Francis Ngannou (right) is the favorite in the UFC 260 odds for Miocic vs Ngannou

UFC 260 Odds & Predictions: Miocic vs Ngannou for the heavyweight belt

The UFC continues to put on big shows in the early stages of 2021 and the fourth pay-per-view of the year has the heavyweight championship on the line. Francis Ngannou gets his second chance at heavyweight gold as he takes on Stipe Miocic in a rematch from 2018.

Looking at UFC 260 odds, challenger Ngannou is the slight favorite over Miocic. We have the full UFC 260 odds and predictions as well as a preview for each fight on the main card below.

Since the start of 2015, Miocic holds an 8-1 record with his only defeat coming to Daniel Cormier, a loss he avenged twice. Among those eight victories is a unanimous-decision triumph over Ngannou at UFC 220 in January 2018.

Since losing that decision to Miocic and a subsequent bout to Derrick Lewis, Ngannou has rattled off four straight first-round knockouts totaling just over 2.5 minutes combined.

UFC 260 Odds: Miocic vs Ngannou

Online sportsbook [Sportsbook not available for your region] has released UFC 260 odds with Francis Ngannou listed as the -140 favorite and the champion Miocic coming back as a +115 underdog. This means you would have to wager $140 to profit $100 on a Ngannou victory while a $100 bet on a Miocic win would profit you $115.

Looking at the UFC 260 odds for Miocic vs Ngannou, our sports betting calculator tells us that Ngannou’s odds of -140 represent an implied win probability of 58.33 percent while Miocic’s odds of +115 have an implied win probability of 46.51 percent.

The largest favorite in UFC 260 odds is in the bantamweight main card fight with Sean O’Malley listed as a heavy -325 favorite and Thomas Almeida set at +250. The tightest line comes is seen in two fights first in the middleweight division between Marc-Andre Barriault (-125) and Abu Azaitar (+105) and on the main card Khama Worthy is the -125 over Jamie Mullarkey (+105).

UFC 260 Betting Odds & Fight Card

UFC 260 Betting Odds & Fight Card
  • Main Card
  • Heavyweight Championship – Stipe Miocic (+115) vs Francis Ngannou (-140)
  • Welterweight – Tyron Woodley (+190) vs Vicente Luque (-240)
  • Bantamweight – Sean O’Malley (-325) vs Thomas Almeida (+250)
  • Women’s Flyweight – Gillian Robertson (+135) vs Miranda Maverick (-165)
  • Lightweight – Jamie Mullarkey (+105) vs Khama Worthy (-125)
  • Prelims
  • Light Heavyweight – Fabio Cherant (+240) vs Alonzo Menifield (-310)
  • Welterweight – Jared Gooden (+190) vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov (-240)
  • Light Heavyweight – Modestas Bukauskas (+140) vs Michal Oleksiejczuk (-170)
  • Featherweight – Shane Young (+155) vs Omar Morales (-190)
  • Middleweight – Marc-Andre Barriault (-125) vs Abu Azaitar (+105)

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UFC 260: Miocic vs Ngannou Broadcast Information
  • Date/Time: March 27, 6:15 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex Center
  • Where to Watch: ESPN, ESPN+, PPV

Stipe Miocic vs Francis Ngannou Odds & Prediction

Stipe Miocic+115
Francis Ngannou-140

For whatever reason, champion Stipe Miocic (+115) doesn’t get the love he probably deserves. As mentioned off the top, he’s won eight of his last nine, six of them by knockout. But if you want to talk about putting people to sleep, look no further than Francis “The Predator” Ngannou (-140) and his four-fight winning streak, all by first-round knockout with the longest bout lasting 1:11.

Miocic: Need to Knows
  • Miocic hasn’t just been winning at a high pace recently. Through his entire career, he’s 20-3 with 15 of those wins coming by knockout, while two of his three losses came in the same manner.
  • The champ has fantastic boxing skills, averaging 4.90 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.75. His conditioning is a difference-maker in the heavyweight division as well, and he has landed over 100 significant strikes four times in his UFC career.
  • He’s not solely a boxer, though. He averages 1.92 takedowns per 15 minutes and used that method to beat Ngannou in their first encounter. Miocic secured six takedowns and completely exhausted the Predator en route to the decision victory.
  • In another nod to Miocic’s striking abilities, only five of his 17 UFC opponents have landed more significant strikes than he has. Cormier did have success with his jab and dirty boxing in the clinch, throwing punches over Miocic’s outstretched arms.
  • Miocic’s last three fights were Daniel Cormier (loss – knockout), Daniel Cormier (win – knockout) and Daniel Cormier (win – unanimous decision).
Ngannou: Need to Knows
  • The biggest puncher in the UFC, all 15 of Francis Ngannou’s pro victories have been stoppages, with 11 knockouts and four submissions. All three of his losses have come by decision.
  • The Predator has been in the UFC since 2015 and nine of his 10 wins inside the Octagon have been knockouts, many of them highlight-reel finishes. With such power, he doesn’t need to land many strikes, averaging 2.23 significant strikes per minute and landing only 37 percent of his attempts.
  • That last line, the poor striking percentage, is the biggest issue for Ngannou. Of course, he’s a very scary man when he storms forward throwing massive hooks. However, he can be beaten to the punch with stiff jabs and he does nothing but head-hunt, so if you use head movement, keep a high guard and don’t try to match him punch for punch, he’s very beatable.
  • In the first meeting, we saw the Predator’s cardio absolutely exposed as he was exhausted late in the first round and had nothing for the rest of the fight. He needs to be more patient this time around but in doing so, does that take away from his knockout threat?
  • Ngannou’s last three fights were Cain Velasquez (win – knockout), Junior dos Santos (win – knockout) and Jairzinho Rozenstruik (win – knockout).

For more on this fight, check out my Miocic vs Ngannou odds analysis article.

Prediction: Stipe Miocic (+115) via decision

Tyron Woodley vs Vicente Luque Odds & Prediction

Tyron Woodley+190
Vicente Luque-240

The former welterweight champion, Tyron “The Chosen One” Woodley (+190), enters this fight searching for his first win since 2018 and an end to his three-fight losing slide. Looking to slap another loss on Woodley’s record is Vicente “The Silent Assassin” Luque (-240), who is coming off back-to-back knockout victories.

Woodley: Need to Knows
  • Woodley won the title in 2016 and had four successful defenses before his recent losing stretch. Of his 19 pro wins, 12 were stoppages with seven knockouts and five submissions. Just two of his losses have been stoppages, both knockouts.
  • At one time, The Chosen One was an extremely dangerous counter-striker when he would unload his right hand and put people to sleep or follow up with a crisp left hand that would do the job. He suffered an injury to his shoulder in 2017 and really hasn’t looked the same recently, appearing hesitant to throw that right hand.
  • In Woodley’s last three fights, he’s been outstruck by a combined 302-96. Additionally, he was brought to the floor seven times in those three bouts after being taken down just once in his first 12 UFC fights.
  • Woodley’s last three fights were Kamaru Usman (loss – unanimous decision), Gilbert Burns (loss – unanimous decision) and Colby Covington (loss – knockout).
Luque: Need to Knows
  • After losing his UFC debut in 2015, Luque has been on a terrific roll, winning 12 of 14 fights, 11 of which were stoppages. His two losses came to Leon Edwards and Stephen Thompson.
  • Of The Silent Assassin’s 19 pro wins, 17 have been stoppages with 11 knockouts and six submissions, while just two of his defeats have been finishes, both submissions.
  • Luque has very good kicks and when his opponent enters the pocket to throw, he rarely backs away, rather holding his ground and firing a heavy shot in response. He uses his kicks to set up his hands, which have big power behind them and are accurate.
  • Luque’s last three fights were Stephen Thompson (loss – unanimous decision), Niko Price (win – knockout) and Randy Brown (win – knockout).

Prediction: Vicente Luque (-240) via knockout

Sean O’Malley vs Thomas Almeida Odds & Prediction

Sean O’Malley-325
Thomas Almeida+250

We are seeing “Sugar” Sean O’Malley (-325) for the first time since his first pro loss last August that ended his perfect 12-0 record. Also looking to rebound is Thomas “Thominhas” Almeida (+250), who has dropped three in a row heading into this bout.

O’Malley: Need to Knows
  • His official record reads 12-1 but O’Malley stills claims to be undefeated even though that one loss came after he took a leg kick that deadened his foot, leaving him up the creek with no paddle and allowing Marlon Vera to pounce on him and earn the first-round finish.
  • Sugar is a long bantamweight with a 72-inch reach and big power to go with it. Nine of his 12 pro wins have been stoppages, eight of them knockouts. He averages 6.35 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing 3.76 and he makes his opponents miss 64 percent of their strikes.
  • O’Malley switches stances frequently and mixes up his attacks effectively. He has great kicks and reads his opponents extremely well before going on the attack. Pretty much the only negative thing we’ve seen with him thus far has been his ankle giving out twice, once against Andre Soukhamthath and the other in the Vera loss.
  • O’Malley’s last three fights were Jose Alberto Quinonez (win – knockout), Eddie Wineland (win – knockout) and Marlon Vera (loss – knockout).
Almeida: Need to Knows
  • At one point about six years ago, Thomas Almeida was looked at as a potential future bantamweight champion with a record of 21-0 and 20 stoppages. However, he took his first pro loss to Cody Garbrandt in 2016 and has now lost four of his last five.
  • Of Almeida’s 21 stoppages, 17 were knockouts and four were submissions, while half of his four pro losses have been knockouts. He averages 5.39 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.69 and he has landed a total of zero takedowns in his UFC career.
  • Thominhas has great lateral movement and kicks but when throwing punches, he really closes the distance before letting them fly. At times, he will enter the pocket by rushing in and then not throwing a punch, or only throwing one, leaving him open to a counter.
  • Almeida’s last three fights were Jimmie Rivera (loss – unanimous decision), Rob Font (loss – knockout) and Jonathan Martinez (loss – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Sean O’Malley (-325) via knockout

Gillian Robertson vs Miranda Maverick Odds & Prediction

Gillian Robertson+135
Miranda Maverick-165

Gillian “The Savage” Robertson (+135) looks to get back in the win column after her two-fight winning streak was snapped in her last appearance by Taila Santos in December. Meanwhile, Miranda “Fear The” Maverick (-165) hopes to extend her four-fight winning streak and build off her first UFC victory last October.

Robertson: Need to Knows
  • Robertson’s UFC career has followed a pattern of win two, lose one, leading to a 6-3 record inside the Octagon. Overall, The Savage is 9-5 with seven of her wins coming by stoppage (one knockout, six submissions).
  • The Canadian is aggressive in searching for the takedown, averaging 2.64 per 15 minutes. If she gets the fight to the floor, she constantly searches for a submission. At times, she can get overzealous on the floor and ends up losing position.
  • On the feet, she uses a lot of feints on the outside, baiting her opponents to rush in, when she will either go for a body lock or change levels for a takedown attempt. Robertson will also throw plenty of kicks because she doesn’t mind getting taken down herself.
  • Robertson’s last three fights were Cortney Casey (win – submission), Poliana Botelho (win – unanimous decision) and Taila Santos (loss – unanimous decision).
Maverick: Need to Knows
  • Maverick dropped two of three fights from mid-2018 to early 2019 but has been winning ever since, stopping three of her last four opponents. Six of her eight pro wins have been finishes with one knockout and five submissions, while both of her defeats were decisions.
  • Fear The has good kicks and strong Muay Thai skills. However, at times, she will enter the pocket without throwing a strike or will admire her work after landing. That said, she has diverse strikes and good power on those shots. 
  • Though her striking skills were on display in her debut, she has strong grappling skills as well. She does a good job attacking off her back and if she’s the one initiating the grappling, her strength is a difference-maker.
  • Maverick’s last three fights were DeAnna Bennett (win – submission), Pearl Gonzalez (win – unanimous decision) and Liana Jojua (win – knockout).

Prediction: Miranda Maverick (-165) via decision

Jamie Mullarkey vs Khama Worthy Odds & Prediction

Jamie Mullarkey+105
Khama Worthy-125

Two men looking to get back in the win column will kick off the UFC 260 main card. Khama “The Deathstar” Worthy (-125) saw his seven-fight winning streak snapped in September when he suffered a first-round knockout loss. Meanwhile, Jamie Mullarkey (+105) has dropped his first two UFC bouts after a four-fight winning streak earned him a contract.

Mullarkey: Need to Knows
  • Prior to joining the UFC, Mullarkey had been on a four-fight winning streak, all of them knockouts. Of his 12 pro wins, 11 have been stoppages with eight knockouts and three submissions, while two of his four pro losses have been knockouts.
  • The Australian has shown off his grappling skills in his two UFC bouts, scoring a combined eight takedowns. He has a good jab when striking and typically follows it up with a big overhand right.
  • I’d like to see more feints on the feet from Mullarkey to open up more of a variety of strikes. Despite getting outstruck severely in his two UFC fights, he’s got a good chin and he rarely takes a step backward.
  • Mullarkey’s last three fights were Edimar Teixeira (win – knockout), Brad Riddell (loss – unanimous decision) and Fares Ziam (loss – unanimous decision).
Worthy: Need to Knows
  • Following back-to-back knockout losses in 2016 and 2017, Worthy went on a seven-fight winning streak that came to an end in his last appearance. Of his 16 pro wins, 12 have been finishes with nine knockouts and three submissions. All seven of his losses have been stoppages with six knockouts and one submission.
  • The Deathstar always seems to be a little tense, in my opinion, biting on lots of feints and at times pulling up short on his strikes, almost as though he’s in fear of being countered and knocked out. But he has big counters and if you make a mistake in the pocket, he can shut your lights out.
  • If he’s under pressure on the feet in tight boxing range, he uses little to no foot movement, which leaves him vulnerable to getting taken down or blitzed with a flurry of strikes. He was taken down three times by Luis Pena but won the fight with his dangerous guillotine choke on a shot.
  • Worthy’s last three fights were Devonte Smith (win – knockout), Luis Pena (win – submission) and Ottman Azaitar (loss – knockout).

Prediction: Jamie Mullarkey (+105) via decision

UFC 260: Miocic vs Ngannou Best Bets

Heavyweight championship – Stipe Miocic+115
Welterweight – Vicente Luque -240
Bantamweight – Sean O’Malley-325
Women’s Flyweight – Miranda Maverick-165
Lightweight – Jamie Mullarkey+105
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