Israel Adesanya (left) is favored in the UFC 271 odds.

UFC 271 Odds & Predictions: Middleweight Title Up For Grabs

The UFC middleweight title will be on the line in the UFC 271 main event for the first time since UFC 263 in June of last year. The championship will be contested by champion Israel Adesanya and challenger Robert Whittaker in a rematch of the UFC 243 main event when Whittaker was the champ.

UFC 271 is taking place at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas, on February 12 and can be seen on ESPN+ and PPV. When it comes to UFC 271 odds for the main event, the champion, Adesanya, is the betting favorite.

You can see UFC 271 odds along with other betting markets at Sportsbook:

UFC 271: Adesanya vs Whittaker Notes

Since losing the title to Adesanya in October 2019, Whittaker has rattled off three straight wins, landing him back in the cage with the man who took his gold.

This will be Adesanya’s fourth title defense at middleweight where he remains undefeated in his career. Of course, he did jump up to light heavyweight to challenge Jan Blachowicz for that strap but was unsuccessful.

UFC 271 Odds

Online sportsbook Sportsbook has listed the UFC 271 betting odds and in the title fight, Israel Adesanya is set as the -295 chalk and Robert Whittaker is the +240 underdog. These odds mean that to profit $100 with an Adesanya title defense, you must lay $295, while a $100 wager on the upset would net you $240.

To further examine the UFC 271 main event odds, we can use our sports betting calculator. There, you will see the -295 odds for Adesanya translate to an implied win probability of 74.68 percent and Whittaker’s line represents an implied win probability of 29.41 percent.

See where you can bet on UFC 271 with our reviewed sportsbooks.

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If you’re making a UFC 271 parlay and would like to add the biggest favorite on the card, you will be placing a bet on the bantamweight main card fight between Kyler Phillips (-405) and Marcelo Rojo (+305). Meanwhile, if you want to try your hand at the fight with the tightest odds, take a look at AJ Dobson (-120) vs Jacob Malkoun (+100).

UFC 271 Betting Odds & Fight Card

UFC 271 Betting Lines and Fight Card
  • Main Card
  • Middleweight Championship – Israel Adesanya (-295) vs Robert Whittaker (+240)
  • Heavyweight – Derrick Lewis (-185) vs Tai Tuivasa (+155)
  • Middleweight – Jared Cannonier (-165) vs Derek Brunson (+140)
  • Bantamweight – Kyler Phillips (-405) vs Marcelo Rojo (+305)
  • Lightweight – Bobby Green (-145) vs Nasrat Haqparast (+125)
  • Prelims
  • Heavyweight – Andrei Arlovski (-150) vs Jared Vanderaa (+125)
  • Women’s Flyweight – Roxanne Modafferi (+300) vs Casey O’Neill (-390)
  • Flyweight – Alex Perez (-380) vs Matthew Christopher Schnell (+295)
  • Light Heavyweight – William Knight (+140) vs Maxim Grishin (-165)
  • Bantamweight – Mana Martinez (+235) vs Ronnie Lawrence (-290)
  • Lightweight – Alexander Hernandez (+140) vs Renato Moicano (-165)
  • Light Heavyweight – Carlos Ulberg (-255) vs Fabio Cherant (+210)
  • Middleweight – AJ Dobson (-120) vs Jacob Malkoun (+100)
  • Bantamweight – Douglas Silva de Andrade (+175) vs Sergey Morozov (-210)
  • Welterweight – Jeremiah Wells (-230) vs Mike Mathetha (+190)

You have the UFC 271 odds, now head on over to our How to Bet UFC guide to see how to get in the action. If you know how to bet on the UFC but are looking for where to bet on UFC 271, our sportsbook review page has a full list of top online sportsbooks. You can see all the UFC betting news here at Odds Shark.

UFC 271: Adesanya vs Whittaker Broadcast Information
  • Date/Time: February 12, 6 p.m. ET
  • Location: Houston, Texas
  • Arena: Toyota Center
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+, PPV

Israel Adesanya vs Robert Whittaker Odds & Prediction

Israel Adesanya vs Robert Whittaker Betting Odds
Israel Adesanya -295
Robert Whittaker+240

After unifying the titles at UFC 243, Israel “The Last Stylebender” Adesanya (-295) has defended his championship three times and has looked unstoppable in those appearances. Robert “The Reaper” Whittaker (+240) has been nearly as impressive since losing the belt, knocking off potential challengers one by one en route to a three-fight winning streak.

Adesanya: Need to Knows
  • As mentioned near the top, Adesanya did face his first professional hiccup in his attempt at becoming a “champ champ” but rebounded three months later with another middleweight championship defense. He is 21-1 with 15 knockout wins and one decision loss.
  • The Last Stylebender is extremely talented and has a great stature for the middleweight division. He stands six-foot-four with an 80-inch reach, which makes it difficult for opponents to close the distance and strike with him.
  • Izzy also has outstanding reflexes and head movement that results in him absorbing just 2.59 significant strikes per minute while landing 3.94. He counters extremely well when his opponents rush in, while at distance he picks them apart with sharp kicks.
  • If he has one area of weakness, it is grappling, which Jan Blachowicz used to earn the victory in their bout. Adesanya has been taken down seven times in the last two fights but still stuffs 80 percent of takedown attempts.
  • Adesanya’s last three fights were Paulo Costa (win – knockout), Jan Blachowicz (loss – unanimous decision) and Marvin Vettori (win – unanimous decision).
Whittaker: Need to Knows
  • Whittaker’s loss to Adesanya in 2019 ended a nine-fight winning streak that saw him win the title and defend it once. Overall, he’s 23-5 with 14 stoppages (nine knockouts, five submissions), while three of his defeats have been finishes (two knockouts, one submission).
  • The Reaper had to deal with injuries after winning the title, fighting only three times from early 2017 into his fight with Adesanya in 2019. Since then, he’s been more active with three fights in less than a calendar year.
  • He is a very cerebral fighter in the cage, always dissecting his opponents’ movements and tendencies before attacking. The former champ is also very fast with his strikes and movements, which I think catches his foes off guard.
  • We saw a new wrinkle in Whittaker’s game in his last fight when he secured four takedowns against Kelvin Gastelum. He’d landed only two combined in his previous eight fights. When he was patient against Adesanya, he had success; when he was aggressive, he got knocked out – patience is key for this fight.
  • Whittaker’s last three fights were Darren Till (win – unanimous decision), Jared Cannonier (win – unanimous decision) and Kelvin Gastelum (win – unanimous decision).

For more on this fight, see my Adesanya vs Whittaker odds analysis article.

Prediction: Robert Whittaker (+240) via decision

Derrick Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa Odds & Prediction

Derrick Lewis vs Tai Tuivasa Betting Odds
Derrick Lewis-185
Tai Tuivasa+155

A couple of big boys will set the table in the co-main event of the evening. Derrick “The Black Beast” Lewis (-185), the man with the most knockouts in UFC history, will look to add to that record and inch closer to yet another title fight. No stranger to knockouts himself is Tai “Bam Bam” Tuivasa (+155), who has shut the lights off on his last four opponents.

Lewis: Need to Knows
  • Lewis fought for the interim championship in August, losing via TKO to Ciryl Gane in the third round, but he rebounded in December with a first-round knockout. His record stands at 26-8 with one no contest and 21 of his wins have come by knockout while five of his defeats have been in the same manner.
  • Despite tipping the scales at or near the heavyweight limit of 265 pounds, The Black Beast is quite fast for his size and his power is off the charts. At times, we will see the big man leap through the air with flying knees or big head kicks, but it is his hands that typically deal the knockout blow.
  • The biggest knock on the Beast is his lack of output, averaging 2.52 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 2.48. When Lewis goes on the attack and lets his hands go, it is a terrifying sight because there’s nothing his opponents can do but go to sleep.
  • Lewis’ last three fights were Curtis Blaydes (win – knockout), Ciryl Gane (loss – knockout) and Chris Daukaus (win – knockout).
Tuivasa: Need to Knows
  • Following a three-fight skid from 2018 through 2019, Tuivasa has emerged with a four-fight winning streak. He now carries a 13-3 record with 12 wins by knockout. Two of his losses have been stoppages (one knockout, one submission).
  • Another true heavyweight at the upper limits of the division, Bam Bam has a fairly high output of 4.63 significant strikes per minute, though that number may be inflated as only two of his 10 UFC bouts have reached the third round.
  • The southpaw has really good leg kicks that slow down his foes’ movement and give him a stationary target when he lets his hands fly. However, the best counter to a leg kick is a straight punch, which could be Lewis’ remedy.
  • Tuivasa’s last three fights were Harry Hunsucker (win – knockout), Greg Hardy (win – knockout) and Augusto Sakai (win – knockout).

Prediction: Derrick Lewis (-185) via knockout

Jared Cannonier vs Derek Brunson Odds & Prediction

Jared Cannonier vs Derek Brunson Betting Odds
Jared Cannonier-165
Derek Brunson+140

These two men will likely have a keen interest in the main event as this very well could be the No. 1 contender’s fight for the middleweight division. Following back-to-back losses in 2018, including a defeat to the champ, Derek Brunson (+140) has been on a tear, winning five in a row. Jared “The Killa Gorilla” Cannonier (-165) fought just once in 2021, picking up a decision win following a decision loss to Robert Whittaker 10 months earlier.

Cannonier: Need to Knows
  • It was conceivable that Cannonier would get a title shot if he beat Whittaker in October 2020 as he was on a three-fight winning streak heading into that bout. He carries a 14-5 record with 11 finishes (nine knockouts, two submissions), while two of his losses have been stoppages, both by knockout.
  • It was quite the change in physiology for the Killa Gorilla, who used to fight, win and earn knockouts in the heavyweight division, had a small run in the light heavyweight division and is now 4-1 as a middleweight.
  • He is an intimidating middleweight on the feet, with big power in his strikes, stopping the great Anderson Silva with leg kicks, while his hands are thunderous as well. Cannonier does a great job sliding out of strikes from his opponents and immediately closing the distance and letting strikes go.
  • Cannonier’s last three fights were Jack Hermansson (win – knockout), Robert Whittaker (loss – unanimous decision) and Kelvin Gastelum (win – unanimous decision).
Brunson: Need to Knows
  • Brunson is having a resurgence to his career on a five-fight winning streak after going 2-4 from 2016 through 2018. He is now 23-7 with 16 stoppages (12 knockouts, four submissions) while all five of his stoppage losses have come by knockout.
  • The biggest change to Brunson’s game (besides dying his hair blonde – he is now affectionately known as Blonde Brunson) is engaging in more grappling. During the stretch in which he went 2-4, he secured just two total takedowns. In the five fights since, he’s landed 19 and overall is averaging 3.15 takedowns per 15 minutes.
  • When he’s not grappling, the southpaw has a bad tendency to back straight up with his chin in the air. If Brunson looks to engage, he tends to lead with his left hand, usually with big movements, and he bites on a lot of flinches.
  • Brunson’s last three fights were Edmen Shahbazyan (win – knockout), Kevin Holland (win – unanimous decision) and Darren Till (win – submission).

Prediction: Jared Cannonier (-165) via knockout

Kyler Phillips vs Marcelo Rojo Odds & Prediction

Kyler Phillips vs Marcelo Rojo Betting Odds
Kyler Phillips-405
Marcelo Rojo+305

On the heels of his first loss in the UFC, Kyler “The Matrix” Phillips (-405) looks to get back to his winning ways. His opponent, Marcelo “Pitbull” Rojo (+305), made his debut in March 2021 but came up short, losing by knockout to Charles Jourdain.

Phillips: Need to Knows
  • Prior to his most recent loss, Phillips had seen success to the tune of four straight wins. The former Ultimate Fighter contestant is now 9-2 with six finishes (five knockouts, one submission) while both losses were decisions.
  • The Matrix is a very well-rounded prospect, averaging 3.20 takedowns per 15 minutes and 5.20 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 3.15. On the feet, he is very fast but tends to move in a straight line rather than using side-to-side movement to create angles.
  • He is very aggressive with lots of output and he does a great job throwing straight punches. At times, he will enter the pocket with a combination but will hang out there, leaving himself vulnerable to counters.
  • Phillips’ last three fights were Cameron Else (win – knockout), Yadong Song (win – unanimous decision) and Raulian Paiva (loss – majority decision).
Rojo: Need to Knows
  • Ahead of his UFC debut, Rojo had gone 3-1 with three knockout wins. He holds a 16-7 record with 14 stoppage victories (eight knockouts, six submissions) while five of his losses have been finishes (one knockout, four submissions).
  • Pitbull was a contestant on The Ultimate Fighter Latin America Season 3 as a lightweight, losing in the semifinals. He is an aggressive fighter with really good kicks and he loads up on a lot of his punches.
  • While he will mix in takedowns, he prefers to keep the fight standing. If his opponents rush in, he’s quick to put them in the Thai clinch and land some nice knees. I’d like to see more combinations rather than loading up one punch at a time.
  • Rojo’s last three fights were John Castaneda (loss – submission), Victor Hugo Madrigal (win – knockout) and Charles Jourdain (loss – knockout).

Prediction: Kyler Phillips (-405) via knockout

Bobby Green vs Nasrat Haqparast Odds & Prediction

Bobby Green vs Nasrat Haqparast Betting Odds
Bobby Green-145
Nasrat Haqparast+125

Bobby “King” Green (-145) has been very active lately, with this being his seventh fight in less than two years, going 4-2 in the previous six. He will look for a second straight win when he takes on Nasrat Haqparast (+125), who is looking to avoid his first-ever losing skid coming off a decision loss last September.

Green: Need to Knows
  • Following a stretch in which he went 1-5-1, Green has found success in winning four of his last six. He now sits at 28-12-1 with 18 finishes (10 knockouts, eight submissions) while four of his defeats have come by stoppage (two knockouts, two submissions).
  • King is a gritty vet with this being his 19th fight in the Octagon. He is well-rounded, mixing in 1.45 takedowns while being quite active in the striking department, averaging 5.51 significant strikes per minute and absorbing 3.56.
  • He is quite elusive, with great head movement while fighting long with kicks and straight punches. When his opponents pressure him, he will tie up and look for a grappling exchange. While he has two knockout losses on his record, he hasn’t been stopped since 2016.
  • Green’s last three fights were Thiago Moises (loss – unanimous decision), Rafael Fiziev (loss – unanimous decision) and Al Iaquinta (win – knockout).
Haqparast: Need to Knows
  • It is crazy to me that Haqparast is still just 26 years old and is making his eighth UFC appearance after his debut in 2017. He is now 13-4 with nine knockout wins while two of his defeats were finishes (one knockout, one submission).
  • The southpaw is primarily a striker, having landed just one takedown in his UFC career (and that came in his debut). He averages 5.19 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.48 and he makes his opponents miss 71 percent of their significant strike attempts.
  • He moves really well, which allows him to avoid a lot of strikes, while offensively he has really fast hands. At times, he loads up a little too much on his strikes and can be picked apart by an active fighter.
  • Haqparast’s last three fights were Alex Munoz (win – unanimous decision), Rafa Garcia (win – unanimous decision) and Dan Hooker (loss – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Bobby Green (-145) via decision

UFC 271 Best Bets

Best Bets for UFC 271
Middleweight Championship – Robert Whittaker+240
Heavyweight – Derrick Lewis-185
Middleweight – Jared Cannonier-165
Bantamweight – Kyler Phillips-405
Lightweight – Bobby Green-145
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