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Boxing: Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury II Odds and Prediction

Deontay “The Bronze Bomber” Wilder and Tyson “Gypsy King” Fury went to war in early December 2018 in a highly entertaining fight that ended in a draw. The two appeared destined for an immediate rematch but politics and money got in the way so Fury took on two fights, both victories, in the meantime. Wilder also has two triumphs since he last saw Fury, with two more knockouts over Dominic Breazeale and Luis Ortiz. The rematch is set to take place on February 22 at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas.

Online sportsbook Bovada has Wilder as the slight -125 favorite for this rematch with Fury coming back at +105. There has been a steady buy on Wilder, moving him from an underdog to now being a small favorite.

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Event Information: Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury 2
  • Date/Time: February 22, 11 p.m. ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: MGM Grand 
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+ PPV and Fox Sports PPV

Odds Analysis

Wilder opened as a slight plus-money underdog but since money has come in on him, the line has shifted to him being a small favorite. I was all-in on the Gypsy King the first time around, as I figured his awkward movements would confuse the Bronze Bomber and restrict his ability to land with his thunderous power.

For the most part, the England native, Fury, did just that, slipping punches and firing back with his jab. However, when the Alabama native, Wilder, did land, it dropped the Brit twice and one time had him seemingly unconscious flat on his back.

I think we are going to see a better version of both fighters in the rematch. For Fury, the first fight with Wilder was his toughest test since he beat Wladimir Klitschko in 2015. Meanwhile, this is the third time that Deontay Wilder has had a rematch. The first was an absolute dismantling of Bermane Stiverne, the second was Luis Ortiz in November, a seventh-round knockout. I think the odds should be – and may move – closer to a pick’em.

How Will This Fight Play Out?

I think it will be very similar to the first fight. Wilder would have gained a lot of experience going 12 rounds with Fury’s awkward movements and if he can learn those movements, he may have more of an opportunity to land his thunderous shots. Meanwhile, Gypsy King looked great, moving around the ring like a cat and slipping punches. That was his first true test in over three years and I would expect to see a better version this time around with more ring rust knocked off.

That 12th round showed us a lot about both fighters. For the Bronze Bomber, he showed that he still had his ridiculous knockout power in the latter stages of the fight, having seemingly knocked Fury out in that round. Meanwhile, Gypsy King did his best impression of WWE’s The Undertaker, as he stood up before the 10 count, even if it was a slow count, after he laid flat on his back, and went on to win the rest of the round.

I, along with many others, believe that Fury won the first bout despite being knocked down twice. However, the judges strike again as they do in almost every big fight nowadays, scoring the fight a split-decision draw with scores being 115-111 for Wilder, 114-112 for Fury and 113-113 for the draw.

Gypsy King outstruck the Bronze Bomber in nine of the 12 rounds and Wilder landed just 17 percent of his punches while Fury landed at a rate of 26 percent. I think the same things are in play for the rematch. Fury is the better boxer, with tremendous movement but not a lot of power, while Wilder possesses devastatingly powerful hands that can end the fight.

Prediction: Tyson Fury (+105) via decision

Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury Betting Odds
BoxerOdds
Deontay Wilder-125
Tyson Fury+105
Draw+2200

Odds as of February 22 at Bovada

Total rounds
WinnerOdds
OVER 9.5-140
UNDER 9.5EVEN

Odds as of February 22 at Bovada