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Boxing: Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury II Odds and Prediction

Wilder vs Fury Betting Odds

*This fight is appears to be on the back burner as talks have stalled since the writing of this article*

The deal is all but done to see the rematch for the WBC heavyweight belt between Deontay “The Bronze Bomber” Wilder and Tyson “Gypsy King” Fury. The two went to war in December 2018 in a bout that ultimately ended in a draw. Recently, it was announced that the two have agreed to play it back and it appears that the fight will take place on May 18, likely at the Barclays Center in New York. Oddsmakers have the champ, Wilder, as a +105 underdog with the challenger, Fury, coming back at -125.

Odds Analysis

This is the first time that we see Wilder as an underdog after he closed as a -160 favorite vs Fury in the first bout. I was all-in on the Gypsy King the first time around, as I figured his awkward movements would confuse the Bronze Bomber and restrict his ability to land with his thunderous power. For the most part, the England native, Fury, did just that, slipping punches and firing back with his jab. However, when the Alabama native, Wilder, did land, it dropped the Brit and one time had him seemingly unconscious flat on his back.

I think we are going to see a better version of both fighters in the rematch. For Fury, the first fight with Wilder was his toughest test since he beat Wladimir Klitschko in 2015. Meanwhile, the only time we have seen Wilder in a rematch, he looked like something out of a video game, standing with his hands at his side as he marched forward throwing hammers at Bermane Stiverne. I think the odds should be – and may move – closer to a pick’em.

How will this fight play out?

I think it will be very similar to the first fight. Wilder would have gained a lot of experience going 12 rounds with Fury’s awkward movements and if he can learn those movements, he may have more of an opportunity to land his thunderous shots. Meanwhile, Gypsy King looked great, moving around the ring like a cat and slipping punches. That was his first true test in over three years and I would expect to see a better version this time around with more ring rust knocked off.

That 12th round showed us a lot about both fighters. For the Bronze Bomber, he showed that he still had his ridiculous knockout power in the latter stages of the fight, having seemingly knocked Fury out in that round. Meanwhile, Gypsy King did his best impression of WWE’s The Undertaker, as he stood up before the 10 count after he laid flat on his back, and went on to win the rest of the round.

I, along with many others, believe that Fury won the first bout despite being knocked down twice in the bout. However, the judges strike again as they do in almost every big fight nowadays, scoring the fight a split-decision draw with scores being 115-111 for Wilder, 114-112 for Fury and 113-113 for the draw. Gypsy King outstruck the Bronze Bomber in nine of the 12 rounds and Wilder landed just 17 percent of his punches compared to Fury landing at a rate of 26 percent. I think the same things are in play for the rematch. Fury is the better boxer, with tremendous movement but not a lot of power, while Wilder possesses devastatingly powerful hands that can end the fight.

Prediction: Tyson Fury (-125) via decision

Deontay Wilder vs Tyson Fury Betting Odds
Deontay Wilder+105
Tyson Fury-125

Odds as of February 4 at BetOnline