UFC 250 Odds: Expert Picks

While other sports are figuring out how and when they will return to action amid the COVID-19 pandemic, the UFC is preparing for its fifth event since the middle of May.

UFC 250, taking place on June 6 at the UFC Apex Center in Las Vegas, will be the second pay-per-view since the fight promotion’s return. Headlining the card is arguably the greatest female MMA fighter of all time, Amanda “Lioness” Nunes, as she makes her first featherweight title defense against Felicia “FeeNom” Spencer.

New to betting on the UFC? Don’t worry, we have a fantastic betting tutorial and all the MMA Fight Analysis to assist you in getting in on the action and up to speed for the main card and the prelims. It’s also worth your time to read up on how to bet on the UFC with no fans in attendance.

Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released odds for this UFC card with the reigning champion, Amanda Nunes, a sizable -600 favorite in the main event and the challenger, Felicia Spencer, coming back as a +400 underdog.

Nunes vs Spencer | Garbrandt vs Assuncao | Sterling vs Sandhagen | Magny vs Martin | O’Malley vs Wineland | Prelims

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Be sure to check out our UFC odds page for the latest up-to-date betting lines.

Amanda Nunes vs Felicia Spencer

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

After pulling off the upset by knocking out Cris Cyborg in just 51 seconds to win the featherweight title in December 2018, Amanda “Lioness” Nunes (-600) is set to make her first defense. Meanwhile, former Invicta FC featherweight champion Felicia “FeeNom” Spencer (+400) looks to spoil that defense as she’s coming off a first-round knockout win over Zarah Fairn Dos Santos in February.

The Canadian, Spencer, has fantastic grappling and submission skills with half of her eight pro victories coming by submission. On the floor, she weighs heavy on her opponents, not giving them any space to breathe, and she’s very aggressive with ground and pound that eventually opens up a choke as her foes try to protect themselves from the punches. FeeNom, though, has issues on the feet, which was evident when she was outstruck 122-38 in her decision loss to Cyborg.

You have to go all the way back to September 2014 to find the last time that Nunes lost. The Brazilian has won 10 straight fights, seven of which were finishes – five by knockout and two by submission. That speaks to how well-rounded the champion is, having the ability to punish her counterparts with strikes or wrestle them for the duration of the bout. In her last bantamweight defense vs Germaine de Randamie, she landed eight takedowns.

For more on this fight, check out my odds analysis article.

Prediction: Amanda Nunes (-600) via knockout

Cody Garbrandt vs Raphael Assuncao

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

It was just under four years ago that Cody “No Love” Garbrandt (-145) put on a terrific performance to win the bantamweight title vs Dominick Cruz. Since then, he has lost three straight fights, all by knockout. Facing a losing streak of his own is Raphael Assuncao (+115), who had his four-fight winning streak snapped with back-to-back losses in 2019.

Garbrandt has great striking when he’s on his game. The former champion is very elusive with his footwork and when his opponents try to engage with him, he stops them in their tracks with a stiff jab. Good luck dragging him to the floor as he has never been taken down through nine UFC bouts. The big issue for No Love is he can be baited into a punch-for-punch brawl, which led him to his three knockout losses in a row.

Prior to his two-fight skid, Assuncao was very close to a title fight, winning 11 of 12 fights with his only loss coming to future champion T.J. Dillashaw. Assuncao has outstanding reflexes and knowledge of distance, which allows him to stand right in front of his opponents and make them barely miss before he fires back with crisp accurate counter-strikes. Despite his great striking, he has just four knockout wins in his 34-fight pro career.

Prediction: Cody Garbrandt (-145) via decision

Aljamain Sterling vs Cory Sandhagen

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

A winning streak will come to a close in this potential No. 1 contender fight for the bantamweight division. Cory Sandhagen (-115) made his debut in January 2018 and has rattled off five straight wins in the Octagon and seven straight overall. Meanwhile, Aljamain “Funk Master” Sterling (-115) has won four consecutive bouts and six of his last seven, with his only defeat coming against future champion Marlon Moraes.

Sandhagen is very long for the bantamweight division with a 70-inch reach and he is extremely aggressive. The 27-year-old backs his opponents up for the duration of the fight and then pieces them up when they are against the cage, varying up his attack from head to body and even low with leg kicks. An area of concern for Sandhagen is his wrestling defense. He has been taken down in every UFC fight, including four times in his win over Assuncao last August.

I mentioned Sandhagen’s reach but it is outdone by Sterling’s 71 inches. Due to his length, he can keep his opponents at bay as he typically chips away at them with kicks while mixing in takedown attempts. He averages 1.91 takedowns per 15 minutes. Like Sandhagen, Funk Master likes to be the one leading the dance, but he will fight off the back foot against an aggressive fighter as his head movement is fantastic and he only absorbs 1.95 significant strikes per minute.

Prediction: Aljamain Sterling (-115) via decision

Neil Magny vs Rocco Martin

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

Following a 16-month layoff, Neil Magny (-140) returned to the Octagon in March, scoring a unanimous-decision victory over Li Jingliang for his first win in nearly two years. His opponent, Rocco Martin (+110), has been much more active, competing four times while Magny was on the sideline. He went 3-1 over that span with his only defeat being a majority-decision loss to Demian Maia.

Magny looked like he didn’t miss a beat when he returned earlier this year, outstriking Jingliang 74-16 while also landing four takedowns. That demonstrated how well-rounded the 32-year-old is. He averages 3.93 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing 2.15 and he lands 2.70 takedowns per 15 minutes. Additionally, Magny is very aggressive and long with an 80-inch reach, which is crazy for the welterweight division.

Martin is a tough, game opponent who will bring the fight for its duration. The 30-year-old is best known for his great grappling and submission skills, with nine of his 17 pro wins coming via submission, though he has scored just one knockout triumph. That said, he has never been knocked out and he doesn’t mind staying in the pocket, willing to take a shot to land a heavy right of his own.

Prediction: Neil Magny (-140) via decision

Sean O’Malley vs Eddie Wineland

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

A staple in the UFC bantamweight division since its inception 10 years ago, Eddie Wineland (+375) is now welcoming the next wave of talent with a closed fist. Speaking of talent, the undefeated “Sugar” Sean O’Malley (-550) is one of the UFC’s top prospects after earning a contract with his first-round knockout win in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series in 2017.

Violence personified is what you get in Eddie Wineland. From the outset of the bout, the 35-year-old is going to get in the face of his opponent looking to get into a phone booth-style fight. This approach has led to 15 of his 24 pro wins ending via knockout, though he absorbs more significant strikes per minute than he lands (3.51 to 3.41) and he only lands 29 percent of his strike attempts. Don’t expect Wineland to grapple as he has not landed a takedown since June 2012.

While Wineland is a forward-marching fighter, O’Malley is an extremely creative and diverse striker. The 25-year-old has one of the longest reaches in the bantamweight division at 72 inches. To put that in perspective, Daniel Cormier, the former light heavyweight and heavyweight champion, has a 72-inch reach. O’Malley uses this length extremely well as he kicks and jabs his opponents from long range and he’s extremely fast, which allows him to hit his foes hard without absorbing any damage himself.

Prediction: Sean O’Malley (-550) via knockout

Here’s a look at the rest of the odds for UFC 250: Nunes vs Spencer:

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

Odds as of June 6 at [Sportsbook not available for your region]

How To Read UFC Odds

When you check out any Sportsbook, you’ll see matchup odds laid out like this:

In this case, this is very similar to a moneyline bet (more on that below) and you’re essentially picking the Sportsbook of a fight. The “favorite” is the fighter with the lowest odds and the opposing fighter is the “underdog.” Nunes would be the fave here at -650.

Let’s say you think Nunes will win this fight easily and if you bet $100, you’d only get a payout of $115.38 – your $100 wager and $15.38 in profit. This is why bettors typically wager larger stakes on big favorites. 

Conversely, if you think Spencer at +425 can pull off the upset and you bet $100 on her and she wins the fight, you’d win $525 – your original wager of $100 is returned along with a profit of $425. 

Our Odds Calculator will show you how much you’d win based on the offered odds and amount wagered.

What is a moneyline bet?

A moneyline bet is a straightforward wager where you’re picking a Sportsbook between two people or teams. The odds are listed so the person or team that is the favorite is typically listed with a minus sign (-) while the underdog has a plus sign (+). 

Betting on the underdog is considered a bigger risk, which is why the payout will be higher. The favorite is considered a lock (even though they don’t always win), which is why there’s less risk with a smaller payment.

When oddsmakers create the lines, they are not permanent and will shift as more information comes out and bets are received. If you see odds you like, it’s best to take them as soon as you can before the odds move so much they lose all value.