Munhoz vs Edgar: UFC Fight Night odds, expert predictions

On the heels of UFC 252, the promotion remains at the UFC Apex Performance Center this weekend for UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs Edgar. Headlining the card is Frankie “The Answer” Edgar making his bantamweight debut against Pedro “The Young Punisher” Munhoz on Saturday, August 22.

The former lightweight champ, Edgar, has spent the last seven years at featherweight, but hit a wall against the top of the heap in that division, dropping three of his last four fights before making the decision to drop down to bantamweight.

Welcoming Edgar to his new weight class is Munhoz, who has been out of action since June 2019 when he lost a unanimous decision to No. 2-ranked Aljamain Sterling. That loss halted his three-fight winning streak, which included a knockout win over former bantamweight champ Cody Garbrandt.

Sportsbook

Online sportsbook Sportsbook has opened the betting lines for UFC on ESPN 15 and in the main event, Munhoz is the sizable -260 favorite with Edgar coming back at +200. This means you would have to bet $260 to win $100 on a Munhoz victory, while $100 on Edgar would win you $200. Our sports betting calculator is a useful tool to help you find out your potential winnings.

Check out my UFC betting predictions, odds and analysis for all the action at this weekend's UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs Edgar.

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UFC on ESPN 15: Broadcast Information

Date/Time: August 22, 5:30 p.m. ET
Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
Arena: UFC Apex Performance Center
Where to Watch: ESPN+, ESPN

Pedro Munhoz vs Frankie Edgar

Pedro Munhoz vs Frankie Edgar Betting Odds
Fighter	Odds
Pedro Munhoz	-260
Frankie Edgar	+200

Munhoz (-260) looks to get back in the win column after having his three-fight winning streak snapped last time out against Aljamain Sterling. Edgar (+200) has lost three of his last four bouts against fighters ranked at the top of the featherweight division and is now set to drop down and try his hand at bantamweight.

Munhoz: Need to Knows

Munhoz has had a great six years in the UFC, sporting a record of 8-4 with one no contest, including a knockout win over Cody Garbrandt last March.
The Young Punisher has never been finished, with his four losses coming by decision. Meanwhile, 13 of his 18 pro wins have been finishes (five knockouts, eight submissions).
He likes to get in brawls, going shot for shot with his opponents as he averages 5.29 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 6.17. He has stuffed 81 percent of takedown attempts and hasn’t been taken down in six fights. He has good kicks and a great guillotine choke.
Munhoz’s last three fights were Bryan Caraway (win – knockout), Cody Garbrandt (win – knockout) and Aljamain Sterling (loss – unanimous decision).

Edgar: Need to Knows

Edgar is a former lightweight champion from a decade ago when he beat B.J. Penn. He then dropped to featherweight where he challenged for the belt three times but was unsuccessful.
The Answer is a tough out on any night, having only been finished twice in his 31-fight pro career. Of his 23 pro wins, 11 have been finishes (seven knockouts, four submissions).
Frankie has great striking defense, having only been outstruck six times in his 26-fight UFC career and making his opponents miss 68 percent of their strikes. He has high-level grappling, averages 2.34 takedowns per 15 minutes and throws straight punches to keep his foes at bay.
Edgar’s last three fights were Cub Swanson (win – unanimous decision), Max Holloway (loss – unanimous decision) and Korean Zombie (loss – knockout).

Prediction: Frankie Edgar (+200) via decision

Ovince Saint Preux vs Alonzo Menifield

Ovince Saint Preux vs Alonzo Menifield Betting Odds
Fighter	Odds
Ovince Saint Preux	+105
Alonzo Menifield	-135

After an unsuccessful debut at heavyweight, OSP (+105) has decided to drop back down to the light heavyweight division where he was 2-3 in his last five fights. Menifield (-135) is looking to get his hand raised once again following his first pro loss in June when he took a unanimous-decision defeat to Devin Clark, snapping his 9-0 record.

Saint Preux: Need to Knows

Saint Preux is a big light heavyweight, standing six-foot-three with an 80-inch reach, and he tipped the scales at 240.5 pounds in his heavyweight fight in May. He fought Jon Jones in 2016 for the interim light heavyweight belt but lost via unanimous decision.
OSP is a finisher with 19 of his 24 pro wins ending before they got to the judges’ scorecards – 11 knockouts and eight submissions, including four Von Flue chokes (now nicknamed the OSP choke).
He has been outstruck in each of his last seven fights and he absorbs 2.91 significant strikes per minute while only landing 2.60. His best weapon is his grappling: he averages 1.27 takedowns per 15 minutes. He holds his hands low, leaving him open for quick strikes. He’s most effective on the feet when he throws his long kicks and jabs.
Saint Preux’s last three fights were Nikita Krylov (loss – submission), Michal Oleksiejczuk (win – submission) and Ben Rothwell (loss – split decision).

Menifield: Need to Knows

Menifield earned a UFC contract with his eight-second knockout victory over Dashawn Boatwright in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series.
Only three times has the 32-year-old gone past the first round and only once has he gone into the third, which just so happens to be his lone defeat, by unanimous decision.
He has finished all nine of his pro wins, eight by knockout and one by submission. He has extreme power but he tends to lumber forward headfirst, which can get him in trouble. Additionally, he throws big punches that use up a lot of energy and slow down quickly. However, he needs just one punch to end the night.
Menifield’s last three fights were Vinicius Castro (win – knockout), Paul Craig (win – knockout) and Devin Clark (loss – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Alonzo Menifield (-135) via knockout

Marcin Prachnio vs Mike Rodriguez

Marcin Prachnio vs Mike Rodriguez Betting Odds
Fighter	Odds
Marcin Prachnio	+185
Mike Rodriguez	-235

It has been nearly two years since Prachnio (+185) entered the cage after suffering back-to-back first-round knockout losses in 2018 in his only two bouts in the UFC. As for Rodriguez (-235), he is just 1-2 with a no contest through his four UFC fights since earning a contract in Dana White’s Contender Series in 2017.

Prachnio: Need to Knows

The Poland native had an eight-fight winning streak prior to being signed by the UFC and 11 of his 13 pro wins have been finishes, including 10 knockouts. Three of his four losses have come by knockout.
Prachnio is a relatively patient fighter, constantly maintaining distance on the outside while looking to set up a powerful kick. When he decides to throw strikes, he can be a little hesitant, not fully throwing with conviction, which leaves him open to powerful counters. He also dips his head down the centerline on defense.
Prachnio’s last three fights were Gilberto Galvao (win – knockout), Sam Alvey (loss – knockout) and Magomed Ankalaev (loss – knockout).

Rodriguez: Need to Knows

Rodriguez had been on a four-fight winning streak prior to losing to Devin Clark in his UFC debut. His most recent fight was his first knockout loss, to Da Un Jung in December. However, all 10 of his wins have been finishes (eight knockouts, two submissions).
“Slow” is an active fighter, chipping away at his opponents with kicks, and he has fantastic timing on his striking when they engage with him. At times, he can be a little delayed in reacting to his foes’ rushes, caught in an area of defense or attack that causes him to freeze for a brief moment. That led to him being knocked out in his last fight.
Rodriguez’s last three fights were Adam Milstead (win – knockout), John Allan (no contest) and Da Un Jung (loss – knockout).

Prediction: Mike Rodriguez (-235) via knockout

Mariya Agapova vs Shana Dobson

Mariya Agapova vs Shana Dobson Betting Odds
Fighter	Odds
Mariya Agapova	-1400
Shana Dobson	+750

After making a successful UFC debut in June with a first-round submission over Hannah Cifers, Agapova (-1400) is heavily favored to go 2-0 in the Octagon. Searching for a different outcome is Dobson (+750), who enters this bout on a three-fight losing skid after winning her UFC debut in 2017.

Agapova: Need to Knows

At just 23 years old, Agapova has already put together an impressive 9-1 pro career with seven wins being finishes (three by knockout, four by submission).
The DWTNCS alum is very aggressive, getting in the face of her opponents looking to land leather. She’s got long straight punches and good footwork to avoid damage coming back. The variety of attacks she throws at her foes keeps them guessing while she pushes the pace.
Agapova’s last three fights were Alexa Conners (win – submission), Marilla Santos (win – knockout) and Hannah Cifers (win – submission).

Dobson: Need to Knows

Dobson began her career 3-1 with her only loss coming to former UFC flyweight champion Nicco Montano. She has dropped three in a row since.
Danger has a good lead jab and deceptive kicks that seem to come out of nowhere. Defensively, she doesn’t have a lot of head movement, instead using her solid footwork to avoid damage. She has failed to stuff all six takedown attempts against her.
Dobson’s last three fights were Lauren Mueller (loss – unanimous decision), Sabina Mazo (loss – unanimous decision) and Priscila Cachoeira (loss – knockout).

Prediction: Mariya Agapova (-1400) via knockout

Daniel Rodriguez vs Dwight Grant

Daniel Rodriguez vs Dwight Grant Betting Odds
Fighter	Odds
Daniel Rodriguez	-225
Dwight Grant	+175

Seeking a third straight win in the Octagon and his eighth win in a row overall is Rodriguez (-225), who hasn’t tasted defeat since a split-decision loss in 2017. Similarly, Grant (+175) has won his last two bouts after having his seven-fight winning streak snapped in late 2018, though he hasn't fought in over a year.

Rodriguez: Need to Knows

D-Rod is a high-tempo fighter who averages 8.60 significant strikes per minute but also absorbs 6.81. His win over Gabe Green on May 30 saw him land 175 strikes in a three-round decision win. Of his 12 pro wins, 10 have been finishes, six by knockout and four by submission.
The southpaw constantly moves forward and he keeps his shoulders high to deflect punches and roll from danger. He works well off of his jab, circling away after landing, but at times he has been caught when he follows up with a more powerful second punch. He is most dangerous when you engage with him: he has accurate, strong counters.
Rodriguez’s last three fights were Quinton McCottrell (win – knockout), Tim Means (win – submission) and Gabe Green (win – unanimous decision).

Grant: Need to Knows

Grant hasn't had a huge output in his fights thus far, averaging 2.87 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing an impressive 1.92. He has also made his opponents miss 71 percent of their strike attempts.
He does a good job of making his foes walk him down until he has room to explode forward with big power punches. However, it's all power no setup, seven knockouts over his 10 pro wins, and I think if he added a jab or more kicks to his arsenal, he'd be that much more dangerous.
Grant's last three fights were Zak Ottow (loss - split decision), Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (win - knockout) and Alan Jouban (win - split decision).