Fight Night: Font vs Aldo Broadcast Information
  • Date/Time: December 4, 7 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex
  • Where to Watch: ESPN

Rob Font vs Jose Aldo Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Rob Font-150
Jose Aldo+120

This main event features two men within the top five in the bantamweight rankings. Former featherweight champion Jose Aldo (+120) has won his last two fights and has his eyes set on another bantamweight title fight after losing in July 2020 to Petr Yan. Meanwhile, Rob Font (-150) is on his longest winning streak in the UFC and is coming off a statement win over former champion Cody Garbrandt.


Font: Need to Knows
  • Prior to his four-fight winning streak, Font had gone 3-3 over six bouts so he’s certainly hitting his stride. His record stands at 19-4 with 12 stoppages, including eight knockouts, and he’s only been finished once, via submission.
  • He is a well-rounded fighter with a high output, averaging 5.58 significant strikes per minute and absorbing just 3.57, but also mixes in 1.20 takedowns per 15 minutes.
  • Font showed off his conditioning and output in his most recent win, landing a career-high 176 significant strikes over five rounds – 65 more strikes than his previous high. He has tempered aggression in that he backs his opponents up with his great footwork but chooses his shots well for when he throws strikes.
  • At times, Rob will get excited and overextend on his punches, but if you look to counter, he has good power to follow up his jab.
  • Font’s last three fights were Ricky Simon (win – unanimous decision), Marlon Moraes (win – knockout) and Cody Garbrandt (win – unanimous decision).


Aldo: Need to Knows
  • The start of Aldo’s bantamweight career didn’t go well with back-to-back losses but he appears to be finding his groove of late in his new weight class. His record stands at 30-7 with 18 finishes, including 17 knockouts. Five of his losses have been stoppages, including four knockouts.
  • The former featherweight king is first and foremost a striker, averaging 0.55 takedowns per 15 minutes and not securing a takedown since 2014. He also stuffs 91 percent of takedown attempts, forcing the fight to remain standing where he can work his terrific striking skills.
  • Aldo’s output stood out to me in his last fight vs Pedro Munhoz. He landed 114 significant strikes in the three-round bout, which was a career high. His previous best was 102 significant strikes over five rounds.
  • That last point is important for two reasons. His output and conditioning have been questioned, with him seemingly throwing rounds away and only throwing with ferocious power. Perhaps he’s taking something off to land more frequently and conserve energy.
  • That said, Jose still carries a ton of power, notably his leg kicks that are devastating in nature, limiting his opponents’ movements so he can start using his boxing.
  • Aldo’s last three fights were Petr Yan (loss – knockout), Marlon Vera (win – unanimous decision) and Pedro Munhoz (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Jose Aldo (+120) via decision

Brad Riddell vs Rafael Fiziev Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Brad Riddell+105
Rafael Fiziev-125

A lengthy winning streak will come to an end when these two ranked lightweights collide. Brad “Quake” Riddell (+105) has won his last seven bouts, including his first four appearances in the UFC. Rafael “Ataman” Fiziev (-125) lost his UFC debut in 2019 but has won four in a row since.


Riddell: Need to Knows
  • Not only has Riddell won all four of his UFC fights but he picked up Fight of the Night bonuses in two of them. He carries a 10-1 record with five knockout wins and his lone defeat coming by submission.
  • Coming from the famed City Kickboxing gym in New Zealand, the home of champions Israel Adesanya and Alexander Volkanovski, you would think Quake is a striker. But it is his wrestling you must watch out for as he averages 2.00 takedowns per 15 minutes.
  • That isn’t to say Riddell isn’t a good striker. He’s powerful and when his foes engage with him, he counters with a combination of strikes. His takedowns are powerful and when on top, he is active with heavy punches and elbows.
  • Riddell’s last three fights were Magomed Mustafaev (win – split decision), Alex da Silva Coelho (win – unanimous decision) and Drew Dober (win – unanimous decision).


Fiziev: Need to Knows
  • Fiziev’s loss in his UFC debut is the only blemish on his record. He is now 10-1 with seven stoppages, including six knockouts, while the one loss came by knockout.
  • I wouldn’t be expecting Ataman to be searching for too many takedowns. He has secured just two over his five UFC bouts for an average of 0.59 per 15 minutes. He has also stuffed 100 percent of takedown attempts against.
  • He is extremely light on his feet, constantly bouncing around and switching stances before exploding with powerful strikes. Fiziev uses his kicks to gauge distance and make his reads, while his hands are usually left for counters to end the show.
  • Fiziev’s last three fights were Marc Diakiese (win – unanimous decision), Renato Moicano (win – knockout) and Bobby Green (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Rafael Fiziev (-125) via decision

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Clay Guida vs Leonardo Santos Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Clay Guida+160
Leonardo Santos-200

Leonardo Santos (-200) had his 13-fight winning streak snapped by a last-second knockout in March. Looking to slap another loss on Santos’ record is veteran Clay “The Carpenter” Guida (+160), who is looking to finish 2021 with a 2-1 record.


Guida: Need to Knows
  • Guida made his pro debut in 2003 and his UFC debut at UFC 64 in 2006 – no doubt he is a legend of the sport. His expansive record stands at 36-21 with 20 stoppage wins, 13 by submission, and 12 losses by finish, 10 by submission.
  • The Carpenter is a cardio king. He’s willing to stand in the pocket and trade hands but his bread and butter is in the grappling department where he averages 3.24 takedowns per 15 minutes.
  • On the feet, he is constantly in motion with his long hair bouncing around. He tends to throw big hooks from long range, as well as decent kicks, but ultimately he’s looking to close distance and bring the fight to the floor.
  • Guida’s last three fights were Bobby Green (loss – unanimous decision), Michael Johnson (win – unanimous decision) and Mark O. Madsen (loss – split decision).


Santos: Need to Knows
  • This marks the first time since 2015 that Santos is competing twice in a calendar year and he is coming off a loss for the first time since 2009. Overall, he’s 18-4-1 with 12 stoppages, including nine submissions, and has been stopped twice by knockout.
  • Two years older than Guida, the 41-year-old made his pro debut in 2002 but didn’t fight in the UFC until 2013. He is a long lightweight with a 75-inch reach and he fights at range with straight punches and kicks.
  • While he’s no joke on the feet, his submission skills are especially dangerous. But he only goes to the mat on his own terms, stuffing 89 percent of takedown attempts against and averaging 1.07 takedowns of his own per 15 minutes.
  • Santos’s last three fights were Steven Ray (win – knockout), Roman Bogatov (win – unanimous decision) and Grant Dawson (loss – knockout).

Prediction: Clay Guida (+160) via decision

Jimmy Crute vs Jamahal Hill Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Jimmy Crute-170
Jamahal Hill+140

Two top light heavyweight prospects coming off losses will collide with aspirations of climbing the rankings. Jimmy “The Brute” Crute (-170) suffered a leg injury resulting in his loss to Anthony Smith in April, while Jamahal “Sweet Dreams” Hill (+140) had an arm injury from an armbar leading to a TKO in June.


Crute: Need to Knows
  • The loss in April snapped a two-fight winning streak and was just the second of his career. He is now 12-2 with nine finish victories (five knockouts, four submissions). His losses have come via a knockout and a submission.
  • Evident in his record, The Brute is a well-rounded fighter with power in his hands and a very strong grip when it comes to submissions. He is a high-level submission artist, which was apparent when he submitted the dangerous Paul Craig in his UFC debut.
  • When it comes to striking, Crute stands his ground when his foes engage with him, firing back with big punches and kicks. However, if he gets inside, he will take the fight to the floor with authority, averaging 4.97 takedowns per 15 minutes, and is a menace on top.
  • Crute’s last three fights were Michal Oleksiejczuk (win – submission), Modestas Bukauskas (win – knockout) and Anthony Smith (loss – knockout).


Hill: Need to Knows
  • Hill was being talked about as a potential champion heading into his last bout before he got stopped in the first round. That loss was the first of his pro career and he’s now 8-1 with one no contest and four wins by knockout.
  • While Crute averages nearly five takedowns per 15 minutes, Sweet Dreams doesn’t have a single takedown in the UFC and stuffs only 57 percent of attempts against. However, he’s a big long light heavyweight with a 79-inch reach.
  • The southpaw also has a high output of 7.50 significant strikes per minute and has good conditioning to carry that pace through the full fight. Typically he chips away with kicks hoping for his foe to rush in on him, when he will counter with his crisp accurate left hand.
  • Hill’s last three fights were Klidson Abreu (no contest), Ovince St. Preux (win – knockout) and Paul Craig (loss – knockout).

Prediction: Jimmy Crute (-170) via submission

Brendan Allen vs Chris Curtis Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Brendan Allen-360
Chris Curtis+270

Chris “The Action Man” Curtis (+270) made good in his UFC debut in November, cashing as a +250 underdog, and once again faces plus-money odds in the opening fight of the main card. Looking to avoid the underdog win is Brendan “All In” Allen (-360), who looks to pick up his third win of 2021.


Allen: Need to Knows
  • Allen has had good success since making his UFC debut in 2019, winning five of his six trips to the Octagon. His record is 17-4 with 14 finishes, nine by submission. Two of his losses have been stoppages (one knockout, one submission).
  • The 25-year-old is well-rounded for his age, having outstruck four of his six UFC opponents and also chipping in 1.29 takedowns per 15 minutes. He has solid kicks and he fights long but is a little vulnerable in the pocket.
  • At times, he enters the pocket but doesn’t throw or he lands and doesn’t get out, which leaves him open to counters. His lack of head movement puts him in a dangerous spot against heavy hitters.
  • Allen’s last three fights were Sean Strickland (loss – knockout), Karl Roberson (win – submission) and Punahele Soriano (win – unanimous decision).


Curtis: Need to Knows
  • Not only did Curtis beat the bookmakers in November, he also brought his winning streak to six. Overall, he’s 27-8 with 16 finishes, including 15 knockouts. He’s been stopped just twice, once by knockout and once by submission.
  • The Action Man is a good boxer and he counters well, which may lead to some success in this fight. That said, at times when he’s under pressure, he simply covers up and hopes his opponent punches himself out.
  • He does his best work when he’s throwing his jab and setting up his bigger, more powerful shots. If he lands one of those power shots, it’s usually lights-out for his opponents.
  • Curtis’s last three fights were Jarome Hatch (win – knockout), Kenny Robertson (win – unanimous decision) and Phil Hawes (win – knockout).

Prediction: Brendan Allen (-360) via knockout

UFC Fight Night: Font vs Aldo Best Bets

FighterOdds
Bantamweight – Jose Aldo+120
Lightweight – Rafael Fiziev-125
Lightweight – Clay Guida+160
Light Heavyweight – Jimmy Crute-170
Middleweight – Brendan Allen-360