For the first time in over a month, the UFC will host a star-studded pay-per-view event. The punchy UFC 283 lineup is highlighted by a light heavyweight title fight between Jamahal Hill (11-1, 5-1-1 NC UFC) and aging legend Glover Teixeira (33-8, 16-6 UFC).
This event also marks the promotion’s return to Brazil for the first time since UFC Fight Night: Lee vs Oliveira in March 2020. UFC 283 takes place January 21 at Jeunesse Arena in Rio de Janeiro, with prelim fights starting at 6 p.m. ET and the main card beginning at 10 p.m.
Hill is currently favored in the UFC 283 odds, carrying a -138 chalk status.
The headliner between Hill and Teixeira was a bit improvised. Originally, Teixeira was supposed to rematch Jiri Prochazka at UFC 282 for the undisputed 205-pound belt, but when the champ vacated the belt due to a shoulder injury, chaos ensued. Teixeira turned down a short-notice fight vs Magomed Ankalaev, so the UFC passed over the 43-year-old, instead booking Ankalaev vs Jan Blachowicz for the vacant title.
When Blachowicz and Ankalaev fought to a draw in an underwhelming main event at UFC 282, the UFC brass was so upset it set up the Hill vs Teixeira fight just moments after the scorecards were announced. A new, more exciting title fight was born, and the UFC 283 odds are much tighter.
With Hill at -138, it marks the third straight fight in which “Sweet Dreams” is favored. In fact, Hill has opened as the favorite in six of his seven UFC fights (he knocked out Jimmy Crute as a +150 underdog at UFC Vegas 44). The 31-year-old is a hungry, vicious fighter, though it looks like the public is counting on Teixeira’s savviness to make this a close fight.
Teixeira is typically the underdog in his fights, though the UFC 283 odds are nearly at pick’em status. If his +110 underdog status holds, it’ll represent his shortest odds since a 2019 fight vs Nikita Krylov, which Glover won by split decision.
UFC 283 Odds: Teixeira vs Hill
Hill is favored at -138 in the main event, with Teixeira coming in as the +110 underdog.
Predictably, the tightest odds of the evening can be found in the co-main event, a flyweight title bout between Deiveson Figueiredo (+100) and Brandon Moreno (-125), who will be fighting each other for the fourth time in the last three years.
Brazilian heavyweight Jailton Almeida (-1000) is the biggest favorite on the card, making his opponent, Shamil Abdurakhimov (+600), the most significant underdog.
Also of note, every fight on the UFC 283 lineup features at least one Brazilian fighter. That’ll be a ton of fun for fans.
UFC 283 Betting Odds & Fight Card
Odds as of January 20
Glover Teixeira vs Jamahal Hill Odds & Pick
Our odds calculator suggests Hill’s -138 status translates to an implied win probability of 57.96 percent, meaning a $10 bet on him to win pays out $17.25 (a return of your original $10 plus a profit of $7.25). Teixeira’s +110 odds translate to an implied win probability of 47.62 percent and a $10 bet on him pays out $21.
Hill: Need To Knows
Teixeira: Need To Knows
Pick: Teixeira (+110) to win; OVER 1.5 Rounds (-125) with Dart Throw on OVER 2.5 Rounds (+162)
Deiveson Figueiredo vs Brandon Moreno Odds & Pick
The undisputed flyweight title is on the line and the usual suspects are back as Brandon Moreno (20-6-2, 8-3-1 UFC) and Deiveson Figueiredo (21-2-1, 10-2-1 UFC) fight in the co-main event.
Moreno: Need To Knows
Figueiredo: Need To Knows
Pick: Moreno to win (-125); Fight To Finish ITD (+110)
Gilbert Burns vs Neil Magny Odds & Picks
Gilbert Burns (20-5, 13-5 UFC) and Neil Magny (27-9, 20-8 UFC), two longtime welterweight contenders, will fight on the UFC 283 main card.
Burns: Need To Knows
Magny: Need To Knows
Pick: Burns by decision (+160); OVER 2.5 Rounds (-138)
Jessica Andrade vs Lauren Murphy Odds & Pick
Flyweights Jessica Andrade (23-9, 14-7 UFC) and Lauren Murphy (16-5, 8-5 UFC) will be the lone female pairing on the UFC 283 main card.
Andrade: Need To Knows
Murphy: Need To Knows
Pick: Andrade by KO/TKO/SUB (+110); UNDER 2.5 Rounds (+100)
Johnny Walker vs Paul Craig Odds & Pick
A light heavyweight laser show will kick off the main card when Johnny Walker (19-7, 5-4 UFC) and Paul Craig (16-5-1, 8-5-1 UFC) chuck knuckles.
Craig: Need To Knows
Walker: Need To Knows
Pick: Walker by KO/TKO (-138); UNDER 1.5 Rounds (-138)